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     Wed. Jan. 30, 2008

Trading Signals: ADM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Archer-Daniels-Midland Company)

ADM latest price $42.9900 (0.12%) ($42.5100 - $43.8500) on Wed. Jan. 30, 2008.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  2.26% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $42.9900(0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  ADM advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  ADM declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support ADM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  SPY(63%)    EEM(58%)    EWG(57%)    IWM(57%)    VWO(57%)  
Factors Impacting ADM price  ADM will decline at least -1.13% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-28%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(7%)    LQD(11%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -1.13% (StdDev 2.26%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.7%
  
 

  


Resistance Level  $43.43
5 Day Moving Average  $42.72(0.63%)
10 Day Moving Average  $41.95(2.48%)
20 Day Moving Average  $43.43(-1.01%)
To recent high  -8.7%
To recent low  24.5%
Market Cap  $23.902b
 
 
 
Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. processes oilseeds, corn, wheat, cocoa and other agricultural commodities. The company operates through the following segments: Oilseeds Processing, Corn Processing, Wild Flavors & Specialty Ingredients and Agricultural Services. The Oilseeds Processing segment includes activities related to the origination, merchandising, crushing, and further processing of oilseeds such as soybeans and soft seeds, such as cottonseed, sunflower seed, canola, rapeseed, and flaxseed into vegetable oils and protein meals. The Corn Processing segment engages in corn wet milling and dry milling activities; and also converts corn into sweeteners, starches, and bioproducts. The Wild Flavors and Specialty Ingredients segment manufactures, sells, and distributes specialty products including natural flavor ingredients, flavor systems, natural colors, proteins, emulsifiers, soluble fiber, polyols, hydrocolloids, natural health and nutrition products, other specialty food, and feed ingredients. The Agricultural Services segment utilizes its extensive United States grain elevator and global transportation network to buy, store, clean, and transport agricultural commodities, such as oilseeds, corn, wheat, milo, oats, rice and barley. It resells these commodities primarily as food and feed ingredients and as raw materials for the agricultural processing industry. Archer-Daniels-Midland was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. ADM price fluctuates within 4.19% (three month std-dev: 2.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0   Average positive next day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next day return: 0%(0%)
Sample size 0   Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next three day return: %(0%)
Sample size 0   Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

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1Jan_30_200837.8243.4341.9542.72 42.85 43.1342.99(0.12%)N/AN/A00.1   2   50   18   -45   4.86    62%0.29-43.72.26%0-0.240NAN
2Jan_29_200837.7143.5942.1142.29 42.51 42.9342.94(-0.83%)N/AN/A00.3   9   80   31   -56   5.69    63%0.29-44.52.26%0-0.341NAN
3Jan_28_200837.643.7942.2941.74 41.63 42.5743.3(2.83%)N/AN/A00.8   4   150   32   -79   6.74    63%0.29-41.72.26%0-0.339NAN
4Jan_25_200837.4943.9242.341.26 40.79 42.142.11(-0.38%)N/AN/A00.4   5   190   41   -105   7.17    61%0.24-36.12.24%0-0.933NAN
5Jan_24_200837.444.142.5241.07 40.41 40.6942.27(3.48%)DPOpenShort-650.6   -11   0   27   -125   6.75    60%0.24-27.32.24%0-0.934NAN
 
6Jan_23_200837.3144.2442.7941.09 40.4 39.4840.85(1.64%)DPOpenShort-75-0.1   -73   -210   -45   -156   8.02    58%0.21-16.42.23%0-1.630NAN
7Jan_22_200837.2344.4443.2241.92 41.34 40.1240.19(-1.74%)DTHoldShort-65-0.9   -87   -250   -67   -148   8.75    58%0.166.12.22%0-2.222NAN
8Jan_18_200837.1744.6243.7942.91 42.74 41.3140.9(-0.63%)DTHoldShort-65-1.2   -70   -250   -53   -119   9.18    57%0.2238.82.2%0-2.322NAN
9Jan_17_200837.0944.6944.3143.46 43.66 42.5741.16(-2.86%)DTOpenShort-75-1.6   -71   -160   -59   -105   12.54    57%0.2265.82.2%0-2.531NAN
10Jan_16_200837.0144.6844.7944.15 44.27 44.1642.37(-5.84%)DTOpenShort-75-1.3   -40   -10   -29   -73   11.8    59%0.392.52.17%0-1.736NAN
 
11Jan_15_200836.944.5945.144.15 44.57 44.7645(-0.31%)DPOpenShort-650.2   -3   20   10   -41   10.24    63%0.3591.82.02%00.251NAN
12Jan_14_200836.7744.3245.2444.71 44.55 44.3845.14(3.44%)DPOpenShort-750.2   -14   -40   -7   -36   7.84    63%0.3378.32.03%00.457NAN
13Jan_11_200836.654445.4144.86 44.77 44.3943.64(-2.11%)DTOpenShort-75-0.5   -23   -70   -25   -16   8.91    63%0.370.42%0-0.256NAN
14Jan_10_200836.5443.7845.6745.3 45.21 44.7244.58(-1.35%)N/AN/A0-0.3   -8   -80   -20   30   9.44    65%0.3670.62%00.371NAN
15Jan_9_200836.4143.4545.6745.53 45.47 45.1545.19(0.38%)UDOpenLong65-0.1   6   -50   -17   76   10.23    66%0.3668.71.99%00.678NAN
 
16Jan_8_200836.2843.1345.845.54 45.7 45.745.02(-1.83%)UDOpenLong65-0.2   21   10   -10   114   8.63    66%0.3666.92%00.679NAN
17Jan_7_200836.1542.8245.7545.83 45.75 45.845.86(0.02%)UDOpenLong650   37   0   -6   165   8.14    66%0.3971.31.98%00.985NAN
18Jan_4_200836.0142.4345.5146.07 45.95 45.7145.85(0.26%)UDOpenLong65-0.1   51   -40   -4   215   6.93    66%0.3975.91.98%0187NAN
19Jan_3_200835.8741.9845.146.07 46.15 45.745.73(1.04%)UDOpenLong65-0.1   51   -70   -12   240   5.94    64%0.3677.31.98%01.183NAN
20Jan_2_200835.7441.5544.5846.11 46.14 46.1945.26(-2.52%)UDOpenLong65-0.2   61   10   -8   269   11.94    64%0.3978.62%01.185NAN
 
21Dec_31_200735.641.144.0746.06 46.05 46.646.43(-1.4%)UDOpenLong750.1   100   80   31   307   6.34    67%0.3477.81.96%01.579NAN
22Dec_28_200735.4840.5843.3545.63 45.55 46.0847.09(2.28%)UTHoldLong650.4   110   80   43   309   6.02    65%0.3478.21.95%01.983NAN
23Dec_27_200735.3640.0242.4744.87 44.85 45.5146.04(0.63%)UTHoldLong650.4   107   100   46   288   6.76    64%0.3179.61.96%01.983NAN
24Dec_26_200735.2539.541.7343.94 44.07 45.0245.75(1.69%)UTHoldLong650.6   118   160   65   277   5.67    65%0.3476.31.96%02.184NAN
25Dec_24_200735.1338.9840.8842.82 42.91 44.244.99(1.63%)UTHoldLong650.8   115   220   72   242   3.32    65%70.61.94%02.282NAN
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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Fast Hourly
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ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
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100
Daily
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Force
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