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     Wed. Nov. 24, 2004

Trading Signals: ADM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Archer-Daniels-Midland Company)

ADM latest price $21.1700 (0.81%) ($21.0000 - $21.2000) on Wed. Nov. 24, 2004.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.55% (three month average)
RSI   93
Latest Price   $21.1700(0.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  ADM advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  ADM advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support ADM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  SPY(59%)    EEM(54%)    EWG(53%)    IWM(53%)    XLP(53%)  
Factors Impacting ADM price  ADM will decline at least -0.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-25%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(-2%)    REMX(2%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.775% (StdDev 1.55%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.6%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $20.94(1.1%)
10 Day Moving Average  $20.78(1.88%)
20 Day Moving Average  $20.12(5.22%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  34.5%
Market Cap  $11.771b
 
 
 
Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. processes oilseeds, corn, wheat, cocoa and other agricultural commodities. The company operates through the following segments: Oilseeds Processing, Corn Processing, Wild Flavors & Specialty Ingredients and Agricultural Services. The Oilseeds Processing segment includes activities related to the origination, merchandising, crushing, and further processing of oilseeds such as soybeans and soft seeds, such as cottonseed, sunflower seed, canola, rapeseed, and flaxseed into vegetable oils and protein meals. The Corn Processing segment engages in corn wet milling and dry milling activities; and also converts corn into sweeteners, starches, and bioproducts. The Wild Flavors and Specialty Ingredients segment manufactures, sells, and distributes specialty products including natural flavor ingredients, flavor systems, natural colors, proteins, emulsifiers, soluble fiber, polyols, hydrocolloids, natural health and nutrition products, other specialty food, and feed ingredients. The Agricultural Services segment utilizes its extensive United States grain elevator and global transportation network to buy, store, clean, and transport agricultural commodities, such as oilseeds, corn, wheat, milo, oats, rice and barley. It resells these commodities primarily as food and feed ingredients and as raw materials for the agricultural processing industry. Archer-Daniels-Midland was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. ADM price fluctuates within 5.17% (three month std-dev: 1.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1   Average positive next day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next day return: -4%(100%)
Sample size 1   Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next three day return: -1.74%(100%)
Sample size 1   Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next weekly return: -1.6%(100%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20041224

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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1Nov_24_200417.1320.1220.7820.94 20.91 21.0221.17(0.81%)UTHoldLong650.2   34   30   12   98   1.88    90%0.2395.41.55%01930
2Nov_23_200417.0919.9420.7120.84 20.82 20.8821(0.53%)UTHoldLong650.1   34   20   8   112   2.81    90%0.2385.61.55%00.9940
3Nov_22_200417.0519.7520.6120.76 20.76 20.8120.89(0.43%)UTHoldLong650.1   35   20   5   125   2.29    90%0.2977.41.56%00.9950
4Nov_19_20041719.5620.5220.72 20.7 20.7720.8(-0.24%)UDOpenLong750.1   40   20   6   143   2.06    90%0.2471.51.57%00.9900
5Nov_18_200416.9619.3720.4320.67 20.68 20.720.85(0.82%)UTOpenLong750.1   44   10   8   151   1.99    90%0.24681.56%01740
 
6Nov_17_200416.9219.1820.2920.6 20.62 20.6320.68(0.39%)UTHoldLong650.1   46   10   2   176   2.4    90%0.2465.51.56%01840
7Nov_16_200416.8818.9920.1520.56 20.57 20.6620.6(-0.39%)UDOpenLong750   63   30   12   216   2.82    90%0.2464.91.56%01.1860
8Nov_15_200416.8418.8119.9720.43 20.48 20.6120.68(0.68%)UTHoldLong650.2   73   50   17   242   6.09    90%0.2464.51.56%01.3870
9Nov_12_200416.818.6319.7920.28 20.28 20.4920.54(0.29%)UTHoldLong650.2   79   70   16   267   4.82    90%0.363.51.57%01.4870
10Nov_11_200416.7518.4519.6720.14 20.12 20.3520.48(-0.1%)UDOpenLong750.3   96   80   24   313   3.3    90%0.2463.41.57%01.5880
 
11Nov_10_200416.7118.2819.4119.95 19.93 20.0820.5(2.71%)UTHoldLong650.4   100   50   28   317   4.44    90%0.2463.61.58%01.7840
12Nov_9_200416.6718.119.119.68 19.71 19.8919.96(0.2%)UTHoldLong650.2   94   70   24   304   3.05    89%0.1862.41.56%01.6830
13Nov_8_200416.6417.9418.8219.44 19.48 19.7819.92(0.4%)UTHoldLong650.4   92   110   27   287   2.04    89%0.2459.81.56%01.8800
14Nov_5_200416.617.7918.5319.23 19.22 19.5319.84(1.69%)UTHoldLong650.6   79   110   20   256   3.57    85%0.1859.21.6%02770
15Nov_4_200416.5717.6418.2219.13 19.06 19.1819.51(1.88%)UTHoldLong650.4   89   30   33   257   4.53    84%0.1865.11.59%02.1770
 
16Nov_3_200416.5417.517.9718.79 18.97 18.9119.15(2.08%)UTOpenLong750.4   79   10   32   220   5.48    83%0.1861.71.58%02.1730
17Nov_2_200416.5117.3917.7418.42 18.6 18.9418.76(-0.58%)UDOpenLong750.5   65   160   28   174   5.23    84%0.1257.81.57%01.9710
18Nov_1_200416.4917.317.5618.09 18.19 19.0318.87(-2.58%)UDOpenLong751.2   80   340   58   146   5.77    84%0.1256.51.65%02.5740
19Oct_29_200416.4717.2117.3817.71 17.71 18.2719.37(8.76%)UTHoldLong653.1   81   220   72   108   9.96    82%0.1857.81.69%04.1760
20Oct_28_200416.4417.0717.1217.2 17.17 17.3517.81(2.95%)UTOpenLong752.9   28   70   26   35   3.27    77%0.0686.21.33%03.5640
 
21Oct_27_200416.4317.0217.0417.03 17.01 17.1517.3(1.05%)UTOpenLong751.8   15   50   16   12   2.74    75%0105.71.28%01.9600
22Oct_26_200416.4316.9917.0116.95 16.94 16.9817.12(1%)N/AN/A00.7   4   10   6   -4   1.91    75%0631.28%00.6510
23Oct_25_200416.4316.9416.9916.94 16.91 16.8716.95(0.89%)DPOpenShort-750   -9   -20   -7   -15   1.18    75%040.41.28%00480
24Oct_22_200416.4316.911716.99 16.99 16.8916.8(-1.06%)DTOpenShort-75-0.6   -7   -40   -6   -11   1.68    71%0.0638.41.3%0-0.4400
25Oct_21_200416.4216.8917.0317.02 17.03 16.9616.98(0.35%)DPOpenShort-75-0.1   -6   -30   -7   -1   2.24    66%35.41.3%00.3550
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
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ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
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ema5
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ema10
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Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
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Force
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Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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