Trading Signals: ADMS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 4, 2015

Trading Signals: ADMS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Apr. 10, 2014 - Mon. Aug. 9, 2021)

(Adamas Pharmaceuticals Inc)
ADMS latest price $16.4100 (0.74%) ($15.6700 - $16.6300) on Fri. Dec. 4, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.27% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $16.4100(0.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADMS advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADMS advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADMS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(32%)    IBB(30%)    ARKG(22%)    IWO(22%)    IWM(21%)
Factors Impacting ADMS price   ADMS will decline at least -1.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    BNDX(-10%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.635% (StdDev 3.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $16.34(0.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.18(1.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $15.93(3.01%)
To recent high   -22.3%
To recent low   23.1%
Market Cap   $464m

Adamas Pharmaceuticals, Inc. engages in discovery and development of chrono-synchronous therapies for chronic neurologic disorders. Its products include GOCOVRI, ADS-5012, ADS-4101, and Namzaric. GOCOVRI is indicated for the treatment of dyskinesia in patients with Parkinsonâ€™s disease receiving levodopa-based therapy. ADS-5102 is a treatment for walking impairment in patients with multiple sclerosis. ADS-401 treats partial onset seizures in patients with epilepsy. Namzaric is a drug treatment for moderate to severe Alzheimer's disease. The company was founded by Gregory T. Went on November 15, 2000 and is headquartered in Emeryville, CA.

$. ADMS price fluctuates within 2.51% (three month std-dev: 3.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_4_2015	18.87		16.18	16.34	16.39	16.37	16.41(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	11	0	-1	45	0.07	42%	-0.63	11.6	3.27%	0	1.2	59	0
2	Dec_3_2015	18.99	15.93	16.12	16.31	16.35	16.53	16.29(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	17	80	5	53	0.1	40%	-0.68	29.2	3.27%	0	0.9	64	0
3	Dec_2_2015	19.12	15.93	16.06	16.24	16.26	16.41	16.52(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	70	12	48	0.06	40%	-0.62	39.5	3.31%	0	1.1	55	0
4	Dec_1_2015	19.24	15.97	15.94	16.07	16.05	16.17	16.51(3.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	50	7	33	0.07	40%	-0.67	51.1	3.31%	0	1.1	58	0
5	Nov_30_2015	19.37	15.94	15.82	15.94	15.91	16.1	15.97(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	80	1	19	0.1	38%	-0.56	65.1	3.28%	0	0.1	54	0

6	Nov_27_2015	19.48	15.89	15.79	16	15.91	15.92	16.28(2.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10	7	18	0.02	38%	-0.92	65.9	3.3%	0	0.7	48	0
7	Nov_25_2015	19.66	15.82	15.79	15.89	15.9	15.72	15.93(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-2	-80	-1	-6	0.03	38%	-0.56	65.4	3.28%	0	0.2	43	0
8	Nov_24_2015	19.77	15.78	15.79	15.85	15.89	15.88	15.65(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	0	0	-20	0.04	36%	-0.55	68.9	3.28%	0	-0.2	36	0
9	Nov_23_2015	19.88	15.72	15.68	15.78	15.83	16.08	15.89(-2.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	120	9	-31	0.06	36%	-0.2	59.7	3.35%	0	0.2	43	0
10	Nov_20_2015	19.92	15.64	15.68	15.66	15.64	15.89	16.26(3.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	110	10	-43	0.07	36%	-0.55	47.5	3.34%	0	0.8	51	0

11	Nov_19_2015	20.03	15.54	15.66	15.56	15.46	15.59	15.74(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	40	8	-35	0.1	36%	-0.55	36.3	3.32%	0	0.2	60	0
12	Nov_18_2015	20.14	15.44	15.73	15.44	15.4	15.39	15.7(2.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-9	-10	-2	-29	0.11	34%	-0.49	21.4	3.32%	0	0.3	60	0
13	Nov_17_2015	20.24	15.33	15.86	15.5	15.41	15.34	15.32(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-50	-5	-7	0.1	34%	-0.54	15.6	3.38%	0	-0	54	0
14	Nov_16_2015	20.35	15.29	15.99	15.57	15.53	15.41	15.29(-2.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-60	-4	21	0.13	34%	-0.54	14.8	3.38%	0	0	61	0
15	Nov_13_2015	20.46	15.27	16.08	15.64	15.62	15.47	15.74(3.83%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-70	-9	45	0.07	34%	-0.53	14.8	3.36%	0	0.5	64	0

16	Nov_12_2015	20.57	15.22	16	15.78	15.76	15.65	15.16(-5.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-50	-14	61	0.06	32%	-0.58	15.4	3.34%	0	-0.1	62	0
17	Nov_11_2015	20.69	15.23	15.98	16.06	16.01	15.77	15.99(2.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-110	-12	97	0.07	33%	-0.48	22.8	3.3%	0	0.8	74	0
18	Nov_10_2015	20.79	15.17	15.9	16.28	16.21	15.87	15.66(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	23	-160	-15	137	0.07	33%	-0.53	26.8	3.29%	0	0.5	74	0
19	Nov_9_2015	20.9	15.14	15.78	16.47	16.49	16.24	15.67(-4.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	33	-100	-9	157	0.14	33%	-0.52	32.4	3.29%	0	0.5	60	0
20	Nov_6_2015	21.01	15.12	15.65	16.56	16.53	16.56	16.42(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	52	10	12	172	0.09	35%	-0.47	32.5	3.25%	0	1.3	61	0

21	Nov_5_2015	21.11	15.07	15.43	16.23	16.3	16.73	16.54(-3.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	53	200	22	146	0.1	35%	-0.38	19.2	3.27%	0	1.5	61	0
22	Nov_4_2015	21.19	15	15.13	15.87	15.8	16.51	17.12(3.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	49	300	30	107	0.11	36%	-0.38	2.2	3.25%	0	2.4	60	0
23	Nov_3_2015	21.27	14.91	14.75	15.48	15.35	15.86	16.61(3.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	42	210	35	64	0.14	36%	-0.23	-18.2	3.22%	0	2.2	61	0
24	Nov_2_2015	21.32	14.83	14.51	15.01	14.97	15.1	16.12(9.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	23	50	24	19	0.14	36%	-0.19	-46.2	3.18%	0	1.8	57	0
25	Oct_30_2015	21.36	14.8	14.35	14.63	14.65	14.83	14.76(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	90	7	-23	0.11	29%		-62.6	2.94%	0	-0.1	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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