Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 2, 2017

Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Adobe)
ADBE latest price $135.0000 (-0.08%) ($134.7500 - $135.7000) on Tue. May. 2, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.71% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $135.0000(-0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADBE advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADBE advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADBE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(75%)    IWF(74%)    VUG(74%)    IVW(73%)    QQQ(73%)
Factors Impacting ADBE price   ADBE will decline at least -0.355% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-17%)    VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-8%)    XHB(-1%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.355% (StdDev 0.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $134(0.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $133.04(1.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $131.52(2.65%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   19.3%
Market Cap   $64.8b

Adobe, Inc. engages in the provision of digital marketing and media solutions. It operates through the following segments: Digital Media, Digital Experience, and Publishing. The Digital Media segment offers creative cloud services, which allow members to download and install the latest versions of products, such as Adobe Photoshop, Adobe Illustrator, Adobe Premiere Pro, Adobe Photoshop Light room and Adobe InDesign, as well as utilize other tools, such as Adobe Acrobat. The Digital Experience segment provides solutions, including analytics, social marketing, targeting, media optimization, digital experience management, and cross-channel campaign management, as well as premium video delivery and monetization. The Publishing segment includes legacy products and services for eLearning solutions, technical document publishing, web application development, and high-end printing. The company was founded by Charles M. Geschke and John E. Warnock in December 1982 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. ADBE price fluctuates within 1.43% (three month std-dev: 0.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 48 Average positive next day return: 0.74%(56%) Average negative next day return: -0.63%(44%) Sample size 48 Average positive next three day return: 2.24%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -0.97%(48%) Sample size 48 Average positive next weekly return: 2.53%(65%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.71%(35%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170602

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_2_2017	118.72	131.52	133.04	134	134.17	134.93	135(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	115	40	93	179	2.69	93%	0.26	62.9	0.71%	0	1.9	77	0
2	May_1_2017	118.41	131.23	132.53	133.7	133.64	134.02	135.11(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	88	20	65	158	1.81	93%	0.28	67.4	0.71%	0	2.2	76	0
3	Apr_28_2017	118.08	130.97	132.01	133.26	133.33	133.41	133.74(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	54	10	28	130	1.75	92%	0.26	78.8	0.7%	0	1.9	72	0
4	Apr_27_2017	117.77	130.75	131.55	132.81	133.17	133.25	133.38(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	47	10	26	108	1.66	92%	0.26	87.4	0.71%	0	1.9	71	0
5	Apr_26_2017	117.46	130.55	131.15	132.42	132.72	133.26	132.79(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	58	40	44	100	1.64	84%	0.28	102.2	0.71%	0	1.8	70	0

6	Apr_25_2017	117.13	130.34	130.85	131.91	132.22	133.09	133.49(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	109	50	109	107	2.5	84%	0.28	109	0.73%	0	2.7	74	0
7	Apr_24_2017	116.8	130.07	130.49	131.17	131.43	132.19	132.89(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	96	50	101	82	1.85	86%	0.29	117.1	0.73%	0	2.8	74	0
8	Apr_21_2017	116.46	129.81	130.2	130.59	130.68	131.34	131.52(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	67	40	72	50	2.14	85%	0.29	119.4	0.77%	0	2	60	0
9	Apr_20_2017	116.12	129.58	130.05	130.1	130.23	130.66	131.42(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	57	30	65	34	2	85%	0.25	113.2	0.77%	0	1.9	64	0
10	Apr_19_2017	115.83	129.33	129.88	129.69	129.84	130.02	130.22(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	10	22	5	2.01	84%	0.23	106.9	0.77%	0	0.8	57	0

11	Apr_18_2017	115.56	129.09	129.85	129.64	129.66	129.8	129.81(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	10	10	6	1.5	84%	0.23	95.5	0.78%	0	0.5	62	0
12	Apr_17_2017	115.3	128.92	129.83	129.71	129.6	129.66	129.99(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	0	6	13	1.4	84%	0.23	105	0.78%	0	0.7	68	0
13	Apr_13_2017	115.04	128.77	129.84	129.75	129.67	129.52	129.05(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-10	-11	22	1.82	84%	0.23	94.3	0.78%	0	0.1	67	0
14	Apr_12_2017	114.78	128.47	129.91	129.97	129.82	129.53	129.38(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-8	-20	-24	39	2.11	84%	0.22	87.3	0.78%	0	0.4	76	0
15	Apr_11_2017	114.53	128.13	129.94	130.07	129.91	129.82	129.95(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-4	-10	-26	61	2.33	84%	0.22	81.7	0.78%	0	0.7	85	0

16	Apr_10_2017	114.28	127.73	129.83	130.09	130.09	130.11	130.16(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	35	0	13	99	2.23	84%	0.24	79.6	0.78%	0	0.8	90	0
17	Apr_7_2017	114.01	127.33	129.65	129.98	130	129.99	130.22(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-0	-0	104	2.29	84%	0.22	76.9	0.77%	0	0.9	75	0
18	Apr_6_2017	113.76	126.89	129.41	129.96	129.89	130.07	130.15(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	10	5	110	1.89	86%	0.24	73.7	0.78%	0	1	67	0
19	Apr_5_2017	113.49	126.39	129.1	129.85	129.92	130.01	129.89(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	53	10	25	136	2.81	88%	0.25	69.9	0.82%	0	1	80	0
20	Apr_4_2017	113.21	125.89	128.74	129.79	129.76	129.71	130.04(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	41	-0	5	149	2.03	88%	0.25	67.7	0.83%	0	1.1	81	0

21	Apr_3_2017	112.93	125.39	128.27	129.52	129.57	129.71	129.59(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	55	10	17	168	2.34	88%	0.24	68.2	0.83%	0	1.1	82	0
22	Mar_31_2017	112.66	124.92	127.94	129.25	129.25	129.82	130.13(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	95	30	59	204	2.09	88%	0.24	68.9	0.83%	0	1.4	82	0
23	Mar_30_2017	112.39	124.41	127.61	128.77	128.69	129.32	129.61(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	104	30	64	224	2.21	88%	0.21	68.5	0.84%	0	1.4	82	0
24	Mar_29_2017	112.16	123.91	126.91	128.22	128.25	128.68	129.58(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	109	20	70	225	2.27	88%	0.2	69.1	0.85%	0	1.6	84	0
25	Mar_28_2017	111.94	123.43	126.17	127.54	127.65	128.06	128.69(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	93	30	52	214	2.21	82%		67.8	0.85%	0	1.6	84	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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