Trading Signals: ADM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 15, 2012

Trading Signals: ADM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Archer-Daniels-Midland Company)
ADM latest price $31.0400 (-0.35%) ($30.9600 - $31.5400) on Wed. Feb. 15, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.52% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $31.0400(-0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADM advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADM advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(57%)    XLP(55%)    IWM(53%)    XAR(50%)    EWG(47%)
Factors Impacting ADM price   ADM will decline at least -0.76% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    TIP(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-4%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.76% (StdDev 1.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.89(0.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.34(2.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30(3.47%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   13.8%
Market Cap   $17.258b

Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. processes oilseeds, corn, wheat, cocoa and other agricultural commodities. The company operates through the following segments: Oilseeds Processing, Corn Processing, Wild Flavors & Specialty Ingredients and Agricultural Services. The Oilseeds Processing segment includes activities related to the origination, merchandising, crushing, and further processing of oilseeds such as soybeans and soft seeds, such as cottonseed, sunflower seed, canola, rapeseed, and flaxseed into vegetable oils and protein meals. The Corn Processing segment engages in corn wet milling and dry milling activities; and also converts corn into sweeteners, starches, and bioproducts. The Wild Flavors and Specialty Ingredients segment manufactures, sells, and distributes specialty products including natural flavor ingredients, flavor systems, natural colors, proteins, emulsifiers, soluble fiber, polyols, hydrocolloids, natural health and nutrition products, other specialty food, and feed ingredients. The Agricultural Services segment utilizes its extensive United States grain elevator and global transportation network to buy, store, clean, and transport agricultural commodities, such as oilseeds, corn, wheat, milo, oats, rice and barley. It resells these commodities primarily as food and feed ingredients and as raw materials for the agricultural processing industry. Archer-Daniels-Midland was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. ADM price fluctuates within 2.17% (three month std-dev: 1.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 27 Average positive next day return: 1.01%(59%) Average negative next day return: -1.12%(41%) Sample size 27 Average positive next three day return: 1.3%(48%) Average negative next three day return: -1.42%(52%) Sample size 27 Average positive next weekly return: 1.98%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.3%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120315

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_15_2012	28.65	30	30.34	30.89	30.84	31.05	31.04(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	40	14	107	4.34	60%	0.17	73.7	1.52%	0	1.6	62	NAN
2	Feb_14_2012	28.6	29.9	30.16	30.76	30.72	30.87	31.15(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	30	23	92	6.62	60%	0.21	72.4	1.52%	0	1.9	60	NAN
3	Feb_13_2012	28.54	29.78	29.91	30.49	30.53	30.63	30.93(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	30	19	58	4.76	60%	0.21	66.7	1.51%	0	1.9	61	NAN
4	Feb_10_2012	28.48	29.69	29.77	30.23	30.25	30.56	30.57(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	70	18	36	4.78	64%	0.18	59.9	1.55%	0	1.6	57	NAN
5	Feb_9_2012	28.43	29.62	29.69	30.02	30	30.43	30.75(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	33	100	35	26	8.29	56%	0.14	52.3	1.55%	0	2.2	56	NAN

6	Feb_8_2012	28.39	29.52	29.58	29.71	29.7	29.94	30.42(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	21	60	26	5	7.51	56%	0.11	34.6	1.65%	0	2	61	NAN
7	Feb_7_2012	28.36	29.44	29.58	29.46	29.45	29.58	29.8(0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	10	30	16	-7	6.64	53%	0.07	20.1	1.64%	0	0.8	58	NAN
8	Feb_6_2012	28.34	29.4	29.53	29.23	29.33	29.45	29.6(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	40	7	-16	4.6	53%	0.04	8	1.65%	0	0.5	62	NAN
9	Feb_3_2012	28.33	29.37	29.55	29.25	29.14	29.32	29.55(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	30	1	-9	5.36	57%	0.04	13.3	1.65%	0	0.4	55	NAN
10	Feb_2_2012	28.32	29.35	29.6	29.3	29.18	29.21	29.17(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-10	-1	4	6.28	57%	0.07	26	1.68%	0	-0.4	52	NAN

11	Feb_1_2012	28.3	29.36	29.63	29.44	29.33	28.95	29.19(1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-9	-100	-16	12	9.89	51%	0.07	38	1.72%	0	-0.4	55	NAN
12	Jan_31_2012	28.28	29.35	29.64	29.62	29.53	29.15	28.63(-3.64%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-2.2	-16	-100	-29	23	14.16	44%	0.07	47.1	1.79%	0	-1.6	52	NAN
13	Jan_30_2012	28.26	29.36	29.68	29.85	29.82	29.71	29.71(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-30	-7	45	4.47	48%	0.07	64.4	1.82%	0	0.8	64	NAN
14	Jan_27_2012	28.24	29.31	29.63	29.89	29.86	29.9	29.82(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	10	-3	52	3.16	53%	0.11	63.7	1.82%	0	1.1	62	NAN
15	Jan_26_2012	28.21	29.24	29.56	29.93	29.9	29.94	29.84(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	10	7	56	3.41	53%	0.07	67.5	1.91%	0	1.3	59	NAN

16	Jan_25_2012	28.19	29.2	29.47	29.85	29.82	29.82	30.08(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-0	7	47	3.2	53%	0.11	77.4	1.93%	0	1.8	59	NAN
17	Jan_24_2012	28.16	29.14	29.34	29.68	29.69	29.85	29.82(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	40	11	38	2.84	53%	0.04	89.9	1.96%	0	1.6	64	NAN
18	Jan_23_2012	28.15	29.08	29.25	29.47	29.47	29.82	29.89(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	19	80	15	31	3.9	53%	0.11	91.3	1.97%	0	2	68	NAN
19	Jan_20_2012	28.12	29.02	29.16	29.33	29.28	29.52	30.04(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	21	50	19	27	6.57	56%	0.07	107.3	2%	0	2.8	67	NAN
20	Jan_19_2012	28.1	28.93	29.07	29.15	29.11	29.13	29.42(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	11	0	7	21	3.46	54%	0.04	134.4	1.99%	0	1.8	67	NAN

21	Jan_18_2012	28.09	28.83	29.06	29.05	29.02	29.04	29.22(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	6	0	2	16	3.66	57%	0	116.1	2%	0	1.6	52	NAN
22	Jan_17_2012	28.09	28.76	29.02	28.96	29	29.08	28.78(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	4	20	2	10	6	57%	0.04	75.5	2.03%	0	0.1	46	NAN
23	Jan_13_2012	28.08	28.72	29.01	28.99	29	29.01	29.17(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	5	10	3	11	3.98	57%	0.04	34.8	2.06%	0	0.9	57	NAN
24	Jan_12_2012	28.07	28.64	28.97	28.97	28.94	28.92	29.14(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	-10	-0	10	3.68	57%	0.04	15.1	2.06%	0	0.9	57	NAN
25	Jan_11_2012	28.06	28.58	28.9	28.99	28.97	28.88	28.93(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-20	-6	9	4.25	57%		1	2.08%	0	0.6	60	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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