Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 22, 2018

Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Adobe)
ADBE latest price $197.8400 (1.08%) ($194.4240 - $198.0000) on Mon. Jan. 22, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.54% (three month average)
RSI   89
Latest Price   $197.8400(1.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADBE advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADBE advances 4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADBE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(75%)    VUG(75%)    XLK(75%)    IVW(74%)    QQQ(74%)
Factors Impacting ADBE price   ADBE will decline at least -0.77% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-18%)    VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-8%)    IGOV(-2%)    XHB(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.77% (StdDev 1.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $195.74(1.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $192.42(2.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $185.47(6.67%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   18.1%
Market Cap   $94.963b

Adobe, Inc. engages in the provision of digital marketing and media solutions. It operates through the following segments: Digital Media, Digital Experience, and Publishing. The Digital Media segment offers creative cloud services, which allow members to download and install the latest versions of products, such as Adobe Photoshop, Adobe Illustrator, Adobe Premiere Pro, Adobe Photoshop Light room and Adobe InDesign, as well as utilize other tools, such as Adobe Acrobat. The Digital Experience segment provides solutions, including analytics, social marketing, targeting, media optimization, digital experience management, and cross-channel campaign management, as well as premium video delivery and monetization. The Publishing segment includes legacy products and services for eLearning solutions, technical document publishing, web application development, and high-end printing. The company was founded by Charles M. Geschke and John E. Warnock in December 1982 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. ADBE price fluctuates within 4.32% (three month std-dev: 1.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 20 Average positive next day return: 1.19%(65%) Average negative next day return: -0.91%(35%) Sample size 20 Average positive next three day return: 1.98%(65%) Average negative next three day return: -1.82%(35%) Sample size 20 Average positive next weekly return: 3.42%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.53%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_22_2018	170.6	185.47	192.42	195.74	195.79	196.15	197.84(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	61	10	25	169	1.7	57%	0.26	66.9	1.54%	0	1.5	89	0.9
2	Jan_19_2018	170.15	184.27	191.17	195.19	195.31	195.79	195.73(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	76	20	38	190	2.34	71%	0.25	65.1	1.56%	0	1.5	87	1
3	Jan_18_2018	169.73	183.21	189.94	193.82	194.4	195.43	196.2(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	75	50	50	148	2.54	72%	0.26	63.4	2.17%	0	1.7	89	0
4	Jan_17_2018	169.29	182.19	188.43	192.01	192.42	194.84	196.49(2.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	94	90	74	155	2.97	72%	0.27	61.5	2.17%	0	1.9	90	0
5	Jan_16_2018	168.83	181.18	186.55	190.05	190.18	193.37	192.46(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	127	120	115	162	4.6	69%	0.36	62.4	2.17%	0	1.7	86	0

6	Jan_12_2018	168.23	180.27	184.86	188.56	187.99	190	195.05(3.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	115	70	104	149	4.25	69%	0.27	63.1	2.16%	0	2.4	94	0
7	Jan_11_2018	167.77	179.29	182.87	186.62	186.16	187	188.92(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	58	20	40	113	1.6	66%	0.23	68.7	2.13%	0	1.9	93	0
8	Jan_10_2018	167.38	178.44	181.51	185.48	185.44	185.98	187.11(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	51	20	34	103	1.66	66%	0.22	75.4	2.13%	0	1.9	87	0
9	Jan_9_2018	167.02	177.77	180.24	184.27	184.58	185.32	186.7(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	54	30	41	94	1.8	66%	0.23	79.7	2.13%	0	2.1	76	0
10	Jan_8_2018	166.64	177.08	179.04	182.47	183.04	184.9	185.04(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	69	80	64	85	2.09	66%	0.23	70.2	2.13%	0	2.2	70	0

11	Jan_5_2018	166.25	176.53	177.96	180.51	180.99	183.83	185.34(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	100	120	105	85	2.38	68%	0.23	53.8	2.13%	0	2.7	75	0
12	Jan_4_2018	165.87	175.9	176.79	178.55	178.66	181.18	183.22(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	94	100	104	64	2.21	68%	0.19	42.3	2.13%	0	2.9	64	0
13	Jan_3_2018	165.55	175.11	175.9	176.98	176.88	178.16	181.04(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	63	50	71	40	2.56	68%	0.19	-9.4	2.13%	0	3.2	70	0
14	Jan_2_2018	165.23	174.48	175.4	175.66	175.68	176.14	177.7(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	21	20	24	13	2.43	68%	0.29	-59.8	2.13%	0	1.5	58	0
15	Dec_29_2017	164.75	174.53	175.33	175.12	175.07	175.6	175.24(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	13	20	14	10	1.81	69%	0.19	-62.9	2.13%	0	0.3	56	0

16	Dec_28_2017	164.44	174.8	175.31	174.98	174.78	175.22	175.55(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	10	22	13	1.04	69%	0.17	-58.6	2.13%	0	0.2	53	0
17	Dec_27_2017	164.16	174.85	175.43	174.72	174.5	174.53	175.36(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	-0	5	8	1.53	69%	0.17	-71.6	2.13%	0	0.2	56	0
18	Dec_26_2017	163.88	175.29	175.17	174.64	174.49	174.33	174.44(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-5	-10	-10	9	0.92	69%	0.26	-54.8	2.13%	0	-0.2	67	0
19	Dec_22_2017	163.46	175.78	175.18	175.1	174.81	174.47	175(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-8	-20	-17	19	1.7	65%	0.17	-40.5	2.15%	0	-0.2	65	0
20	Dec_21_2017	163.18	176.21	175.05	175.61	175.54	174.64	174.56(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-15	-40	-24	13	2.16	65%	0.17	-35.3	2.15%	0	-0.3	43	0

21	Dec_20_2017	162.9	176.6	175.07	175.69	176.37	175.14	174.25(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-40	-40	-2	2.68	60%	0.16	-31.5	2.15%	0	-0.5	40	0
22	Dec_19_2017	162.64	177.07	175.02	176.21	176.86	176.45	174.97(-1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-16	-10	-23	5	2.51	60%	0.18	-25.2	2.22%	0	-0.4	48	0
23	Dec_18_2017	162.35	177.43	174.35	175.72	176.8	177.6	176.74(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	19	50	27	-4	3.44	60%	0.19	-27.1	2.21%	0	-0.1	40	0
24	Dec_15_2017	162.05	177.68	173.55	175.24	175.56	177.26	177.51(1.43%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	28	70	45	-25	9.19	60%	0.19	-29.1	2.21%	0	-0	41	0
25	Dec_14_2017	161.74	177.9	173.64	174.45	174.63	176	175(-1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	32	60	54	-35	4.72	60%		-32.6	2.21%	0	-0.5	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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