Trading Signals: ADM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 3, 2011

Trading Signals: ADM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Archer-Daniels-Midland Company)
ADM latest price $37.2900 (1.41%) ($36.9400 - $37.3500) on Thu. Mar. 3, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.42% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $37.2900(1.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADM advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADM advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(61%)    IWM(57%)    XLP(57%)    EWG(52%)    EEM(50%)
Factors Impacting ADM price   ADM will decline at least -0.71% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    TIP(-11%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.71% (StdDev 1.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.95(0.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.91(1.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.56(2%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   25.3%
Market Cap   $20.733b

Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. processes oilseeds, corn, wheat, cocoa and other agricultural commodities. The company operates through the following segments: Oilseeds Processing, Corn Processing, Wild Flavors & Specialty Ingredients and Agricultural Services. The Oilseeds Processing segment includes activities related to the origination, merchandising, crushing, and further processing of oilseeds such as soybeans and soft seeds, such as cottonseed, sunflower seed, canola, rapeseed, and flaxseed into vegetable oils and protein meals. The Corn Processing segment engages in corn wet milling and dry milling activities; and also converts corn into sweeteners, starches, and bioproducts. The Wild Flavors and Specialty Ingredients segment manufactures, sells, and distributes specialty products including natural flavor ingredients, flavor systems, natural colors, proteins, emulsifiers, soluble fiber, polyols, hydrocolloids, natural health and nutrition products, other specialty food, and feed ingredients. The Agricultural Services segment utilizes its extensive United States grain elevator and global transportation network to buy, store, clean, and transport agricultural commodities, such as oilseeds, corn, wheat, milo, oats, rice and barley. It resells these commodities primarily as food and feed ingredients and as raw materials for the agricultural processing industry. Archer-Daniels-Midland was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. ADM price fluctuates within 1.7% (three month std-dev: 1.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110403

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_3_2011	32.52	36.56	36.91	36.95	37.01	36.86	37.29(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-20	10	35	3.51	70%	0.15	122.9	1.42%	0	1.2	65	NAN
2	Mar_2_2011	32.47	36.46	36.89	36.78	36.91	36.83	36.77(0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	6	-0	-2	31	4.69	71%	0.12	124.7	1.41%	0	0.5	56	NAN
3	Mar_1_2011	32.43	36.37	36.86	36.6	36.82	37.15	36.62(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	12	80	7	27	4.91	73%	0.12	111.2	1.43%	0	0.3	55	NAN
4	Feb_28_2011	32.39	36.19	36.87	36.67	36.62	36.99	37.18(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	70	14	43	5.71	75%	0.12	76.1	1.41%	0	0.9	60	NAN
5	Feb_25_2011	32.35	35.98	36.78	36.76	36.64	36.49	36.88(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	-40	-1	46	4.61	75%	0.15	64.9	1.42%	0	0.7	57	NAN

6	Feb_24_2011	32.3	35.81	36.64	36.88	36.83	36.26	36.43(1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-11	-110	-29	43	7.24	75%	0.12	64.2	1.42%	0	0.5	60	NAN
7	Feb_23_2011	32.26	35.67	36.61	37.02	37.05	36.79	35.87(-3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-7	-50	-30	61	10.42	71%	0.12	62.4	1.42%	0	0.1	57	NAN
8	Feb_22_2011	32.22	35.55	36.65	37.14	37.24	37.41	36.98(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	40	11	104	7.26	76%	0.16	61.2	1.39%	0	0.9	72	NAN
9	Feb_18_2011	32.17	35.38	36.55	37.07	37.03	37.32	37.65(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	57	50	26	149	6.85	80%	0.19	59	1.35%	0	1.5	87	NAN
10	Feb_17_2011	32.11	35.16	36.38	36.79	36.75	37.08	37.48(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	71	60	37	174	5.52	80%	0.16	57.1	1.36%	0	1.5	86	NAN

11	Feb_16_2011	32.06	34.95	36.17	36.38	36.41	36.74	37.12(1.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	63	70	28	169	7.19	76%	0.16	55.8	1.36%	0	1.5	76	NAN
12	Feb_15_2011	32.01	34.78	35.99	36.16	36.07	36.43	36.46(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	56	60	17	173	8.08	75%	0.09	61	1.38%	0	1.3	74	NAN
13	Feb_14_2011	31.98	34.64	35.82	36.08	35.98	36.09	36.65(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	65	10	22	192	6.26	75%	0.16	67.5	1.37%	0	1.5	76	NAN
14	Feb_11_2011	31.93	34.48	35.44	35.94	35.87	35.71	36.22(2.2%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	36	-40	-7	165	9.07	75%	0.09	74.5	1.39%	0	1.4	73	NAN
15	Feb_10_2011	31.9	34.33	35.11	35.94	35.95	35.88	35.44(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	36	-10	-6	163	9.5	73%	0.06	84	1.37%	0	0.9	70	NAN

16	Feb_9_2011	31.88	34.18	34.92	35.92	35.97	36.03	36.02(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	53	20	11	177	6.18	77%	0.09	91	1.35%	0	1.5	77	NAN
17	Feb_8_2011	31.85	33.99	34.66	35.78	35.77	36.02	36.09(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	58	50	21	169	6.51	77%	0.13	97.4	1.36%	0	1.8	68	NAN
18	Feb_7_2011	31.81	33.79	34.38	35.5	35.55	35.91	35.95(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	77	80	49	159	6.91	77%	0.09	102.1	1.36%	0	1.9	69	NAN
19	Feb_4_2011	31.78	33.59	34.12	34.85	35.23	35.52	36.09(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	72	90	57	115	7.49	77%	0.09	98.8	1.36%	0	2.3	72	NAN
20	Feb_3_2011	31.75	33.36	33.84	34.18	34.52	35.19	35.45(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	44	170	38	62	6.75	75%	0.09	99	1.36%	0	2.1	71	NAN

21	Feb_2_2011	31.72	33.12	33.61	33.78	34	34.94	35.33(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	62	210	65	54	13.42	62%	0.09	87.3	1.36%	0	2.1	75	NAN
22	Feb_1_2011	31.69	32.87	33.45	33.4	33.6	33.86	34.7(6.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	40	70	42	34	19.58	60%	0.09	78.9	1.59%	0	1.7	74	NAN
23	Jan_31_2011	31.66	32.66	33.33	33.12	33.29	33.05	32.67(-0.27%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-11	-40	-19	12	8.42	51%	-0.03	71.6	1.39%	0	0	63	NAN
24	Jan_28_2011	31.67	32.54	33.42	33.27	33.38	33.34	32.76(-2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	0	-14	44	5.81	51%	0.03	67.7	1.39%	0	0.2	66	NAN
25	Jan_27_2011	31.66	32.41	33.48	33.41	33.45	33.53	33.43(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	24	20	4	83	5	55%		63.2	1.37%	0	0.8	81	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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