Trading Signals: ADM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: ADM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Archer-Daniels-Midland Company)
ADM latest price $35.1100 (-2.58%) ($34.5500 - $35.5700) on Tue. Apr. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.4% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $35.1100(-2.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADM declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADM declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(64%)    IWD(64%)    SDY(64%)    VYM(64%)    IWN(58%)
Factors Impacting ADM price   ADM will decline at least -1.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-11%)    TIP(-6%)    SHY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.2% (StdDev 2.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

Resistance Level   $36.7
5 Day Moving Average   $36.11(-2.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.42(-3.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.7(-4.33%)
To recent high   -8.1%
To recent low   15.1%
Market Cap   $19.521b

Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. processes oilseeds, corn, wheat, cocoa and other agricultural commodities. The company operates through the following segments: Oilseeds Processing, Corn Processing, Wild Flavors & Specialty Ingredients and Agricultural Services. The Oilseeds Processing segment includes activities related to the origination, merchandising, crushing, and further processing of oilseeds such as soybeans and soft seeds, such as cottonseed, sunflower seed, canola, rapeseed, and flaxseed into vegetable oils and protein meals. The Corn Processing segment engages in corn wet milling and dry milling activities; and also converts corn into sweeteners, starches, and bioproducts. The Wild Flavors and Specialty Ingredients segment manufactures, sells, and distributes specialty products including natural flavor ingredients, flavor systems, natural colors, proteins, emulsifiers, soluble fiber, polyols, hydrocolloids, natural health and nutrition products, other specialty food, and feed ingredients. The Agricultural Services segment utilizes its extensive United States grain elevator and global transportation network to buy, store, clean, and transport agricultural commodities, such as oilseeds, corn, wheat, milo, oats, rice and barley. It resells these commodities primarily as food and feed ingredients and as raw materials for the agricultural processing industry. Archer-Daniels-Midland was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. ADM price fluctuates within 2.18% (three month std-dev: 2.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.76%(13%) Average negative next day return: -1.64%(88%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 1.92%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -1.75%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 1.69%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.22%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160505

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_5_2016	35.21	36.7	36.42	36.11	35.99	35.71	35.11(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-32	-60	-22	-63	5.54	45%	-0.11	-18.3	2.4%	0	-2	42	INF
2	Apr_4_2016	35.25	36.8	36.72	36.46	36.38	36.16	36.04(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-50	-5	-35	2.65	45%	-0.03	6.6	2.39%	0	-1.1	46	INF
3	Apr_1_2016	35.26	36.88	36.92	36.46	36.48	36.27	36.47(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-40	-8	-25	3.17	45%	-0.09	27.2	2.4%	0	-0.6	51	INF
4	Mar_31_2016	35.29	36.91	37.09	36.52	36.58	36.6	36.31(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	10	-3	-9	3.77	45%	-0.11	42.2	2.42%	0	-0.8	58	INF
5	Mar_30_2016	35.33	36.89	37.21	36.58	36.55	36.7	36.62(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	30	-2	2	2.87	45%	-0.11	55.2	2.42%	0	-0.4	57	INF

6	Mar_29_2016	35.37	36.84	37.22	36.78	36.62	36.55	36.87(1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	-30	-6	11	2.66	45%	-0.14	68.7	2.42%	0	0	59	INF
7	Mar_28_2016	35.42	36.76	37.21	37.04	36.9	36.4	36.35(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-10	-110	-18	14	2.64	45%	-0.39	76.9	2.42%	0	-0.5	45	INF
8	Mar_24_2016	35.56	36.69	37.25	37.38	37.29	36.69	36.47(-0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-17	-120	-28	17	3.47	45%	-0.2	84.1	2.42%	0	-0.2	41	INF
9	Mar_23_2016	35.63	36.61	37.2	37.73	37.78	37.4	36.6(-2.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-6	-70	-17	29	4.07	45%	-0.2	86.6	2.42%	0	-0	50	INF
10	Mar_22_2016	35.7	36.49	37.17	37.9	38.02	37.88	37.61(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-20	1	45	2.27	49%	-0.25	84.6	2.39%	0	0.8	63	INF

11	Mar_21_2016	35.79	36.3	37.02	37.69	37.82	37.88	38.17(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	70	11	45	3.3	49%	-0.22	77.8	2.42%	0	1.3	69	INF
12	Mar_18_2016	35.87	36.08	36.9	37.4	37.42	38.16	38.07(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	140	26	55	6.36	50%	-0.19	71.4	2.42%	0	1.3	71	INF
13	Mar_17_2016	35.94	35.82	36.83	37.11	36.98	37.47	38.2(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	80	32	64	4.38	48%	-0.25	71.2	2.43%	0	1.6	73	INF
14	Mar_16_2016	36.03	35.6	36.68	36.62	36.57	36.69	37.46(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	20	14	53	3.62	48%	-0.25	66.7	2.45%	0	1.3	72	INF
15	Mar_15_2016	36.12	35.4	36.51	36.34	36.31	36.48	36.56(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	30	4	52	2.92	48%	-0.3	62.3	2.44%	0	0.8	72	INF

16	Mar_14_2016	36.23	35.25	36.42	36.23	36.24	36.46	36.71(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	40	5	60	3.18	48%	-0.28	61.7	2.45%	0	1	74	INF
17	Mar_11_2016	36.33	35.04	36.25	36.32	36.22	36.14	36.6(2.32%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	14	-20	-5	69	2.63	47%	-0.3	56	2.45%	0	1.1	74	INF
18	Mar_10_2016	36.44	34.8	36.08	36.53	36.41	36.02	35.77(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-80	-15	89	3.24	47%	-0.27	48.4	2.46%	0	0.6	77	INF
19	Mar_9_2016	36.54	34.68	35.98	36.74	36.77	36.31	36.06(0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	19	-90	-10	107	3.02	47%	-0.27	51.8	2.46%	0	0.9	65	INF
20	Mar_8_2016	36.64	34.55	35.78	36.7	36.84	36.79	36.03(-2.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	26	0	-4	114	4.27	47%	-0.27	55.8	2.46%	0	0.9	67	INF

21	Mar_7_2016	36.74	34.41	35.57	36.59	36.61	37.24	37.14(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	49	120	23	126	3.6	48%	-0.24	48.6	2.43%	0	1.8	72	INF
22	Mar_4_2016	36.83	34.24	35.23	36.15	36.13	36.88	37.65(2.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	61	140	39	126	5.27	48%	-0.24	41	2.43%	0	2.4	80	INF
23	Mar_3_2016	36.92	34.05	34.73	35.58	35.52	35.98	36.83(2.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	48	90	28	109	4.05	47%	-0.22	34	2.42%	0	2.4	81	INF
24	Mar_2_2016	37	33.87	34.42	35.14	35.11	35.38	35.83(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	50	20	95	3.39	45%	-0.24	27	2.41%	0	2	64	INF
25	Mar_1_2016	37.09	33.69	34.17	34.74	34.8	35.06	35.48(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	60	18	78	4.41	45%		10.7	2.41%	0	2	59	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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