Trading Signals: ADMS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 18, 2015

Trading Signals: ADMS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Apr. 10, 2014 - Mon. Aug. 9, 2021)

(Adamas Pharmaceuticals Inc)
ADMS latest price $21.1300 (0.91%) ($20.6900 - $21.8600) on Fri. Sep. 18, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.82% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $21.1300(0.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADMS advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADMS advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADMS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(33%)    IBB(32%)    ARKG(23%)    IWO(23%)    IWM(21%)
Factors Impacting ADMS price   ADMS will decline at least -1.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    BNDX(-10%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.41% (StdDev 2.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.28(4.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.88(6.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.78(6.83%)
To recent high   -29.1%
To recent low   11.8%
Market Cap   $598m

Adamas Pharmaceuticals, Inc. engages in discovery and development of chrono-synchronous therapies for chronic neurologic disorders. Its products include GOCOVRI, ADS-5012, ADS-4101, and Namzaric. GOCOVRI is indicated for the treatment of dyskinesia in patients with Parkinsonâ€™s disease receiving levodopa-based therapy. ADS-5102 is a treatment for walking impairment in patients with multiple sclerosis. ADS-401 treats partial onset seizures in patients with epilepsy. Namzaric is a drug treatment for moderate to severe Alzheimer's disease. The company was founded by Gregory T. Went on November 15, 2000 and is headquartered in Emeryville, CA.

$. ADMS price fluctuates within 3.08% (three month std-dev: 2.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151018

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_18_2015	22.1	19.78	19.88	20.28	20.24	20.65	21.13(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	28	140	23	41	0.31	42%	0.14	-20.1	2.82%	0	2.2	52	0
2	Sep_17_2015	22.07	19.71	19.65	20.04	19.94	20.02	20.94(6.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	14	10	14	12	0.09	42%	0.18	-55	3.18%	0	2.3	55	0
3	Sep_16_2015	22.03	19.67	19.65	19.74	19.79	19.84	19.59(-1.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	3	30	6	-8	0.09	46%	0.09	-106.4	3.05%	0	-0.2	50	0
4	Sep_15_2015	22.01	19.71	19.65	19.6	19.61	19.85	19.93(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	90	3	-13	0.12	54%	0.09	-129	3.37%	0	0.4	56	0
5	Sep_14_2015	21.99	19.8	19.52	19.57	19.54	19.74	19.82(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	70	10	-2	0.03	54%	0.14	-107.3	3.77%	0	0	58	0

6	Sep_11_2015	21.96	19.91	19.58	19.4	19.45	19.37	19.93(2.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	-20	8	-6	0.05	53%	0.09	-100	3.78%	0	0	49	0
7	Sep_10_2015	21.94	20.01	19.59	19.2	19.24	19.34	19.43(2.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	40	-5	-19	0.16	55%	0.09	-101	3.77%	0	-0.6	48	0
8	Sep_9_2015	21.92	20.17	19.62	19.27	19.31	19.52	18.9(-4.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-4	80	1	-17	0.06	55%	0.05	-91.7	3.82%	0	-1.1	42	0
9	Sep_8_2015	21.91	20.4	19.67	19.41	19.35	19.15	19.75(3.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-6	-80	-1	-22	0.09	58%	0.27	-81.6	3.78%	0	-0.5	43	0
10	Sep_4_2015	21.85	20.59	19.59	19.47	19.41	19.1	19(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-120	-18	-49	0.04	54%	0.05	-69.4	3.73%	0	-1	30	0

11	Sep_3_2015	21.84	20.82	19.7	19.79	19.78	19.55	18.93(-4.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-80	-10	-46	0.08	56%	0.05	-64.8	3.76%	0	-1.1	29	0
12	Sep_2_2015	21.83	21.06	19.8	20.02	19.99	19.71	19.79(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-100	-4	-51	0.06	61%	0.09	-61.5	3.77%	0	-0.7	32	0
13	Sep_1_2015	21.81	21.29	19.84	20.01	20.05	20.01	19.58(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10	-1	-68	0.06	61%	0.09	-60.4	3.82%	0	-0.9	27	0
14	Aug_31_2015	21.79	21.54	19.94	19.94	19.99	20.27	20.06(-2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	110	10	-87	0.07	61%	0.09	-63.7	3.81%	0	-0.8	25	0
15	Aug_28_2015	21.77	21.77	20.11	19.72	19.8	20.09	20.61(2.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-20	110	10	-109	0.11	61%	0.18	-68.1	3.79%	0	-0.6	26	0

16	Aug_27_2015	21.73	21.97	20.24	19.61	19.54	19.71	20.06(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-29	50	4	-127	0.07	62%	0.14	-72	3.78%	0	-0.9	21	0
17	Aug_26_2015	21.7	22.21	20.43	19.57	19.5	19.5	19.73(2.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-37	-10	-2	-142	0.08	62%	0.09	-76.3	3.79%	0	-1.2	17	0
18	Aug_25_2015	21.68	22.49	20.73	19.67	19.64	19.37	19.26(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-46	-100	-10	-153	0.12	62%	0.09	-77.8	3.78%	0	-1.5	9	0
19	Aug_24_2015	21.66	22.85	21.16	19.94	19.82	19.5	18.92(-5.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-58	-130	-25	-155	0.16	62%	-0.14	-77.7	3.8%	0	-1.8	4	0
20	Aug_21_2015	21.69	23.22	21.66	20.55	20.33	19.91	20.07(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-48	-180	-18	-138	0.13	66%	0.09	-75.4	3.73%	0	-1.5	5	0

21	Aug_20_2015	21.67	23.56	22.03	20.97	20.87	20.14	19.85(-1.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-50	-260	-23	-132	0.11	66%	0.14	-76.3	3.73%	0	-1.8	1	0
22	Aug_19_2015	21.64	23.94	22.44	21.43	21.33	20.74	20.24(-1.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-54	-210	-30	-126	0.11	66%	0.14	-76.5	3.72%	0	-1.8	1	0
23	Aug_18_2015	21.61	24.32	22.88	21.96	21.95	21.6	20.63(-6.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-44	-110	-22	-108	0.09	66%	0.14	-78.4	3.72%	0	-1.9	1	0
24	Aug_17_2015	21.58	24.65	23.3	22.56	22.42	21.92	21.97(-0.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-38	-170	-18	-99	0.08	71%	0.19	-82.1	3.63%	0	-1.5	1	0
25	Aug_14_2015	21.54	24.89	23.58	22.93	22.87	22.31	22.15(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-39	-180	-20	-95	0.13	71%		-75.2	3.63%	0	-1.4	10	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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