Trading Signals: ADMS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ADMS: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 17, 2015

Trading Signals: ADMS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Apr. 10, 2014 - Mon. Aug. 9, 2021)

(Adamas Pharmaceuticals Inc)
ADMS latest price $20.9400 (6.89%) ($19.2100 - $21.1400) on Thu. Sep. 17, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.18% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $20.9400(6.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADMS advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADMS advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADMS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(34%)    IBB(32%)    ARKG(23%)    IWO(23%)    IWM(22%)
Factors Impacting ADMS price   ADMS will decline at least -1.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    BNDX(-10%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.59% (StdDev 3.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 7.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.04(4.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.65(6.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.71(6.24%)
To recent high   -29.7%
To recent low   10.8%
Market Cap   $592m

Adamas Pharmaceuticals, Inc. engages in discovery and development of chrono-synchronous therapies for chronic neurologic disorders. Its products include GOCOVRI, ADS-5012, ADS-4101, and Namzaric. GOCOVRI is indicated for the treatment of dyskinesia in patients with Parkinsonâ€™s disease receiving levodopa-based therapy. ADS-5102 is a treatment for walking impairment in patients with multiple sclerosis. ADS-401 treats partial onset seizures in patients with epilepsy. Namzaric is a drug treatment for moderate to severe Alzheimer's disease. The company was founded by Gregory T. Went on November 15, 2000 and is headquartered in Emeryville, CA.

$. ADMS price fluctuates within 2.69% (three month std-dev: 3.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151017

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_17_2015	22.07	19.71	19.65	20.04	19.94	20.02	20.94(6.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	14	10	14	12	0.09	42%	0.18	-55	3.18%	0	2.3	55	INF
2	Sep_16_2015	22.03	19.67	19.65	19.74	19.79	19.84	19.59(-1.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	3	30	6	-8	0.09	46%	0.09	-106.4	3.05%	0	-0.2	50	INF
3	Sep_15_2015	22.01	19.71	19.65	19.6	19.61	19.85	19.93(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	90	3	-13	0.12	54%	0.09	-129	3.37%	0	0.4	56	INF
4	Sep_14_2015	21.99	19.8	19.52	19.57	19.54	19.74	19.82(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	70	10	-2	0.03	54%	0.14	-107.3	3.77%	0	0	58	INF
5	Sep_11_2015	21.96	19.91	19.58	19.4	19.45	19.37	19.93(2.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	-20	8	-6	0.05	53%	0.09	-100	3.78%	0	0	49	INF

6	Sep_10_2015	21.94	20.01	19.59	19.2	19.24	19.34	19.43(2.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	40	-5	-19	0.16	55%	0.09	-101	3.77%	0	-0.6	48	INF
7	Sep_9_2015	21.92	20.17	19.62	19.27	19.31	19.52	18.9(-4.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-4	80	1	-17	0.06	55%	0.05	-91.7	3.82%	0	-1.1	42	INF
8	Sep_8_2015	21.91	20.4	19.67	19.41	19.35	19.15	19.75(3.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-6	-80	-1	-22	0.09	58%	0.27	-81.6	3.78%	0	-0.5	43	INF
9	Sep_4_2015	21.85	20.59	19.59	19.47	19.41	19.1	19(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-120	-18	-49	0.04	54%	0.05	-69.4	3.73%	0	-1	30	INF
10	Sep_3_2015	21.84	20.82	19.7	19.79	19.78	19.55	18.93(-4.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-80	-10	-46	0.08	56%	0.05	-64.8	3.76%	0	-1.1	29	INF

11	Sep_2_2015	21.83	21.06	19.8	20.02	19.99	19.71	19.79(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-100	-4	-51	0.06	61%	0.09	-61.5	3.77%	0	-0.7	32	INF
12	Sep_1_2015	21.81	21.29	19.84	20.01	20.05	20.01	19.58(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10	-1	-68	0.06	61%	0.09	-60.4	3.82%	0	-0.9	27	INF
13	Aug_31_2015	21.79	21.54	19.94	19.94	19.99	20.27	20.06(-2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	110	10	-87	0.07	61%	0.09	-63.7	3.81%	0	-0.8	25	INF
14	Aug_28_2015	21.77	21.77	20.11	19.72	19.8	20.09	20.61(2.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-20	110	10	-109	0.11	61%	0.18	-68.1	3.79%	0	-0.6	26	INF
15	Aug_27_2015	21.73	21.97	20.24	19.61	19.54	19.71	20.06(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-29	50	4	-127	0.07	62%	0.14	-72	3.78%	0	-0.9	21	INF

16	Aug_26_2015	21.7	22.21	20.43	19.57	19.5	19.5	19.73(2.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-37	-10	-2	-142	0.08	62%	0.09	-76.3	3.79%	0	-1.2	17	INF
17	Aug_25_2015	21.68	22.49	20.73	19.67	19.64	19.37	19.26(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-46	-100	-10	-153	0.12	62%	0.09	-77.8	3.78%	0	-1.5	9	INF
18	Aug_24_2015	21.66	22.85	21.16	19.94	19.82	19.5	18.92(-5.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-58	-130	-25	-155	0.16	62%	-0.14	-77.7	3.8%	0	-1.8	4	INF
19	Aug_21_2015	21.69	23.22	21.66	20.55	20.33	19.91	20.07(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-48	-180	-18	-138	0.13	66%	0.09	-75.4	3.73%	0	-1.5	5	INF
20	Aug_20_2015	21.67	23.56	22.03	20.97	20.87	20.14	19.85(-1.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-50	-260	-23	-132	0.11	66%	0.14	-76.3	3.73%	0	-1.8	1	INF

21	Aug_19_2015	21.64	23.94	22.44	21.43	21.33	20.74	20.24(-1.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-54	-210	-30	-126	0.11	66%	0.14	-76.5	3.72%	0	-1.8	1	INF
22	Aug_18_2015	21.61	24.32	22.88	21.96	21.95	21.6	20.63(-6.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-44	-110	-22	-108	0.09	66%	0.14	-78.4	3.72%	0	-1.9	1	INF
23	Aug_17_2015	21.58	24.65	23.3	22.56	22.42	21.92	21.97(-0.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-38	-170	-18	-99	0.08	71%	0.19	-82.1	3.63%	0	-1.5	1	INF
24	Aug_14_2015	21.54	24.89	23.58	22.93	22.87	22.31	22.15(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-39	-180	-20	-95	0.13	71%	0.28	-75.2	3.63%	0	-1.4	10	INF
25	Aug_13_2015	21.48	25.26	23.85	23.25	23.36	22.93	22.15(-3.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-37	-110	-17	-95	0.22	71%		-65.4	3.63%	0	-1.6	9	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.