Trading Signals: ADMS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 15, 2017

Trading Signals: ADMS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Apr. 10, 2014 - Mon. Aug. 9, 2021)

(Adamas Pharmaceuticals Inc)
ADMS latest price $17.7100 (2.67%) ($17.1900 - $17.7600) on Wed. Mar. 15, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.77% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $17.7100(2.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADMS advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADMS declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADMS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(25%)    IBB(23%)    ARKG(18%)    IWM(18%)    IWO(18%)
Factors Impacting ADMS price   ADMS will decline at least -1.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-10%)    UNG(-8%)    BNDX(-7%)    TLT(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.385% (StdDev 2.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $17.33(2.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.31(2.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.42(1.66%)
To recent high   -6.9%
To recent low   19.1%
Market Cap   $501m

Adamas Pharmaceuticals, Inc. engages in discovery and development of chrono-synchronous therapies for chronic neurologic disorders. Its products include GOCOVRI, ADS-5012, ADS-4101, and Namzaric. GOCOVRI is indicated for the treatment of dyskinesia in patients with Parkinsonâ€™s disease receiving levodopa-based therapy. ADS-5102 is a treatment for walking impairment in patients with multiple sclerosis. ADS-401 treats partial onset seizures in patients with epilepsy. Namzaric is a drug treatment for moderate to severe Alzheimer's disease. The company was founded by Gregory T. Went on November 15, 2000 and is headquartered in Emeryville, CA.

$. ADMS price fluctuates within 2.47% (three month std-dev: 2.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.67%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.75%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.89%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -1.62%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.6%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.71%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170415

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_15_2017	16.26	17.42	17.31	17.33	17.27	17.35	17.71(2.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	20	11	-26	0.09	49%	0.18	28.3	2.77%	0	0.7	55	0
2	Mar_14_2017	16.23	17.39	17.35	17.16	17.15	17.23	17.25(-1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	30	4	-29	0.07	49%	0.19	26.7	2.75%	0	-0.3	53	0
3	Mar_13_2017	16.2	17.36	17.47	17.1	17.09	17.18	17.46(2.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-4	40	2	-20	0.13	49%	0.19	25.7	2.75%	0	0.2	54	0
4	Mar_10_2017	16.17	17.33	17.53	17.11	17.07	17.06	17.1(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-8	-10	-6	-15	0.12	49%	0.19	29.9	2.72%	0	-0.5	50	0
5	Mar_9_2017	16.14	17.32	17.55	17.24	17.18	17.01	17.15(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	-80	-5	-4	0.11	49%	0.19	44.8	2.74%	0	-0.4	53	0

6	Mar_8_2017	16.11	17.3	17.56	17.29	17.32	17.09	16.84(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-16	-90	-19	-5	0.11	49%	0.12	51.2	2.74%	0	-0.9	48	0
7	Mar_7_2017	16.09	17.27	17.6	17.58	17.53	17.35	16.97(-2.86%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-11	-80	-19	15	0.14	49%	0.19	64.5	2.76%	0	-0.5	51	0
8	Mar_6_2017	16.06	17.24	17.64	17.88	17.82	17.54	17.47(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-120	-11	48	0.08	51%	0.19	88.3	2.74%	0	0.4	63	0
9	Mar_3_2017	16.03	17.19	17.63	18.01	18.03	17.71	17.77(2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	-120	-2	68	0.14	51%	0.19	93.9	2.71%	0	0.9	63	0
10	Mar_2_2017	16	17.11	17.56	17.89	18.06	18.09	17.42(-4.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	15	40	-2	64	0.21	56%	0.13	88.2	2.72%	0	0.5	60	0

11	Mar_1_2017	15.98	17.04	17.54	17.86	17.89	18.35	18.26(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	190	18	77	0.23	60%	0.13	81	2.77%	0	1.8	76	0
12	Feb_28_2017	15.96	16.92	17.42	17.63	17.62	18.04	18.5(2.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	38	170	25	76	0.3	56%	0.13	73.6	2.76%	0	2.4	84	0
13	Feb_27_2017	15.94	16.74	17.23	17.37	17.33	17.43	18.08(5.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	23	30	12	57	0.19	56%	0.13	51.7	2.83%	0	1.9	78	0
14	Feb_24_2017	15.92	16.63	17.1	17.21	17.23	17.2	17.2(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	12	-10	-0	48	0.05	52%	0.13	49.1	2.76%	0	0.9	68	0
15	Feb_23_2017	15.9	16.56	17.06	17.19	17.27	17.23	17.25(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-0	0	57	0.05	56%	0	43.9	2.78%	0	1.1	74	0

16	Feb_22_2017	15.9	16.5	17	17.18	17.22	17.27	17.12(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	30	-0	64	0.07	56%	0.06	41.9	2.85%	0	1	74	0
17	Feb_21_2017	15.89	16.45	16.91	17.17	17.2	17.31	17.2(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	50	8	71	0.06	56%	0	40.3	2.88%	0	1.3	77	0
18	Feb_17_2017	15.89	16.39	16.82	17.06	17.07	17.18	17.28(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	26	50	7	81	0.07	56%	0.06	29.5	2.86%	0	1.6	86	0
19	Feb_16_2017	15.88	16.33	16.72	16.97	16.94	17.09	17.09(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	60	5	81	0.12	56%	0	22.3	2.86%	0	1.5	62	0
20	Feb_15_2017	15.88	16.29	16.63	16.92	16.88	16.97	17.21(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	30	10	84	0.1	56%	0	17.9	2.86%	0	1.8	64	0

21	Feb_14_2017	15.88	16.25	16.5	16.79	16.78	16.79	17.07(2.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	0	9	73	0.09	56%	-0.06	4.7	2.87%	0	1.8	59	0
22	Feb_13_2017	15.89	16.21	16.38	16.61	16.64	16.78	16.64(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	60	5	58	0.09	56%	-0.06	-26.3	2.88%	0	1	58	0
23	Feb_10_2017	15.9	16.22	16.21	16.53	16.52	16.76	16.82(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	100	10	42	0.06	56%	-0.06	-46.8	2.87%	0	1.3	57	0
24	Feb_9_2017	15.91	16.21	16.12	16.44	16.4	16.5	16.85(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	40	12	34	0.05	60%	-0.06	-66.5	2.88%	0	1.4	57	0
25	Feb_8_2017	15.92	16.2	16.02	16.29	16.29	16.27	16.56(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-10	5	14	0.08	60%		-88.8	3.05%	0	0.8	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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