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     Wed. Jul. 22, 2009

Trading Signals: ADM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Archer-Daniels-Midland Company)

ADM latest price $29.4700 (0.72%) ($28.5000 - $29.6800) on Wed. Jul. 22, 2009.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  2.63% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $29.4700(0.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  ADM advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  ADM advances 4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support ADM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  SPY(60%)    XLP(57%)    IWM(56%)    EWG(51%)    EEM(50%)  
Factors Impacting ADM price  ADM will decline at least -1.315% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-30%)    TIP(-10%)    SHY(-9%)    LQD(4%)    IGOV(4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -1.315% (StdDev 2.63%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1.7%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $28.96(1.76%)
10 Day Moving Average  $28.14(4.73%)
20 Day Moving Average  $27.53(7.05%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  24.2%
Market Cap  $16.385b
 
 
 
Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. processes oilseeds, corn, wheat, cocoa and other agricultural commodities. The company operates through the following segments: Oilseeds Processing, Corn Processing, Wild Flavors & Specialty Ingredients and Agricultural Services. The Oilseeds Processing segment includes activities related to the origination, merchandising, crushing, and further processing of oilseeds such as soybeans and soft seeds, such as cottonseed, sunflower seed, canola, rapeseed, and flaxseed into vegetable oils and protein meals. The Corn Processing segment engages in corn wet milling and dry milling activities; and also converts corn into sweeteners, starches, and bioproducts. The Wild Flavors and Specialty Ingredients segment manufactures, sells, and distributes specialty products including natural flavor ingredients, flavor systems, natural colors, proteins, emulsifiers, soluble fiber, polyols, hydrocolloids, natural health and nutrition products, other specialty food, and feed ingredients. The Agricultural Services segment utilizes its extensive United States grain elevator and global transportation network to buy, store, clean, and transport agricultural commodities, such as oilseeds, corn, wheat, milo, oats, rice and barley. It resells these commodities primarily as food and feed ingredients and as raw materials for the agricultural processing industry. Archer-Daniels-Midland was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. ADM price fluctuates within 3.41% (three month std-dev: 2.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2   Average positive next day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next day return: -1.33%(100%)
Sample size 2   Average positive next three day return: 0.94%(50%)   Average negative next three day return: -2.85%(50%)
Sample size 2   Average positive next weekly return: 5.95%(100%)   Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20090822

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1Jul_22_200926.927.5328.1428.96 28.98 29.2129.47(0.72%)UTOpenLong750.5   34   60   13   96   6.95    43%0.1563.92.63%02.1630
2Jul_21_200926.8627.3527.8428.66 28.74 29.0829.26(0.93%)UTOpenLong750.7   38   90   22   85   4.79    43%0.1552.82.63%02.2670
3Jul_20_200926.8227.2227.6328.26 28.35 28.7428.99(1.26%)UTOpenLong751   34   110   22   68   4.58    38%0.1139.82.63%02.3610
4Jul_17_200926.7927.1227.427.88 27.93 28.3928.63(0.56%)UTOpenLong751.2   30   120   23   50   3.69    38%0.0420.82.74%02.4630
5Jul_16_200926.7827.0427.1827.48 27.5 27.9728.47(1.9%)UTOpenLong751.9   23   120   21   29   4.52    38%0.04-10.22.74%02.7590
 
6Jul_15_200926.7726.9427.0727.19 27.14 27.4827.94(2.49%)UTOpenLong751.7   19   80   18   22   6.3    38%0-53.82.73%02.3600
7Jul_14_200926.7726.8927.0727.19 26.95 27.0227.26(0.66%)UTOpenLong751   7   20   6   11   3.93    35%0-100.72.72%01600
8Jul_13_200926.7726.9226.9426.91 26.81 26.827.08(1.58%)UTOpenLong750.4   3   -10   0   12   4.23    39%-0.04-87.82.8%00.4530
9Jul_10_200926.7826.9926.926.84 26.84 26.8726.66(-1.37%)UDOpenLong75-0.3   3   10   2   5   3.46    39%-0.04-62.62.84%0-0.6460
10Jul_9_200926.7927.126.9326.82 26.76 26.8227.03(1.85%)N/AN/A00.3   -1   10   -2   1   4.41    39%0-48.12.86%0-0.1480
 
11Jul_8_200926.7927.1826.8826.92 26.75 26.8126.54(-2.53%)UDOpenLong65-0.5   1   -0   -1   5   5.09    39%-0.04-342.85%0-0.8510
12Jul_7_200926.827.2626.8426.92 26.9 26.727.23(1.79%)N/AN/A00.3   0   -60   0   0   7.65    33%0.04-332.83%0-0510
13Jul_6_200926.7927.2926.7926.97 26.92 26.6826.75(0.79%)DPOpenShort-75-0.3   -9   -70   -8   -10   3.51    33%-0.15-35.73.13%0-0.7420
14Jul_2_200926.8327.3526.8426.96 27.06 27.126.54(-3.67%)DTOpenShort-75-0.5   -7   20   -3   -18   3.98    33%-0.04-33.73.1%0-1360
15Jul_1_200926.8427.4426.9127.05 27.03 27.1527.55(2.91%)N/AN/A00.6   2   30   9   -21   4.72    35%-0.04-25.43.07%00.1390
 
16Jun_30_200926.8527.4526.8126.84 26.88 27.0226.77(-1.76%)DTHoldShort-50-0.1   -6   40   7   -46   6.61    33%-0.11-26.53.04%0-0.8350
17Jun_29_200926.8827.5326.8426.69 26.72 26.9227.25(2.1%)DPOpenShort-650.7   -10   60   7   -59   4.66    33%0-24.63.08%0-0.3420
18Jun_26_200926.8827.5926.8926.59 26.55 26.7426.69(-1.07%)DTOpenShort-750.1   -17   50   0   -67   8.64    33%0-21.93.07%0-1.1420
19Jun_25_200926.8827.6327.0726.7 26.58 26.5326.98(1.81%)DPOpenShort-750.4   -16   -30   -1   -59   6    33%0.04-9.33.07%0-0.8430
20Jun_24_200926.8727.6527.2626.76 26.79 26.3726.5(1.88%)DPOpenShort-75-0.3   -19   -110   -6   -57   4.8    33%-0.04-3.43.06%0-1.4360
 
21Jun_23_200926.8827.6727.4826.77 26.92 26.6326.01(-2.77%)DTOpenShort-75-1   -26   -60   -16   -55   7.67    39%-0.042.43.05%0-2.1380
22Jun_22_200926.8927.7427.7226.99 27.01 27.2126.75(-1.94%)DTOpenShort-75-0.3   -16   50   -7   -43   4.48    39%-0.0424.23.13%0-1.4380
23Jun_19_200926.927.7727.8427.22 27.18 27.227.28(0.07%)DPOpenShort-750.1   -11   0   -2   -36   6.06    39%048.43.14%0-0.7410
24Jun_18_200926.927.7127.9127.51 27.34 26.827.26(2.6%)DPOpenShort-75-0.3   -21   -160   -18   -30   4.61    39%-0.0456.43.14%0-0.6500
25Jun_17_200926.9127.6828.0327.85 27.79 27.1626.57(-1.99%)DTOpenShort-75-1.5   -24   -170   -27   -13   4.14    39%75.63.13%0-1.3490
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
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ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
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ema5
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Strength
100
Daily
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Force
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BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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