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     Wed. Aug. 17, 2011

Trading Signals: ADM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Archer-Daniels-Midland Company)

ADM latest price $28.3300 (1.03%) ($28.1200 - $28.7200) on Wed. Aug. 17, 2011.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  2.44% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $28.3300(1.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  ADM advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  ADM declines -3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support ADM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  SPY(60%)    IWM(57%)    XLP(57%)    EWG(51%)    OIH(50%)  
Factors Impacting ADM price  ADM will decline at least -1.22% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-29%)    TIP(-10%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(0%)    GLD(3%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -1.22% (StdDev 2.44%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.3%
  
 

  


Resistance Level  $29.15
5 Day Moving Average  $27.89(1.58%)
10 Day Moving Average  $27.64(2.5%)
20 Day Moving Average  $29.15(-2.81%)
To recent high  -12.6%
To recent low  8.3%
Market Cap  $15.751b
 
 
 
Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. processes oilseeds, corn, wheat, cocoa and other agricultural commodities. The company operates through the following segments: Oilseeds Processing, Corn Processing, Wild Flavors & Specialty Ingredients and Agricultural Services. The Oilseeds Processing segment includes activities related to the origination, merchandising, crushing, and further processing of oilseeds such as soybeans and soft seeds, such as cottonseed, sunflower seed, canola, rapeseed, and flaxseed into vegetable oils and protein meals. The Corn Processing segment engages in corn wet milling and dry milling activities; and also converts corn into sweeteners, starches, and bioproducts. The Wild Flavors and Specialty Ingredients segment manufactures, sells, and distributes specialty products including natural flavor ingredients, flavor systems, natural colors, proteins, emulsifiers, soluble fiber, polyols, hydrocolloids, natural health and nutrition products, other specialty food, and feed ingredients. The Agricultural Services segment utilizes its extensive United States grain elevator and global transportation network to buy, store, clean, and transport agricultural commodities, such as oilseeds, corn, wheat, milo, oats, rice and barley. It resells these commodities primarily as food and feed ingredients and as raw materials for the agricultural processing industry. Archer-Daniels-Midland was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. ADM price fluctuates within 6.48% (three month std-dev: 2.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0   Average positive next day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next day return: 0%(0%)
Sample size 0   Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next three day return: %(0%)
Sample size 0   Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20110917

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1Aug_17_201131.8329.1527.6427.89 27.93 28.1728.33(1.03%)DPOpenShort-650.2   -2   60   22   -72   5.17    49%-0.25-32.92.44%0-0.4420
2Aug_16_201131.9129.2927.7427.46 27.62 27.9328.04(-0.88%)DPOpenShort-650.3   -19   100   11   -109   5.63    49%-0.22-37.42.43%0-0.7400
3Aug_15_201131.9829.4227.7927.4 27.3 27.6928.29(3.7%)DPOpenShort-650.5   -16   90   22   -131   6.53    49%-0.22-39.92.43%0-0.6390
4Aug_12_201132.0529.4927.9827 27.1 27.3127.28(-0.91%)DPOpenShort-650.2   -42   70   1   -172   7.13    47%-0.28-48.22.38%0-1.2340
5Aug_11_201132.1429.6628.2727.27 26.99 26.9127.53(5.2%)DPOpenShort-750.1   -50   -50   -7   -178   9.41    45%-0.28-48.62.38%0-1.2340
 
6Aug_10_201132.2329.7928.5927.37 27.3 26.8926.17(-5.56%)DTOpenShort-75-0.7   -74   -110   -32   -201   11.26    41%-0.31-50.52.3%0-2.1260
7Aug_9_201132.3330.0229.0828.07 27.8 27.0727.71(5.4%)DPOpenShort-75-0.2   -65   -210   -27   -178   10.82    44%-0.25-46.82.21%0-1.5360
8Aug_8_201132.4130.1829.4628.24 28.31 27.726.29(-8.21%)DTOpenShort-75-1.4   -87   -140   -55   -184   14    39%-0.28-48.12.09%0-2.8330
9Aug_5_201132.530.4130.0329.08 28.81 28.5328.64(2.1%)DPOpenShort-75-0.4   -57   -100   -32   -130   13.39    43%-0.18-431.85%0-1.6480
10Aug_4_201132.5630.5430.3829.43 29.36 28.9228.05(-5.36%)DTOpenShort-75-1.4   -48   -110   -32   -96   12.17    41%-0.21-33.51.83%0-2.5410
 
11Aug_3_201132.6330.6830.8129.98 29.84 29.0829.64(3.64%)DPOpenShort-75-0.4   -42   -190   -40   -47   12.43    40%-0.18-21.91.72%0-1.2510
12Aug_2_201132.6930.7430.9930.26 30.3 29.8128.6(-6.17%)DTOpenShort-75-2   -46   -110   -52   -26   14.45    37%-0.21-7.21.84%0-2.6420
13Aug_1_201132.7630.8731.2230.86 30.85 30.6130.48(0.33%)N/AN/A0-0.6   -10   -60   -21   22   6.17    41%-0.1825.31.68%0-0.6490
14Jul_29_201132.8230.8931.1631.13 31.14 30.7830.38(-1.4%)N/AN/A0-1.1   -13   -80   -27   28   6.96    43%-0.1547.51.7%0-0.8510
15Jul_28_201132.8730.8831.1731.47 31.45 31.0930.81(-0.64%)N/AN/A0-1   -10   -80   -28   44   5.77    43%-0.1866.41.71%0-0.1490
 
16Jul_27_201132.9330.8631.0931.77 31.75 31.531.01(-1.87%)UDOpenLong65-1.1   6   -60   -14   64   5.47    43%-0.1878.11.71%00.2550
17Jul_26_201132.9930.831.0431.82 31.94 31.8131.6(-0.72%)UDOpenLong75-0.3   22   -20   5   74   4.31    46%-0.15701.7%01.1560
18Jul_25_201133.0430.730.9531.62 31.77 3231.83(-0.9%)UDOpenLong750.3   33   60   22   65   3.81    46%-0.18571.72%01.5550
19Jul_22_201133.130.5730.8131.18 31.34 32.0632.12(-0.46%)UDOpenLong751.2   40   180   39   42   4.05    46%-0.1534.91.72%02580
20Jul_21_201133.1530.4430.6930.81 30.77 31.5532.27(3.1%)UTOpenLong752.1   48   170   53   34   7.04    46%-0.1523.51.73%02.6630
 
21Jul_20_201133.230.3330.4930.34 30.31 30.6231.3(2.42%)N/AN/A01.7   21   70   30   -5   7.55    46%-0.1512.21.68%01.8570
22Jul_19_201133.2530.2930.4230.16 30.1 29.9930.56(3.14%)DPOpenShort-750.8   -8   -30   -5   -18   4.99    43%-0.2161.68%00.5590
23Jul_18_201133.3230.2830.4630.21 30.25 3029.63(-2.21%)DTOpenShort-75-1.1   -14   -50   -17   -6   5.69    40%-0.2114.31.64%0-1.3530
24Jul_15_201133.3930.3130.5930.39 30.44 30.230.3(1.37%)N/AN/A0-0.2   -7   -50   -17   23   4.84    41%-0.1830.91.63%0-0620
25Jul_14_201133.4530.2730.5830.53 30.57 30.529.89(-1.81%)UDOpenLong65-1.2   1   -10   -13   43   7.05    41%32.61.62%0-0.7560
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
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100
Daily
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