Trading Signals: ADMS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 24, 2015

Trading Signals: ADMS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Apr. 10, 2014 - Mon. Aug. 9, 2021)

(Adamas Pharmaceuticals Inc)
ADMS latest price $29.9600 (-2.88%) ($28.5000 - $31.8200) on Thu. Dec. 24, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.84% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $29.9600(-2.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADMS advances 16.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADMS advances 21% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADMS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(32%)    IBB(30%)    ARKG(22%)    IWO(21%)    XOP(21%)
Factors Impacting ADMS price   ADMS will decline at least -5.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    BNDX(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.42% (StdDev 10.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.79(37.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.64(60.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.38(72.38%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   124.8%
Market Cap   $847m

Adamas Pharmaceuticals, Inc. engages in discovery and development of chrono-synchronous therapies for chronic neurologic disorders. Its products include GOCOVRI, ADS-5012, ADS-4101, and Namzaric. GOCOVRI is indicated for the treatment of dyskinesia in patients with Parkinsonâ€™s disease receiving levodopa-based therapy. ADS-5102 is a treatment for walking impairment in patients with multiple sclerosis. ADS-401 treats partial onset seizures in patients with epilepsy. Namzaric is a drug treatment for moderate to severe Alzheimer's disease. The company was founded by Gregory T. Went on November 15, 2000 and is headquartered in Emeryville, CA.

$. ADMS price fluctuates within 25.55% (three month std-dev: 10.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -5.43%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.81%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.24%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_24_2015	17.65	17.38	18.64	21.79	22.28	28.42	29.96(-2.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.8	90	2000	71	145	3.28	72%	0.28	40.5	10.84%	0	2.8	85	INF
2	Dec_23_2015	17.6	16.61	17.1	18.77	18.47	21.67	30.85(82.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3.6	74	1160	71	84	7.82	72%	0.4	25.5	10.84%	0	4.3	87	INF
3	Dec_22_2015	17.53	15.77	15.44	15.59	15.53	16.14	16.86(2.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	20	260	32	-17	0.11	44%	-0.45	-8	3.34%	0	1.7	51	INF
4	Dec_21_2015	17.61	15.71	15.33	15.2	15.14	15.28	16.51(11.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	1	50	19	-53	0.23	42%	-0.51	-21.9	3.36%	0	1.3	48	INF
5	Dec_18_2015	17.7	15.69	15.25	14.9	14.98	14.92	14.79(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10	-3	-90	0.66	34%	-0.56	-32.7	3.07%	0	-1.5	33	INF

6	Dec_17_2015	17.8	15.75	15.4	14.92	15.02	15.01	14.83(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	20	-8	-90	0.17	39%	-0.61	-30.4	3.07%	0	-1.7	30	INF
7	Dec_16_2015	17.91	15.8	15.55	15.08	15.04	15.04	14.98(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10	-9	-74	0.14	39%	-0.61	-26.6	3.2%	0	-1.6	39	INF
8	Dec_15_2015	18.02	15.82	15.7	15.26	15.21	15.04	14.89(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-22	-90	-11	-56	0.24	39%	-0.66	-21	3.21%	0	-1.9	43	INF
9	Dec_14_2015	18.14	15.85	15.87	15.47	15.43	15.03	15.03(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-21	-190	-15	-38	0.09	39%	-0.66	-13.4	3.21%	0	-1.8	41	INF
10	Dec_11_2015	18.26	15.89	15.97	15.65	15.66	15.39	14.85(-5.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-24	-120	-21	-33	0.1	39%	-0.65	-10.6	3.2%	0	-2.5	35	INF

11	Dec_10_2015	18.38	15.92	16.12	15.96	15.89	15.82	15.66(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-7	-40	-8	-2	0.15	41%	-0.7	-5	3.16%	0	-0.7	51	INF
12	Dec_9_2015	18.51	15.93	16.16	16.08	16.03	15.93	15.87(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-50	-7	9	0.07	39%	-0.59	-9.2	3.18%	0	-0.2	54	INF
13	Dec_8_2015	18.62	15.92	16.16	16.21	16.17	15.97	15.94(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-90	-9	20	0.17	42%	-0.59	-10.9	3.22%	0	0.1	60	INF
14	Dec_7_2015	18.73	15.91	16.15	16.33	16.33	16.13	15.91(-3.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	5	-90	-5	36	0.07	42%	-0.74	-7.8	3.27%	0	0	61	INF
15	Dec_4_2015	18.87	15.91	16.18	16.34	16.39	16.37	16.41(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	11	0	-1	45	0.07	42%	-0.63	11.6	3.27%	0	1.2	59	INF

16	Dec_3_2015	18.99	15.93	16.12	16.31	16.35	16.53	16.29(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	17	80	5	53	0.1	40%	-0.68	29.2	3.27%	0	0.9	64	INF
17	Dec_2_2015	19.12	15.93	16.06	16.24	16.26	16.41	16.52(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	70	12	48	0.06	40%	-0.62	39.5	3.31%	0	1.1	55	INF
18	Dec_1_2015	19.24	15.97	15.94	16.07	16.05	16.17	16.51(3.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	50	7	33	0.07	40%	-0.67	51.1	3.31%	0	1.1	58	INF
19	Nov_30_2015	19.37	15.94	15.82	15.94	15.91	16.1	15.97(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	80	1	19	0.1	38%	-0.56	65.1	3.28%	0	0.1	54	INF
20	Nov_27_2015	19.48	15.89	15.79	16	15.91	15.92	16.28(2.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10	7	18	0.02	38%	-0.92	65.9	3.3%	0	0.7	48	INF

21	Nov_25_2015	19.66	15.82	15.79	15.89	15.9	15.72	15.93(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-2	-80	-1	-6	0.03	38%	-0.56	65.4	3.28%	0	0.2	43	INF
22	Nov_24_2015	19.77	15.78	15.79	15.85	15.89	15.88	15.65(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	0	0	-20	0.04	36%	-0.55	68.9	3.28%	0	-0.2	36	INF
23	Nov_23_2015	19.88	15.72	15.68	15.78	15.83	16.08	15.89(-2.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	120	9	-31	0.06	36%	-0.2	59.7	3.35%	0	0.2	43	INF
24	Nov_20_2015	19.92	15.64	15.68	15.66	15.64	15.89	16.26(3.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	110	10	-43	0.07	36%	-0.55	47.5	3.34%	0	0.8	51	INF
25	Nov_19_2015	20.03	15.54	15.66	15.56	15.46	15.59	15.74(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	40	8	-35	0.1	36%		36.3	3.32%	0	0.2	60	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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