Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 22, 2017

Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Adobe)
ADBE latest price $143.6900 (-0.38%) ($143.6600 - $145.7720) on Thu. Jun. 22, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $143.6900(-0.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADBE advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADBE declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADBE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(75%)    IWF(74%)    VUG(74%)    IVW(73%)    QQQ(73%)
Factors Impacting ADBE price   ADBE will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-17%)    VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-8%)    XHB(-1%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $141.41(1.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $139.85(2.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $141.15(1.8%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   13.8%
Market Cap   $68.971b

Adobe, Inc. engages in the provision of digital marketing and media solutions. It operates through the following segments: Digital Media, Digital Experience, and Publishing. The Digital Media segment offers creative cloud services, which allow members to download and install the latest versions of products, such as Adobe Photoshop, Adobe Illustrator, Adobe Premiere Pro, Adobe Photoshop Light room and Adobe InDesign, as well as utilize other tools, such as Adobe Acrobat. The Digital Experience segment provides solutions, including analytics, social marketing, targeting, media optimization, digital experience management, and cross-channel campaign management, as well as premium video delivery and monetization. The Publishing segment includes legacy products and services for eLearning solutions, technical document publishing, web application development, and high-end printing. The company was founded by Charles M. Geschke and John E. Warnock in December 1982 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. ADBE price fluctuates within 1.64% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.99%(38%) Average negative next day return: -0.75%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 1.89%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -1.13%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 3.09%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.98%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170722

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_22_2017	129.95	141.15	139.85	141.41	142.6	144.72	143.69(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	147	130	183	40	3.69	74%	0.24	33.5	0.85%	0	1.1	48	INF
2	Jun_21_2017	129.64	141.01	139.66	140.17	140.83	143.02	144.24(2.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	191	120	243	34	8.25	71%	0.25	33.3	0.85%	0	1.4	56	INF
3	Jun_20_2017	129.32	140.76	139.51	138.97	138.76	140.48	140.91(0.4%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	97	80	141	-37	5.45	67%	0.21	22.4	0.82%	0	0.1	47	INF
4	Jun_19_2017	129.05	140.67	139.67	138.61	138.15	138.63	140.35(1.82%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	73	10	115	-55	4.36	67%	0.21	20.6	0.83%	0	-0.1	43	INF
5	Jun_16_2017	128.78	140.5	139.95	137.99	137.93	137.04	137.84(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-50	-16	-109	4.21	70%	0.2	10.7	0.92%	0	-1.1	38	INF

6	Jun_15_2017	128.52	140.38	140.5	138.03	137.37	137.66	137.52(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-117	0	-108	-144	2.8	70%	0.19	7.4	0.92%	0	-1.1	34	INF
7	Jun_14_2017	128.28	140.27	140.92	139.05	138.25	138.83	138.25(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	18	10	43	-58	2.83	70%	0.2	14	0.92%	0	-0.7	43	INF
8	Jun_13_2017	128.03	140.28	141.31	140.13	139.34	137.08	139.09(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-79	-130	-81	-73	2.87	70%	0.22	28.5	0.91%	0	-0.4	51	INF
9	Jun_12_2017	127.75	140.23	141.66	140.92	140.43	137.67	137.25(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-262	-150	-306	-128	6.77	68%	0.21	39.3	0.9%	0	-1	49	INF
10	Jun_9_2017	127.48	140.24	142.17	142.18	142.46	141.6	138.05(-3.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-103	-40	-136	-3	4.15	70%	0.23	55.2	0.9%	0	-0.7	59	INF

11	Jun_8_2017	127.19	140.19	142.7	143.27	143.4	143.18	142.63(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	33	-10	-1	133	2.81	81%	0.28	66.7	0.79%	0	0.8	79	INF
12	Jun_7_2017	126.84	139.87	142.56	143.02	143.32	143.31	143.62(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	43	10	3	164	1.63	81%	0.28	66.2	0.79%	0	1.2	84	INF
13	Jun_6_2017	126.48	139.46	142.17	142.67	142.9	143.61	143.03(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	66	40	29	176	2.16	81%	0.13	64.9	0.79%	0	1.2	64	INF
14	Jun_5_2017	126.31	139.07	141.77	142.54	142.66	143.33	143.59(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	124	40	96	209	1.85	81%	0.29	64.1	0.79%	0	1.5	66	INF
15	Jun_2_2017	125.95	138.63	141.09	142.2	142.2	142.18	143.48(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	55	-0	17	169	2.89	81%	0.29	65.1	0.79%	0	1.6	68	INF

16	Jun_1_2017	125.59	138.17	140.22	142.08	142.11	141.99	141.38(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	20	-10	-23	150	2.41	81%	0.27	69	0.77%	0	1.1	66	INF
17	May_31_2017	125.25	137.84	139.56	142.03	142.35	142.22	141.86(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	58	0	24	158	2.94	80%	0.27	73.6	0.79%	0	1.4	68	INF
18	May_30_2017	124.91	137.49	139.16	141.56	141.91	142.23	142.41(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	57	20	23	160	1.54	80%	0.42	74.6	0.78%	0	1.8	71	INF
19	May_26_2017	124.39	137.11	138.65	140.85	141.22	142.49	141.89(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	136	70	118	188	1.6	81%	0.3	77.5	0.8%	0	1.9	71	INF
20	May_25_2017	124.02	136.69	138.12	139.76	140.12	141.58	142.85(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	200	80	199	201	1.73	81%	0.32	74.4	0.79%	0	2.6	75	INF

21	May_24_2017	123.63	136.2	137.43	138.09	138.39	139.96	141.12(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	170	90	176	151	1.7	80%	0.31	69.5	0.79%	0	2.4	73	INF
22	May_23_2017	123.25	135.77	136.9	136.74	136.56	138.67	139.52(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	146	100	158	110	2.12	79%	0.14	66.9	0.78%	0	2.1	69	INF
23	May_22_2017	123.08	135.45	136.48	136.44	136.56	136.82	138.86(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	142	40	155	103	2.52	79%	0.3	78.3	0.79%	0	2.1	66	INF
24	May_19_2017	122.71	135.15	136.09	136.19	135.67	134.44	136.43(1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-11	-70	-23	26	3.72	76%	0.28	84.7	0.76%	0	0.8	58	INF
25	May_18_2017	122.37	134.91	135.94	136.27	136.09	134.51	134.54(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-159	-90	-200	-34	4.16	74%		87.4	0.75%	0	-0.2	58	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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