Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 29, 2014

Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Automatic Data Processing Inc)
ADP latest price $70.9933 (0.87%) ($70.4044 - $71.0023) on Thu. May. 29, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.87% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $70.9933(0.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADP advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADP advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    VT(69%)    XLK(66%)    XLI(65%)    QQQ(63%)
Factors Impacting ADP price   ADP will decline at least -0.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-19%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-7%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.435% (StdDev 0.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $70.43(0.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $69.87(1.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $69.71(1.84%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $30.52b

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. engages in the provision of business outsourcing solutions specializes in cloud-based human capital management. It operates through the following business segments: Employer Services; and Professional Employer Organization Services; and Other. The Employer Services segment provides clients ranging from single-employee small businesses to large enterprises with tens of thousands of employees around the world, offering a range of human resources outsourcing and technology-based human capital management solutions, including strategic, cloud-based platforms. The Professional Employer Organization Services segment offers small and mid-sized businesses a human resources outsourcing solution through a co-employment mode. The Other segment comprises of non-recurring gains and losses; miscellaneous processing services; the elimination of intercompany transactions; and interest expense. The company was founded by Henry Taub in 1949 and is headquartered in Roseland, NJ.

$. ADP price fluctuates within 0.93% (three month std-dev: 0.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.46%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.3%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.31%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.69%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 3.08%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.65%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140629

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_29_2014	68.83	69.71	69.87	70.43	70.55	70.76	70.99(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	30	26	41	1.06	48%	0.06	80.6	0.87%	0	2	60	0
2	May_28_2014	68.79	69.63	69.73	70.1	70.25	70.68	70.38(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	50	39	34	1.25	46%	0.04	89	0.87%	0	1.3	59	0
3	May_27_2014	68.76	69.55	69.72	69.87	69.92	70.34	70.76(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	45	40	47	39	1.17	46%	0.06	81.9	0.87%	0	2.1	65	0
4	May_23_2014	68.72	69.39	69.66	69.65	69.63	69.82	70.36(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	20	30	28	0.97	46%	0.06	53.7	0.88%	0	1.3	55	0
5	May_22_2014	68.68	69.25	69.58	69.46	69.45	69.5	69.67(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	0	16	17	0.99	43%	0.03	43.9	0.88%	0	0.6	54	0

6	May_21_2014	68.66	69.19	69.56	69.22	69.3	69.44	69.35(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	20	4	1	1.3	43%	0.01	40.5	0.88%	0	0.2	51	0
7	May_20_2014	68.65	69.13	69.55	69.29	69.18	69.41	69.21(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	20	1	-0	1.65	43%	0.01	48.2	0.89%	0	0.1	48	0
8	May_19_2014	68.64	69.08	69.51	69.53	69.34	69.16	69.65(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	-30	-1	12	1.12	43%	0.04	65	0.9%	0	0.7	58	0
9	May_16_2014	68.61	68.99	69.5	69.68	69.59	68.94	69.43(1.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-26	-70	-42	21	1.83	43%	0.01	81.1	0.91%	0	0.5	64	0
10	May_15_2014	68.6	68.93	69.48	69.73	69.87	69.51	68.49(-1.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-30	-30	-52	37	2.11	40%	0	88.6	0.89%	0	-0.5	60	0

11	May_14_2014	68.6	68.88	69.57	69.93	70	70.24	69.68(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	30	30	12	85	1	43%	0.04	87.1	0.86%	0	0.9	60	0
12	May_13_2014	68.57	68.75	69.55	69.81	69.79	70.22	70.42(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	66	40	51	110	1.24	46%	0.06	77.3	0.86%	0	1.7	68	0
13	May_12_2014	68.53	68.54	69.38	69.48	69.41	69.76	70.4(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	52	30	38	92	1.32	46%	0.07	60.7	0.87%	0	1.8	67	0
14	May_9_2014	68.48	68.32	69.1	69.3	69.14	69.37	69.66(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	20	24	76	1.35	42%	0.04	45	0.86%	0	1.2	66	0
15	May_8_2014	68.45	68.19	68.89	69.21	69.05	69.06	69.47(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10	10	61	1.84	42%	0.04	36.8	0.87%	0	1.2	62	0

16	May_7_2014	68.42	68.09	68.78	69.16	69.06	68.91	69.12(0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	3	-20	-15	58	2.11	42%	0.03	30	0.88%	0	1	66	0
17	May_6_2014	68.4	68.01	68.68	69.25	69.2	69.03	68.76(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	12	-20	-9	76	1.69	42%	0.01	25.9	0.89%	0	0.8	66	0
18	May_5_2014	68.39	67.93	68.62	69.24	69.17	69.22	69.49(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	34	0	11	103	1.22	45%	0.04	17.7	0.88%	0	1.6	77	0
19	May_2_2014	68.36	67.83	68.45	68.85	68.97	69.37	69.19(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	58	50	40	113	1.76	45%	0.03	2.2	0.89%	0	1.5	78	0
20	May_1_2014	68.34	67.8	68.33	68.51	68.55	69.11	69.26(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	64	60	49	107	1.29	45%	0.04	-5.2	0.91%	0	1.6	63	0

21	Apr_30_2014	68.31	67.79	68.14	68.34	68.15	68.56	69.57(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	55	30	43	92	2.14	45%	0.06	-3.7	0.92%	0	1.9	60	0
22	Apr_29_2014	68.27	67.79	67.87	68.04	68.06	67.99	68.7(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	-10	21	66	1.89	40%	0.01	-10	0.9%	0	1.1	58	0
23	Apr_28_2014	68.26	67.75	67.63	67.92	67.97	67.74	67.53(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-12	-20	-28	36	2.12	32%	-0.03	-9.8	0.86%	0	-0.2	53	0
24	Apr_25_2014	68.28	67.81	67.48	67.99	67.97	68.14	67.51(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	10	-7	31	1.44	32%	-0.04	-11.2	0.87%	0	-0.3	49	0
25	Apr_24_2014	68.31	67.85	67.44	68.1	68.05	68.19	68.37(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	10	27	35	1.53	36%		-15.4	0.86%	0	0.6	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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