Trading Signals: ADMS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 7, 2017

Trading Signals: ADMS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Apr. 10, 2014 - Mon. Aug. 9, 2021)

(Adamas Pharmaceuticals Inc)
ADMS latest price $17.9200 (0.11%) ($17.8000 - $18.1700) on Fri. Jul. 7, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.12% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $17.9200(0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADMS advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADMS advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADMS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(25%)    IBB(22%)    XOP(18%)    ARKG(17%)    IWC(17%)
Factors Impacting ADMS price   ADMS will decline at least -1.06% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-11%)    UNG(-9%)    BNDX(-7%)    TLT(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.06% (StdDev 2.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $17.81(0.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.57(1.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.42(2.87%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   21.6%
Market Cap   $507m

Adamas Pharmaceuticals, Inc. engages in discovery and development of chrono-synchronous therapies for chronic neurologic disorders. Its products include GOCOVRI, ADS-5012, ADS-4101, and Namzaric. GOCOVRI is indicated for the treatment of dyskinesia in patients with Parkinsonâ€™s disease receiving levodopa-based therapy. ADS-5102 is a treatment for walking impairment in patients with multiple sclerosis. ADS-401 treats partial onset seizures in patients with epilepsy. Namzaric is a drug treatment for moderate to severe Alzheimer's disease. The company was founded by Gregory T. Went on November 15, 2000 and is headquartered in Emeryville, CA.

$. ADMS price fluctuates within 1.78% (three month std-dev: 2.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 47 Average positive next day return: 0.76%(32%) Average negative next day return: -0.82%(68%) Sample size 47 Average positive next three day return: 1.25%(53%) Average negative next three day return: -1.49%(47%) Sample size 47 Average positive next weekly return: 1.6%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.97%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170807

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_7_2017	16.87	17.42	17.57	17.81	17.82	17.85	17.92(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	10	6	55	0.18	66%	0	53.9	2.12%	0	1.6	55	0
2	Jul_6_2017	16.87	17.4	17.47	17.74	17.73	17.79	17.9(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	20	9	45	0.13	66%	0.06	72	2.12%	0	1.8	58	0
3	Jul_5_2017	16.86	17.37	17.38	17.6	17.62	17.8	17.76(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	70	16	33	0.16	66%	0.06	100	2.12%	0	1.5	56	0
4	Jul_3_2017	16.85	17.33	17.33	17.42	17.42	17.66	17.96(2.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	15	100	14	16	0.16	66%	0.06	110	2.11%	0	2.4	59	0
5	Jun_30_2017	16.84	17.29	17.26	17.42	17.26	17.44	17.49(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	6	60	7	1	0.15	64%	0.06	140.6	2.1%	0	0.9	51	0

6	Jun_29_2017	16.83	17.26	17.25	17.31	17.23	17.18	17.58(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-30	11	2	0.14	64%	0.06	125.6	2.11%	0	1	49	0
7	Jun_28_2017	16.82	17.2	17.21	17.16	17.23	17.08	17.19(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-40	-3	-20	0.17	63%	0.06	74	2.09%	0	-0	47	0
8	Jun_27_2017	16.81	17.12	17.22	17.13	17.2	17.29	16.88(-2.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	50	-5	-27	0.24	63%	0.06	59.1	2.08%	0	-0.4	39	0
9	Jun_26_2017	16.8	17.05	17.27	17.13	17.2	17.32	17.39(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	40	5	-13	0.17	66%	0.06	58.2	2.04%	0	0.5	58	0
10	Jun_23_2017	16.79	16.97	17.27	17.2	17.23	17.11	17.5(4.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-3	-40	-0	-11	0.54	66%	0.06	57.9	2.04%	0	0.8	58	0

11	Jun_22_2017	16.78	16.88	17.26	17.19	17.27	17.13	16.82(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-40	-12	-6	0.27	64%	0.06	58.3	1.98%	0	-0.1	52	0
12	Jun_21_2017	16.77	16.84	17.33	17.28	17.34	17.35	17.08(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	10	-4	24	0.3	64%	0.06	68.8	1.98%	0	0.3	69	0
13	Jun_20_2017	16.76	16.77	17.37	17.32	17.33	17.42	17.23(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	40	2	64	0.35	64%	0.18	68.1	2%	0	0.6	81	0
14	Jun_19_2017	16.73	16.7	17.35	17.33	17.26	17.34	17.35(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	20	2	93	0.66	64%	0.06	68.2	2.01%	0	0.8	82	0
15	Jun_16_2017	16.72	16.59	17.33	17.34	17.25	17.23	17.49(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	30	-20	-0	120	0.17	64%	0.12	58.3	2%	0	1	78	0

16	Jun_15_2017	16.7	16.46	17.27	17.35	17.3	17.18	17.25(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	33	-60	-5	145	0.13	64%	0.06	50.8	2%	0	0.9	78	0
17	Jun_14_2017	16.69	16.34	17.18	17.38	17.38	17.27	17.27(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	33	-40	-7	154	0.14	64%	0.06	38.1	2.03%	0	1	67	0
18	Jun_13_2017	16.68	16.24	17.01	17.43	17.43	17.42	17.28(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	43	-0	2	165	0.24	64%	0.06	32.6	2.04%	0	1.1	72	0
19	Jun_12_2017	16.67	16.16	16.84	17.38	17.41	17.48	17.41(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	45	30	7	160	0.23	64%	0.12	27.1	2.05%	0	1.4	68	0
20	Jun_9_2017	16.65	16.09	16.66	17.31	17.29	17.44	17.56(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	52	60	12	171	0.26	64%	0.06	19.6	2.05%	0	1.7	76	0

21	Jun_8_2017	16.64	16.01	16.46	17.17	17.14	17.35	17.4(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	60	80	21	175	0.13	64%	0.06	9.8	2.06%	0	1.7	75	0
22	Jun_7_2017	16.63	15.98	16.31	16.95	16.95	17.13	17.5(2.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	72	70	35	184	0.34	60%	0.06	2.3	2.06%	0	1.9	78	0
23	Jun_6_2017	16.62	15.94	16.11	16.52	16.6	16.93	17.01(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	57	150	28	144	0.16	58%	0	-11.5	2.06%	0	1.5	66	0
24	Jun_5_2017	16.62	15.94	15.98	16.21	16.2	16.77	17.08(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	55	240	35	114	0.19	58%	0	-22.9	2.07%	0	1.6	59	0
25	Jun_2_2017	16.62	15.92	15.77	15.92	15.85	16.27	16.88(3.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	44	170	36	69	0.11	53%		-26.7	2.08%	0	1.3	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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