Trading Signals: ADMS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 15, 2017

Trading Signals: ADMS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Apr. 10, 2014 - Mon. Aug. 9, 2021)

(Adamas Pharmaceuticals Inc)
ADMS latest price $17.2100 (0.82%) ($16.7500 - $17.3500) on Wed. Feb. 15, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.86% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $17.2100(0.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADMS advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADMS advances 3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADMS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(26%)    IBB(23%)    ARKG(18%)    IWM(18%)    IWO(18%)
Factors Impacting ADMS price   ADMS will decline at least -1.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-10%)    UNG(-8%)    BNDX(-7%)    TLT(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.43% (StdDev 2.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $16.92(1.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.63(3.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.29(5.65%)
To recent high   -9.5%
To recent low   18.3%
Market Cap   $487m

Adamas Pharmaceuticals, Inc. engages in discovery and development of chrono-synchronous therapies for chronic neurologic disorders. Its products include GOCOVRI, ADS-5012, ADS-4101, and Namzaric. GOCOVRI is indicated for the treatment of dyskinesia in patients with Parkinsonâ€™s disease receiving levodopa-based therapy. ADS-5102 is a treatment for walking impairment in patients with multiple sclerosis. ADS-401 treats partial onset seizures in patients with epilepsy. Namzaric is a drug treatment for moderate to severe Alzheimer's disease. The company was founded by Gregory T. Went on November 15, 2000 and is headquartered in Emeryville, CA.

$. ADMS price fluctuates within 3.07% (three month std-dev: 2.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 0.68%(55%) Average negative next day return: -1.16%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 1.72%(73%) Average negative next three day return: -1.82%(27%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 2.46%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.7%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_15_2017	15.88	16.29	16.63	16.92	16.88	16.97	17.21(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	30	10	84	0.1	56%	0	17.9	2.86%	0	1.8	64	0
2	Feb_14_2017	15.88	16.25	16.5	16.79	16.78	16.79	17.07(2.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	0	9	73	0.09	56%	-0.06	4.7	2.87%	0	1.8	59	0
3	Feb_13_2017	15.89	16.21	16.38	16.61	16.64	16.78	16.64(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	60	5	58	0.09	56%	-0.06	-26.3	2.88%	0	1	58	0
4	Feb_10_2017	15.9	16.22	16.21	16.53	16.52	16.76	16.82(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	100	10	42	0.06	56%	-0.06	-46.8	2.87%	0	1.3	57	0
5	Feb_9_2017	15.91	16.21	16.12	16.44	16.4	16.5	16.85(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	40	12	34	0.05	60%	-0.06	-66.5	2.88%	0	1.4	57	0

6	Feb_8_2017	15.92	16.2	16.02	16.29	16.29	16.27	16.56(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-10	5	14	0.08	60%	-0.06	-88.8	3.05%	0	0.8	51	0
7	Feb_7_2017	15.93	16.23	15.97	16.17	16.22	16.3	16.16(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	2	40	3	-1	0.09	60%	-0.13	-81.2	3.04%	0	-0.1	44	0
8	Feb_6_2017	15.95	16.32	15.94	16.11	16.14	16.32	16.28(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	12	80	17	-2	0.15	60%	-0.06	-58.7	3.05%	0	-0.1	50	0
9	Feb_3_2017	15.96	16.44	15.92	15.83	15.89	16.14	16.37(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	120	8	-31	0.11	60%	-0.06	-44.4	3.49%	0	-0.1	42	0
10	Feb_2_2017	15.97	16.52	15.89	15.74	15.64	15.97	16.08(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	130	6	-40	0.11	58%	0	-40.1	3.72%	0	-0.5	44	0

11	Feb_1_2017	15.97	16.61	15.92	15.71	15.63	15.64	15.94(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	-10	3	-46	0.15	58%	0	-36.5	3.74%	0	-0.7	43	0
12	Jan_31_2017	15.97	16.65	15.98	15.75	15.65	15.3	15.87(6.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	-180	-7	-55	0.14	58%	0	-39.7	3.75%	0	-0.8	37	0
13	Jan_30_2017	15.97	16.7	16.02	15.77	15.86	15.61	14.87(-6.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-30	-90	-15	-76	0.33	55%	0	-38	3.65%	0	-1.9	20	0
14	Jan_27_2017	15.97	16.84	16.25	16.02	16.04	16	15.96(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10	-4	-76	0.07	57%	0	-30.1	3.59%	0	-1	20	0
15	Jan_26_2017	15.97	16.9	16.32	16.06	16.13	16.11	15.89(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	0	-4	-86	0.09	57%	0	-27	3.59%	0	-1.2	33	0

16	Jan_25_2017	15.97	16.97	16.41	16.16	16.19	16.09	16.16(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-27	-40	-5	-93	0.1	57%	0.06	-19.1	3.59%	0	-1	35	0
17	Jan_24_2017	15.96	17.04	16.52	16.25	16.28	16.15	15.95(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-50	-5	-84	0.17	57%	0	-8.7	3.58%	0	-1.4	48	0
18	Jan_23_2017	15.96	17.08	16.73	16.32	16.38	16.29	16.12(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-30	-9	-73	0.08	57%	0.06	-0.4	3.58%	0	-1.3	47	0
19	Jan_20_2017	15.95	17.1	17	16.52	16.45	16.41	16.17(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-30	-6	-48	0.07	57%	0.06	12.8	3.58%	0	-1.3	44	0
20	Jan_19_2017	15.94	17.1	17.19	16.63	16.61	16.47	16.42(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-60	-3	-34	0.12	57%	0.19	24.6	3.58%	0	-1	47	0

21	Jan_18_2017	15.91	17.13	17.35	16.69	16.64	16.49	16.61(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-70	-9	-27	0.13	57%	0.25	30.3	3.6%	0	-0.7	48	0
22	Jan_17_2017	15.87	17.1	17.37	16.83	16.77	16.76	16.26(-5.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-19	-10	-15	-29	0.15	57%	0.38	38.9	3.6%	0	-1.2	44	0
23	Jan_13_2017	15.81	17.08	17.45	17.2	17.06	16.8	17.13(2.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-130	-16	-8	0.15	57%	0.25	49.4	3.55%	0	0.1	56	0
24	Jan_12_2017	15.77	17.01	17.48	17.58	17.48	16.79	16.73(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-10	-290	-20	20	0.13	55%	0.19	58.5	3.54%	0	-0.3	56	0
25	Jan_11_2017	15.74	16.96	17.54	17.84	18.02	17.33	16.71(-3.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-7	-240	-22	40	0.24	52%		62.9	3.59%	0	-0.3	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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