Trading Signals: ADMS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ADMS: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Feb. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: ADMS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Apr. 10, 2014 - Mon. Aug. 9, 2021)

(Adamas Pharmaceuticals Inc)
ADMS latest price $14.9300 (1.08%) ($14.3200 - $15.0600) on Fri. Feb. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   11.43% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $14.9300(1.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADMS advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADMS declines -5.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADMS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(34%)    IBB(32%)    ARKG(24%)    IWO(22%)    IWC(21%)
Factors Impacting ADMS price   ADMS will decline at least -5.715% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-9%)    BNDX(-8%)    TLT(-6%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.715% (StdDev 11.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

Resistance Level   $16.26
5 Day Moving Average   $14.79(0.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $14.42(3.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.26(-8.18%)
To recent high   -51.6%
To recent low   10.6%
Market Cap   $422m

Adamas Pharmaceuticals, Inc. engages in discovery and development of chrono-synchronous therapies for chronic neurologic disorders. Its products include GOCOVRI, ADS-5012, ADS-4101, and Namzaric. GOCOVRI is indicated for the treatment of dyskinesia in patients with Parkinsonâ€™s disease receiving levodopa-based therapy. ADS-5102 is a treatment for walking impairment in patients with multiple sclerosis. ADS-401 treats partial onset seizures in patients with epilepsy. Namzaric is a drug treatment for moderate to severe Alzheimer's disease. The company was founded by Gregory T. Went on November 15, 2000 and is headquartered in Emeryville, CA.

$. ADMS price fluctuates within 15.5% (three month std-dev: 11.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.93%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -4.1%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 8.52%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160319

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_19_2016	17.72	16.26	14.42	14.79	14.87	14.92	14.93(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	40	3	-30	0.15	85%	-0.11	-69.4	11.43%	0	-0.5	33	0
2	Feb_18_2016	17.74	16.54	14.54	14.51	14.68	15.15	14.77(-4.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	260	5	-36	0.22	85%	-0.11	-73.1	11.43%	0	-0.7	33	0
3	Feb_17_2016	17.76	16.87	14.71	14.27	14.27	14.83	15.42(6.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	270	8	-45	0.31	85%	-0.06	-74.1	11.42%	0	-0.5	28	0
4	Feb_16_2016	17.77	17.18	14.81	13.89	13.91	14.22	14.52(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	160	3	-64	0.44	85%	-0.17	-75.2	11.39%	0	-0.9	15	0
5	Feb_12_2016	17.8	17.68	15.06	13.84	13.79	13.71	14.31(5.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	-50	-2	-77	0.24	82%	-0.22	-67.8	11.32%	0	-1	12	0

6	Feb_11_2016	17.84	18.23	15.33	14.03	13.92	13.61	13.52(-0.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-30	-180	-10	-89	0.2	82%	-0.34	-61.2	11.32%	0	-1.3	3	0
7	Feb_10_2016	17.9	18.74	15.69	14.6	14.51	13.86	13.59(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-330	-11	-90	0.36	82%	-0.33	-58.3	11.32%	0	-1.4	16	0
8	Feb_9_2016	17.96	19.27	16.19	15.21	15.19	14.24	13.5(-5.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-32	-440	-13	-89	0.33	79%	-0.39	-58.6	11.32%	0	-1.6	14	0
9	Feb_8_2016	18.03	19.78	16.89	15.86	15.9	15.15	14.28(-6.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-29	-320	-12	-81	0.33	79%	-0.39	-62.8	11.31%	0	-1.6	15	0
10	Feb_5_2016	18.1	20.3	17.59	16.43	16.48	16.13	15.25(-6.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-25	-140	-7	-78	0.39	77%	-0.33	-66.4	11.28%	0	-1.5	13	0

11	Feb_4_2016	18.16	20.76	18.27	16.81	16.83	16.65	16.39(-1.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-22	-70	-3	-78	0.33	77%	-0.16	-72.2	11.25%	0	-1.4	14	0
12	Feb_3_2016	18.19	21.14	18.71	16.94	16.97	16.83	16.62(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-50	-6	-83	0.48	77%	-0.16	-82	11.25%	0	-1.5	25	0
13	Feb_2_2016	18.22	21.61	19.21	17.34	17.24	17.01	16.77(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-110	-10	-84	0.32	79%	-0.22	-85	11.26%	0	-1.6	25	0
14	Feb_1_2016	18.26	22.16	19.74	18.11	17.92	17.1	17.14(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-29	-350	-12	-78	0.43	79%	-0.11	-81.2	11.31%	0	-1.7	28	0
15	Jan_29_2016	18.28	22.72	20.51	18.95	18.87	17.46	17.14(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-540	-18	-69	0.77	79%	-0.16	-84.1	11.31%	0	-2	26	0

16	Jan_28_2016	18.31	23.3	21.34	19.97	19.98	18.74	17.02(-8.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-26	-430	-16	-54	0.51	79%	-0.11	-62.4	11.31%	0	-2.2	27	0
17	Jan_27_2016	18.33	23.92	22.06	20.71	20.96	20.28	18.63(-9.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-18	-190	-10	-42	0.48	79%	-0.05	-40.7	11.27%	0	-2	34	0
18	Jan_26_2016	18.34	24.46	22.61	21.32	21.34	21.22	20.64(-3.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-40	-5	-37	0.3	79%	0.11	-12	11.19%	0	-1.5	32	0
19	Jan_25_2016	18.32	24.92	22.91	21.59	21.48	21.65	21.34(-3.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	40	-7	-43	0.29	79%	0.16	16.5	11.18%	0	-1.3	30	0
20	Jan_22_2016	18.29	25.39	23.23	22.33	22.03	21.47	22.21(7.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	-220	-6	-42	0.34	80%	0.16	54.3	11.16%	0	-1.2	31	0

21	Jan_21_2016	18.26	25.19	23.45	22.99	22.79	21.31	20.74(-4.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-21	-480	-13	-46	0.28	76%	0.05	63.7	11.14%	0	-1.6	23	0
22	Jan_20_2016	18.25	25.05	23.77	23.62	23.66	22.6	21.67(-1.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-22	-310	-13	-49	0.38	76%	0.16	74.5	11.17%	0	-1.2	23	0
23	Jan_19_2016	18.22	24.78	24.21	24.08	24.35	24.26	22(-12.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-15	10	-4	-46	0.62	76%	-0.05	67	11.18%	0	-0.8	23	0
24	Jan_15_2016	18.23	24.49	24.79	24.37	24.46	24.72	25.01(-2.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	90	3	-45	0.49	82%	0.28	52.3	10.98%	0	0.1	28	0
25	Jan_14_2016	18.18	24.03	25.09	24.27	24.19	24.44	25.55(7.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	60	3	-50	0.45	82%		45.7	10.97%	0	0.3	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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