Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ADP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. May. 9, 2014

Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Automatic Data Processing Inc)
ADP latest price $69.6638 (0.28%) ($69.1641 - $69.8333) on Fri. May. 9, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $69.6638(0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADP advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    VT(69%)    XLK(66%)    XLI(65%)    QQQ(63%)
Factors Impacting ADP price   ADP will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-7%)    GDXJ(-4%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $69.3(0.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $69.1(0.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $68.32(1.97%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   5.9%
Market Cap   $29.948b

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. engages in the provision of business outsourcing solutions specializes in cloud-based human capital management. It operates through the following business segments: Employer Services; and Professional Employer Organization Services; and Other. The Employer Services segment provides clients ranging from single-employee small businesses to large enterprises with tens of thousands of employees around the world, offering a range of human resources outsourcing and technology-based human capital management solutions, including strategic, cloud-based platforms. The Professional Employer Organization Services segment offers small and mid-sized businesses a human resources outsourcing solution through a co-employment mode. The Other segment comprises of non-recurring gains and losses; miscellaneous processing services; the elimination of intercompany transactions; and interest expense. The company was founded by Henry Taub in 1949 and is headquartered in Roseland, NJ.

$. ADP price fluctuates within 1.6% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 0.66%(58%) Average negative next day return: -0.5%(42%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 1.65%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.12%(50%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 1.13%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.45%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140609

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_9_2014	68.48	68.32	69.1	69.3	69.14	69.37	69.66(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	20	24	76	1.35	42%	0.04	45	0.86%	0	1.2	66	0
2	May_8_2014	68.45	68.19	68.89	69.21	69.05	69.06	69.47(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10	10	61	1.84	42%	0.04	36.8	0.87%	0	1.2	62	0
3	May_7_2014	68.42	68.09	68.78	69.16	69.06	68.91	69.12(0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	3	-20	-15	58	2.11	42%	0.03	30	0.88%	0	1	66	0
4	May_6_2014	68.4	68.01	68.68	69.25	69.2	69.03	68.76(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	12	-20	-9	76	1.69	42%	0.01	25.9	0.89%	0	0.8	66	0
5	May_5_2014	68.39	67.93	68.62	69.24	69.17	69.22	69.49(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	34	0	11	103	1.22	45%	0.04	17.7	0.88%	0	1.6	77	0

6	May_2_2014	68.36	67.83	68.45	68.85	68.97	69.37	69.19(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	58	50	40	113	1.76	45%	0.03	2.2	0.89%	0	1.5	78	0
7	May_1_2014	68.34	67.8	68.33	68.51	68.55	69.11	69.26(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	64	60	49	107	1.29	45%	0.04	-5.2	0.91%	0	1.6	63	0
8	Apr_30_2014	68.31	67.79	68.14	68.34	68.15	68.56	69.57(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	55	30	43	92	2.14	45%	0.06	-3.7	0.92%	0	1.9	60	0
9	Apr_29_2014	68.27	67.79	67.87	68.04	68.06	67.99	68.7(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	-10	21	66	1.89	40%	0.01	-10	0.9%	0	1.1	58	0
10	Apr_28_2014	68.26	67.75	67.63	67.92	67.97	67.74	67.53(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-12	-20	-28	36	2.12	32%	-0.03	-9.8	0.86%	0	-0.2	53	0

11	Apr_25_2014	68.28	67.81	67.48	67.99	67.97	68.14	67.51(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	10	-7	31	1.44	32%	-0.04	-11.2	0.87%	0	-0.3	49	0
12	Apr_24_2014	68.31	67.85	67.44	68.1	68.05	68.19	68.37(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	10	27	35	1.53	36%	0	-15.4	0.86%	0	0.6	43	0
13	Apr_23_2014	68.31	67.83	67.36	67.89	67.85	67.97	68.08(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	10	16	4	1.39	36%	-0.01	-31.3	0.87%	0	0.3	40	0
14	Apr_22_2014	68.32	67.83	67.29	67.68	67.68	67.91	68.11(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	22	20	35	-17	1.19	36%	0	-47.8	0.89%	0	0.3	41	0
15	Apr_21_2014	68.32	67.84	67.18	67.3	67.32	67.73	67.87(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	20	40	43	-50	0.93	36%	-0.03	-67.6	0.9%	0	0	41	0

16	Apr_17_2014	68.34	67.91	67.15	66.89	66.9	67.45	68.09(1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	15	60	46	-80	2.04	36%	-0.01	-71.2	0.92%	0	0.2	45	0
17	Apr_16_2014	68.35	67.99	67.21	66.69	66.58	66.91	67.31(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	30	19	-100	1.93	29%	-0.07	0	0.9%	0	-0.6	42	0
18	Apr_15_2014	68.4	68.11	67.39	66.77	66.86	66.36	67(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-27	-50	-4	-95	2.11	29%	-0.09	0	0.91%	0	-0.9	44	0
19	Apr_14_2014	68.46	68.28	67.6	66.86	67.09	66.25	66.25(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-89	-80	-79	-117	1.98	20%	-0.16	0	0.89%	0	-1.7	35	0
20	Apr_11_2014	68.57	68.47	67.87	67.04	67.4	67.37	65.79(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-63	10	-53	-92	2.73	20%	-0.19	0	0.89%	0	-2.4	34	0

21	Apr_10_2014	68.7	68.66	68.18	67.42	67.68	67.93	67.12(-0.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-2	40	16	-57	3.73	25%	-0.13	0	0.82%	0	-1.6	33	0
22	Apr_9_2014	68.79	68.66	68.32	67.8	67.71	67.42	67.71(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-30	-29	-12	1.59	29%	-0.09	0	0.82%	0	73.6	32	0
23	Apr_8_2014	68.85	68.66	68.36	68.12	68.16	67.43	67.42(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-53	-70	-62	-25	1.66	29%	-0.12	0	0.83%	0	74.1	30	0
24	Apr_7_2014	68.93	68.66	68.47	68.46	68.61	67.99	67.17(-0.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-66	-60	-77	-31	1.71	29%	-0.16	0	0.85%	0	78.1	24	0
25	Apr_4_2014	69.04	68.66	68.59	68.82	68.96	68.88	67.66(-2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-26	-0	-30	-12	2.02	29%		0	0.86%	0	89	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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