Trading Signals: ADMS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 26, 2018

Trading Signals: ADMS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Apr. 10, 2014 - Mon. Aug. 9, 2021)

(Adamas Pharmaceuticals Inc)
ADMS latest price $41.7300 (1.86%) ($39.8900 - $41.7400) on Fri. Jan. 26, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.36% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $41.7300(1.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADMS advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADMS advances 10.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADMS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(26%)    IBB(24%)    ARKK(19%)    IWM(19%)    IWO(19%)
Factors Impacting ADMS price   ADMS will decline at least -2.18% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UNG(-9%)    BNDX(-9%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.18% (StdDev 4.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.35(0.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.17(6.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.83(13.3%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   123.6%
Market Cap   $1.18b

Adamas Pharmaceuticals, Inc. engages in discovery and development of chrono-synchronous therapies for chronic neurologic disorders. Its products include GOCOVRI, ADS-5012, ADS-4101, and Namzaric. GOCOVRI is indicated for the treatment of dyskinesia in patients with Parkinsonâ€™s disease receiving levodopa-based therapy. ADS-5102 is a treatment for walking impairment in patients with multiple sclerosis. ADS-401 treats partial onset seizures in patients with epilepsy. Namzaric is a drug treatment for moderate to severe Alzheimer's disease. The company was founded by Gregory T. Went on November 15, 2000 and is headquartered in Emeryville, CA.

$. ADMS price fluctuates within 8.39% (three month std-dev: 4.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 3.29%(30%) Average negative next day return: -1.39%(70%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 4.94%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.89%(50%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 6.08%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.85%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_26_2018	28.45	36.83	39.17	41.35	40.97	40.9	41.73(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	-40	8	151	0.65	74%	0.74	68.1	4.36%	0	1.6	74	136.8
2	Jan_25_2018	28.24	36.43	38.56	40.64	40.63	41.11	40.97(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	47	80	14	146	0.82	76%	0.71	69.8	4.46%	0	1.6	73	137.4
3	Jan_24_2018	28.04	36.07	37.84	39.93	39.92	41.04	40.61(-4.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	52	200	26	130	3.82	76%	0.72	71.2	4.58%	0	1.7	65	-1.4
4	Jan_23_2018	27.84	35.74	37.17	39.13	38.86	40.15	42.65(4.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	58	210	38	116	1.97	79%	0.54	71.7	4.52%	0	2.8	69	0.1
5	Jan_22_2018	27.69	35.29	36.1	37.75	37.76	38.81	40.79(6.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	44	200	32	79	1.48	78%	0.73	76.8	4.57%	0	2.8	71	0.9

6	Jan_19_2018	27.49	34.84	35.38	36.71	36.76	37.58	38.19(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	160	20	50	0.48	77%	0.66	80.1	4.53%	0	2.3	59	1
7	Jan_18_2018	27.31	34.52	34.93	36.19	36.17	36.71	37.39(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	100	23	41	0.9	77%	0.66	71.2	4.53%	0	2.4	62	0
8	Jan_17_2018	27.13	34.24	34.68	35.43	35.48	35.94	36.64(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	18	90	15	26	0.65	77%	0.56	41	4.52%	0	2.1	59	0
9	Jan_16_2018	26.98	34.03	34.55	34.87	34.82	35.63	35.74(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	160	20	20	0.53	77%	0.86	12.2	4.52%	0	1.5	55	0
10	Jan_12_2018	26.75	33.85	34.35	34.15	34.24	35.02	35.58(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	15	170	19	3	0.42	77%	0.83	-17.8	4.54%	0	1.4	55	0

11	Jan_11_2018	26.53	33.73	34.29	33.84	33.6	34.02	35.61(6.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	9	70	11	3	0.71	77%	0.84	-29.3	4.58%	0	1.5	63	0
12	Jan_10_2018	26.31	33.68	34.11	33.5	33.51	33.46	33.56(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	-10	-3	-3	0.47	75%	0.77	-37	4.58%	0	-0.1	59	0
13	Jan_9_2018	26.11	33.77	34.18	33.84	33.76	33.18	33.87(5.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-7	-130	-12	10	0.61	75%	0.77	-23.9	4.59%	0	0.1	61	0
14	Jan_8_2018	25.91	33.89	34.23	34.2	34.32	33.55	32.15(-5.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-6	-150	-15	23	1.29	74%	0.7	-13.2	4.6%	0	-1.4	51	0
15	Jan_5_2018	25.73	34.07	34.47	34.54	34.67	34.34	34.03(0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-60	-12	41	0.67	80%	0.82	-9.8	4.55%	0	-0	61	0

16	Jan_4_2018	25.52	34.09	34.32	34.77	34.67	35.08	33.88(-3.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	13	60	1	48	0.52	80%	0.83	-7	4.63%	0	-0.1	53	0
17	Jan_3_2018	25.31	34.11	34.15	34.79	34.79	35	35.27(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	40	11	42	0.54	80%	0.84	-5.3	4.6%	0	0.8	50	0
18	Jan_2_2018	25.1	34.06	33.8	34.56	34.4	34.5	35.65(5.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	10	3	22	0.72	80%	1.21	-5.9	4.59%	0	1.2	49	0
19	Dec_29_2017	24.8	34.05	33.48	34.31	34.3	34.58	33.89(-3.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	2	60	2	2	0.52	79%	0.77	-3.7	4.56%	0	-0.1	38	0
20	Dec_28_2017	24.61	34.2	33.31	34.39	34.31	34.3	35.17(3.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	9	-10	13	-5	0.46	79%	0.82	8.6	4.53%	0	0.6	46	0

21	Dec_27_2017	24.41	34.2	33.1	33.8	33.98	34.03	33.98(-0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	30	6	-25	0.41	79%	0.7	9.9	4.53%	0	-0.1	48	0
22	Dec_26_2017	24.24	34.19	33.18	33.38	33.47	34.32	34.12(-0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	190	13	-29	0.49	79%	1	13.7	4.53%	0	-0	49	0
23	Dec_22_2017	24	34.14	33.28	32.91	33.1	33.93	34.4(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	9	190	23	-32	0.69	79%	0.76	19.2	4.54%	0	0.2	50	0
24	Dec_21_2017	23.82	34.11	33.45	32.54	32.51	32.61	34.27(6.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-3	20	11	-43	0.87	79%	0.72	30	4.54%	0	0.1	43	0
25	Dec_20_2017	23.65	34.07	33.57	32.1	32.36	32.27	32.23(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	0	-6	-65	0.8	77%		42.9	4.49%	0	-1.2	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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