Trading Signals: ADMS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 2, 2017

Trading Signals: ADMS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Apr. 10, 2014 - Mon. Aug. 9, 2021)

(Adamas Pharmaceuticals Inc)
ADMS latest price $17.4200 (-4.6%) ($17.2800 - $18.6700) on Thu. Mar. 2, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.72% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $17.4200(-4.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADMS advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADMS advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADMS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(25%)    IBB(23%)    ARKG(18%)    IWM(18%)    IWO(18%)
Factors Impacting ADMS price   ADMS will decline at least -1.36% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-10%)    UNG(-8%)    BNDX(-7%)    TLT(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.36% (StdDev 2.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $17.89(-2.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.56(-0.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.11(1.81%)
To recent high   -8.4%
To recent low   17.1%
Market Cap   $493m

Adamas Pharmaceuticals, Inc. engages in discovery and development of chrono-synchronous therapies for chronic neurologic disorders. Its products include GOCOVRI, ADS-5012, ADS-4101, and Namzaric. GOCOVRI is indicated for the treatment of dyskinesia in patients with Parkinsonâ€™s disease receiving levodopa-based therapy. ADS-5102 is a treatment for walking impairment in patients with multiple sclerosis. ADS-401 treats partial onset seizures in patients with epilepsy. Namzaric is a drug treatment for moderate to severe Alzheimer's disease. The company was founded by Gregory T. Went on November 15, 2000 and is headquartered in Emeryville, CA.

$. ADMS price fluctuates within 3.74% (three month std-dev: 2.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.7%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.6%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 4.24%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -4.35%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 5.2%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.63%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170402

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_2_2017	16	17.11	17.56	17.89	18.06	18.09	17.42(-4.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	15	40	-2	64	0.21	56%	0.13	88.2	2.72%	0	0.5	60	0
2	Mar_1_2017	15.98	17.04	17.54	17.86	17.89	18.35	18.26(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	190	18	77	0.23	60%	0.13	81	2.77%	0	1.8	76	0
3	Feb_28_2017	15.96	16.92	17.42	17.63	17.62	18.04	18.5(2.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	38	170	25	76	0.3	56%	0.13	73.6	2.76%	0	2.4	84	0
4	Feb_27_2017	15.94	16.74	17.23	17.37	17.33	17.43	18.08(5.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	23	30	12	57	0.19	56%	0.13	51.7	2.83%	0	1.9	78	0
5	Feb_24_2017	15.92	16.63	17.1	17.21	17.23	17.2	17.2(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	12	-10	-0	48	0.05	52%	0.13	49.1	2.76%	0	0.9	68	0

6	Feb_23_2017	15.9	16.56	17.06	17.19	17.27	17.23	17.25(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-0	0	57	0.05	56%	0	43.9	2.78%	0	1.1	74	0
7	Feb_22_2017	15.9	16.5	17	17.18	17.22	17.27	17.12(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	30	-0	64	0.07	56%	0.06	41.9	2.85%	0	1	74	0
8	Feb_21_2017	15.89	16.45	16.91	17.17	17.2	17.31	17.2(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	50	8	71	0.06	56%	0	40.3	2.88%	0	1.3	77	0
9	Feb_17_2017	15.89	16.39	16.82	17.06	17.07	17.18	17.28(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	26	50	7	81	0.07	56%	0.06	29.5	2.86%	0	1.6	86	0
10	Feb_16_2017	15.88	16.33	16.72	16.97	16.94	17.09	17.09(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	60	5	81	0.12	56%	0	22.3	2.86%	0	1.5	62	0

11	Feb_15_2017	15.88	16.29	16.63	16.92	16.88	16.97	17.21(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	30	10	84	0.1	56%	0	17.9	2.86%	0	1.8	64	0
12	Feb_14_2017	15.88	16.25	16.5	16.79	16.78	16.79	17.07(2.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	0	9	73	0.09	56%	-0.06	4.7	2.87%	0	1.8	59	0
13	Feb_13_2017	15.89	16.21	16.38	16.61	16.64	16.78	16.64(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	60	5	58	0.09	56%	-0.06	-26.3	2.88%	0	1	58	0
14	Feb_10_2017	15.9	16.22	16.21	16.53	16.52	16.76	16.82(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	100	10	42	0.06	56%	-0.06	-46.8	2.87%	0	1.3	57	0
15	Feb_9_2017	15.91	16.21	16.12	16.44	16.4	16.5	16.85(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	40	12	34	0.05	60%	-0.06	-66.5	2.88%	0	1.4	57	0

16	Feb_8_2017	15.92	16.2	16.02	16.29	16.29	16.27	16.56(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-10	5	14	0.08	60%	-0.06	-88.8	3.05%	0	0.8	51	0
17	Feb_7_2017	15.93	16.23	15.97	16.17	16.22	16.3	16.16(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	2	40	3	-1	0.09	60%	-0.13	-81.2	3.04%	0	-0.1	44	0
18	Feb_6_2017	15.95	16.32	15.94	16.11	16.14	16.32	16.28(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	12	80	17	-2	0.15	60%	-0.06	-58.7	3.05%	0	-0.1	50	0
19	Feb_3_2017	15.96	16.44	15.92	15.83	15.89	16.14	16.37(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	120	8	-31	0.11	60%	-0.06	-44.4	3.49%	0	-0.1	42	0
20	Feb_2_2017	15.97	16.52	15.89	15.74	15.64	15.97	16.08(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	130	6	-40	0.11	58%	0	-40.1	3.72%	0	-0.5	44	0

21	Feb_1_2017	15.97	16.61	15.92	15.71	15.63	15.64	15.94(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	-10	3	-46	0.15	58%	0	-36.5	3.74%	0	-0.7	43	0
22	Jan_31_2017	15.97	16.65	15.98	15.75	15.65	15.3	15.87(6.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	-180	-7	-55	0.14	58%	0	-39.7	3.75%	0	-0.8	37	0
23	Jan_30_2017	15.97	16.7	16.02	15.77	15.86	15.61	14.87(-6.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-30	-90	-15	-76	0.33	55%	0	-38	3.65%	0	-1.9	20	0
24	Jan_27_2017	15.97	16.84	16.25	16.02	16.04	16	15.96(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10	-4	-76	0.07	57%	0	-30.1	3.59%	0	-1	20	0
25	Jan_26_2017	15.97	16.9	16.32	16.06	16.13	16.11	15.89(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	0	-4	-86	0.09	57%		-27	3.59%	0	-1.2	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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