Trading Signals: ADM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: ADM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Archer-Daniels-Midland Company)
ADM latest price $41.5200 (-1.45%) ($41.2500 - $42.0300) on Mon. Nov. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.72% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $41.5200(-1.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADM declines -2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADM declines -4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(64%)    IWD(64%)    SDY(63%)    VYM(63%)    IWN(58%)
Factors Impacting ADM price   ADM will decline at least -0.86% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.86% (StdDev 1.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $36.78(-11.42%)
Resistance Level   $45.03
5 Day Moving Average   $42.58(-2.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.23(-6.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.03(-7.79%)
To recent high   -12.9%
To recent low   1.2%
Market Cap   $23.085b

Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. processes oilseeds, corn, wheat, cocoa and other agricultural commodities. The company operates through the following segments: Oilseeds Processing, Corn Processing, Wild Flavors & Specialty Ingredients and Agricultural Services. The Oilseeds Processing segment includes activities related to the origination, merchandising, crushing, and further processing of oilseeds such as soybeans and soft seeds, such as cottonseed, sunflower seed, canola, rapeseed, and flaxseed into vegetable oils and protein meals. The Corn Processing segment engages in corn wet milling and dry milling activities; and also converts corn into sweeteners, starches, and bioproducts. The Wild Flavors and Specialty Ingredients segment manufactures, sells, and distributes specialty products including natural flavor ingredients, flavor systems, natural colors, proteins, emulsifiers, soluble fiber, polyols, hydrocolloids, natural health and nutrition products, other specialty food, and feed ingredients. The Agricultural Services segment utilizes its extensive United States grain elevator and global transportation network to buy, store, clean, and transport agricultural commodities, such as oilseeds, corn, wheat, milo, oats, rice and barley. It resells these commodities primarily as food and feed ingredients and as raw materials for the agricultural processing industry. Archer-Daniels-Midland was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. ADM price fluctuates within 3.42% (three month std-dev: 1.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 3.72%(44%) Average negative next day return: -1.39%(56%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 3.54%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -2.38%(38%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 5.04%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.74%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151209

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_9_2015	45.74	45.03	44.23	42.58	42.49	42.08	41.52(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-78	-70	-49	-165	5.04	38%	-0.22	-41.5	1.72%	0	-2.3	32	INF
2	Nov_6_2015	45.84	45.24	44.73	43.53	42.82	42.7	42.13(-2.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-59	-70	-39	-119	5.72	36%	-0.2	-23.4	1.75%	0	-2.4	32	INF
3	Nov_5_2015	45.93	45.42	45.22	44.24	43.66	42.91	43.07(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-39	-160	-25	-80	5.41	37%	-0.17	1.6	1.73%	0	-2.1	36	INF
4	Nov_4_2015	46.01	45.54	45.6	44.73	44.36	42.93	43.02(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-76	-250	-76	-74	7.01	39%	-0.2	32	1.73%	0	-2.5	39	INF
5	Nov_3_2015	46.1	45.63	45.86	45.48	45.16	44.41	43.15(-6.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-62	-140	-70	-38	11.42	39%	-0.17	71.8	1.74%	0	-2.6	44	INF

6	Nov_2_2015	46.18	45.68	46.15	46.1	46.05	45.79	46.28(1.36%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	2	-40	-5	22	2.98	44%	-0.13	110.3	1.54%	0	0.7	62	INF
7	Oct_30_2015	46.24	45.55	46.12	46.12	46.12	45.9	45.66(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-14	-30	-25	20	3.57	44%	-0.13	102.9	1.53%	0	0.1	53	INF
8	Oct_29_2015	46.3	45.41	46.16	46.37	46.34	46.31	45.53(-2.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10	-11	42	4.3	44%	-0.15	87.7	1.53%	0	0.1	52	INF
9	Oct_28_2015	46.37	45.22	46.17	46.6	46.53	46.34	46.8(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-30	10	68	2.09	48%	-0.09	79.9	1.5%	0	1	66	INF
10	Oct_27_2015	46.41	44.96	45.99	46.3	46.43	46.37	46.24(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	10	-0	-5	53	2.51	48%	-0.11	66.8	1.52%	0	0.7	69	INF

11	Oct_26_2015	46.46	44.71	45.87	46.19	46.27	46.71	46.39(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	70	14	67	1.79	48%	-0.11	58	1.52%	0	0.9	74	INF
12	Oct_23_2015	46.51	44.46	45.77	46.11	46.06	46.48	46.89(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	45	60	31	85	2.49	47%	-0.09	51.7	1.53%	0	1.3	80	INF
13	Oct_22_2015	46.55	44.23	45.61	45.92	45.82	45.83	46.7(3.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	35	-10	15	95	3.12	47%	-0.13	48.4	1.53%	0	1.4	84	INF
14	Oct_21_2015	46.61	44	45.45	45.7	45.71	45.64	45.29(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-10	-3	113	2.73	43%	-0.17	40.7	1.48%	0	0.7	84	INF
15	Oct_20_2015	46.69	43.84	45.36	45.63	45.66	45.81	45.7(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	42	20	9	141	2.72	43%	-0.15	34.8	1.48%	0	1.1	88	INF

16	Oct_19_2015	46.76	43.67	45.17	45.47	45.46	45.79	45.97(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	53	50	16	162	2.77	43%	-0.15	30.9	1.48%	0	1.4	92	INF
17	Oct_16_2015	46.83	43.53	44.94	45.37	45.28	45.51	45.96(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	60	30	18	184	3.24	43%	-0.15	32.3	1.48%	0	1.5	91	INF
18	Oct_15_2015	46.9	43.38	44.6	45.26	45.19	45.14	45.56(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	49	-10	6	178	2.56	43%	-0.15	33.8	1.48%	0	1.5	70	INF
19	Oct_14_2015	46.97	43.29	44.2	45.17	45.18	45.04	44.96(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	43	-20	-1	173	2.02	43%	-0.17	37.9	1.47%	0	1.2	70	INF
20	Oct_13_2015	47.05	43.24	43.87	45.04	45.1	45.24	44.92(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	50	30	10	170	2.63	43%	-0.04	41.1	1.47%	0	1.2	70	INF

21	Oct_12_2015	47.07	43.15	43.49	44.79	44.87	45.31	45.44(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	63	70	32	156	2.01	43%	-0.15	36.7	1.47%	0	1.7	69	INF
22	Oct_9_2015	47.14	43.02	43.06	44.43	44.42	44.96	45.42(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	67	80	47	125	3.06	43%	-0.17	32	1.47%	0	2	60	INF
23	Oct_8_2015	47.22	42.87	42.74	43.83	43.9	44.43	45.13(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	66	90	57	92	3.15	42%	-0.15	16.7	1.47%	0	2.1	59	INF
24	Oct_7_2015	47.29	42.76	42.41	43.09	43.16	43.88	44.31(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	45	120	49	31	3.9	40%	-0.19	-4.8	1.46%	0	1.6	47	INF
25	Oct_6_2015	47.38	42.68	42.16	42.52	42.5	43.38	43.64(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	42	140	60	-14	3.22	37%		-23.6	1.45%	0	1	43	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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