Trading Signals: ADMS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 26, 2017

Trading Signals: ADMS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Apr. 10, 2014 - Mon. Aug. 9, 2021)

(Adamas Pharmaceuticals Inc)
ADMS latest price $16.5800 (1.34%) ($16.2700 - $16.7200) on Wed. Apr. 26, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.03% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $16.5800(1.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADMS advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADMS declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADMS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(25%)    IBB(22%)    ARKG(18%)    IWO(18%)    XOP(18%)
Factors Impacting ADMS price   ADMS will decline at least -1.015% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-10%)    UNG(-8%)    BNDX(-7%)    TLT(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.015% (StdDev 2.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $16(3.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15.99(3.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.42(0.97%)
To recent high   -10.4%
To recent low   11.5%
Market Cap   $469m

Adamas Pharmaceuticals, Inc. engages in discovery and development of chrono-synchronous therapies for chronic neurologic disorders. Its products include GOCOVRI, ADS-5012, ADS-4101, and Namzaric. GOCOVRI is indicated for the treatment of dyskinesia in patients with Parkinsonâ€™s disease receiving levodopa-based therapy. ADS-5102 is a treatment for walking impairment in patients with multiple sclerosis. ADS-401 treats partial onset seizures in patients with epilepsy. Namzaric is a drug treatment for moderate to severe Alzheimer's disease. The company was founded by Gregory T. Went on November 15, 2000 and is headquartered in Emeryville, CA.

$. ADMS price fluctuates within 3.53% (three month std-dev: 2.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.13%(25%) Average negative next day return: -0.73%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.7%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -2.98%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 4.95%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.83%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170526

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_26_2017	16.78	16.42	15.99	16	16.03	16.35	16.58(1.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	7	150	23	-43	0.12	51%	0.06	-60.6	2.03%	0	0.3	41	0
2	Apr_25_2017	16.77	16.46	15.99	15.81	15.82	16.02	16.36(3.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	90	14	-74	0.11	51%	0.06	-63.7	2.04%	0	-0.2	40	0
3	Apr_24_2017	16.76	16.51	15.95	15.73	15.75	15.71	15.85(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	-10	-1	-100	0.12	45%	0	-65.3	2%	0	-1	21	0
4	Apr_21_2017	16.76	16.59	16.04	15.77	15.8	15.62	15.57(-0.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-39	-70	-13	-115	0.14	45%	0.06	-64.6	1.98%	0	-1.5	9	0
5	Apr_20_2017	16.75	16.69	16.16	15.88	15.93	15.8	15.62(-0.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-37	-50	-12	-112	0.15	45%	0.06	-62.7	1.99%	0	-1.7	18	0

6	Apr_19_2017	16.74	16.78	16.28	15.98	16.04	15.97	15.67(-1.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-36	-20	-10	-113	0.1	45%	0.06	-63.5	2%	0	-1.8	17	0
7	Apr_18_2017	16.73	16.86	16.39	16.09	16.1	16.06	15.93(-0.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-36	-20	-10	-115	0.21	45%	0	-66.3	2%	0	-1.7	20	0
8	Apr_17_2017	16.73	16.95	16.5	16.21	16.17	16.11	16.04(-0.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-37	-30	-12	-112	0.09	38%	0	-61.3	2.01%	0	-1.7	21	0
9	Apr_13_2017	16.73	17.03	16.64	16.36	16.34	16.14	16.16(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-90	-11	-94	0.05	38%	0.06	-55.9	2.11%	0	-1.8	22	0
10	Apr_12_2017	16.72	17.1	16.75	16.48	16.48	16.23	16.11(-0.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-36	-110	-18	-89	0.05	38%	0	-50.2	2.13%	0	-2.2	20	0

11	Apr_11_2017	16.72	17.18	16.89	16.63	16.64	16.53	16.23(-1.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-28	-40	-12	-75	0.2	34%	0.06	-38.6	2.13%	0	-2.4	21	0
12	Apr_10_2017	16.71	17.24	17.02	16.73	16.78	16.72	16.53(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21	-20	-7	-61	0.16	30%	0	-34	2.17%	0	-2.1	35	0
13	Apr_7_2017	16.71	17.29	17.11	16.83	16.82	16.75	16.77(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-30	-12	-55	0.08	27%	0.06	-29.3	2.29%	0	-1.7	30	0
14	Apr_6_2017	16.7	17.31	17.18	16.98	16.98	16.85	16.75(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-17	-50	-8	-42	0.08	35%	0.06	-29.5	2.3%	0	-2.1	38	0
15	Apr_5_2017	16.69	17.33	17.26	17.08	17.11	16.89	16.85(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-80	-12	-34	0.15	35%	0.06	-23.7	2.41%	0	-1.8	38	0

16	Apr_4_2017	16.68	17.34	17.32	17.21	17.22	17.12	16.73(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-17	-40	-13	-28	0.13	45%	0	-35.3	2.4%	0	-2.3	32	0
17	Apr_3_2017	16.68	17.35	17.38	17.35	17.39	17.33	17.05(-2.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-6	-20	-4	-13	0.19	45%	0.06	-54.3	2.63%	0	-1.4	49	0
18	Mar_31_2017	16.67	17.37	17.45	17.35	17.43	17.32	17.5(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-3	-40	-3	-4	0.14	45%	0.12	-54.5	2.61%	0	0.6	51	0
19	Mar_30_2017	16.65	17.37	17.44	17.43	17.44	17.45	17.26(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-3	10	-4	-1	0.11	45%	0.06	-45.5	2.63%	0	-0.6	55	0
20	Mar_29_2017	16.64	17.39	17.47	17.47	17.48	17.53	17.49(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	20	3	9	0.17	45%	0.24	-29.9	2.65%	0	0.3	58	0

21	Mar_28_2017	16.6	17.43	17.48	17.46	17.46	17.43	17.45(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	6	-10	2	19	0.08	45%	0.18	-10.4	2.66%	0	0.1	63	0
22	Mar_27_2017	16.57	17.47	17.48	17.42	17.42	17.44	17.47(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	10	-3	17	0.08	45%	0.24	1.8	2.66%	0	0	60	0
23	Mar_24_2017	16.53	17.5	17.47	17.42	17.43	17.49	17.46(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	7	20	2	23	0.09	45%	0.3	14	2.67%	0	-0.1	50	0
24	Mar_23_2017	16.48	17.49	17.43	17.46	17.44	17.4	17.46(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	4	-20	0	14	0.14	49%	0.24	14.8	2.69%	0	-0.1	45	0
25	Mar_22_2017	16.44	17.48	17.41	17.47	17.43	17.36	17.47(1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-1	-30	-5	10	0.13	49%		15.7	2.76%	0	-0	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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