Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Adobe)
ADBE latest price $105.0200 (-0.75%) ($104.7200 - $106.8000) on Fri. Nov. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.33% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $105.0200(-0.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADBE advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADBE declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADBE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(75%)    IWF(74%)    VUG(74%)    IVW(73%)    QQQ(73%)
Factors Impacting ADBE price   ADBE will decline at least -0.665% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-17%)    VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-1%)    XHB(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.665% (StdDev 1.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $101.69(-3.17%)
Resistance Level   $106.39
5 Day Moving Average   $104.2(0.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $105.29(-0.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $106.39(-1.29%)
To recent high   -5.2%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $50.41b

Adobe, Inc. engages in the provision of digital marketing and media solutions. It operates through the following segments: Digital Media, Digital Experience, and Publishing. The Digital Media segment offers creative cloud services, which allow members to download and install the latest versions of products, such as Adobe Photoshop, Adobe Illustrator, Adobe Premiere Pro, Adobe Photoshop Light room and Adobe InDesign, as well as utilize other tools, such as Adobe Acrobat. The Digital Experience segment provides solutions, including analytics, social marketing, targeting, media optimization, digital experience management, and cross-channel campaign management, as well as premium video delivery and monetization. The Publishing segment includes legacy products and services for eLearning solutions, technical document publishing, web application development, and high-end printing. The company was founded by Charles M. Geschke and John E. Warnock in December 1982 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. ADBE price fluctuates within 1.99% (three month std-dev: 1.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.41%(57%) Average negative next day return: -0.7%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.91%(86%) Average negative next three day return: -0.28%(14%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 1.71%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161218

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_18_2016	102.8	106.39	105.29	104.2	104.43	105.22	105.02(-0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	32	60	54	-33	2.36	55%	0.09	-51.8	1.33%	0	-0.6	43	0
2	Nov_17_2016	102.71	106.58	105.4	103.93	103.81	104.26	105.81(1.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	13	30	35	-54	2.61	55%	0.12	-52.7	1.33%	0	-0.4	44	0
3	Nov_16_2016	102.59	106.74	105.52	103.58	103.52	103.65	104.08(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-28	10	-10	-81	2.46	52%	0.11	-55	1.32%	0	-1.2	41	0
4	Nov_15_2016	102.48	106.96	105.71	104.34	103.96	103.36	103.66(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-45	-50	-32	-82	2.56	52%	0.13	-46.9	1.32%	0	-1.6	37	0
5	Nov_14_2016	102.35	107.21	106.05	105.29	104.7	103.4	102.42(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-93	-100	-93	-94	3.04	52%	0.11	-35.6	1.31%	0	-2.5	29	0

6	Nov_11_2016	102.24	107.49	106.59	106.53	106.04	104.56	103.68(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-86	-110	-89	-76	3.83	52%	0.07	-26.4	1.3%	0	-2.4	27	0
7	Nov_10_2016	102.17	107.72	107.01	107.04	107.18	106.01	104.08(-3.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-68	-70	-70	-63	7.3	55%	0.1	-24.2	1.31%	0	-2.7	37	0
8	Nov_9_2016	102.07	107.94	107.01	107.66	107.35	107.52	107.86(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-34	0	-31	-42	3.65	63%	0.09	-16.5	1.25%	0	-0.1	45	0
9	Nov_8_2016	101.98	107.95	107.34	107.26	107.49	108.35	108.39(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	44	60	64	-16	2.45	63%	0.1	-30.6	1.25%	0	0.4	50	0
10	Nov_7_2016	101.88	107.9	107.37	106.96	106.94	107.18	108.66(2.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	14	20	31	-36	2.73	63%	0.13	-41.6	1.25%	0	0.7	50	0

11	Nov_4_2016	101.75	107.92	107.54	106.73	106.69	106.64	106.2(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-0	-16	-48	2.59	63%	0.09	-44.6	1.24%	0	-1.6	46	0
12	Nov_3_2016	101.66	108.04	107.83	107.01	107.07	106.7	107.17(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-20	-4	-33	3.67	63%	0.11	-40.4	1.23%	0	-0.9	48	0
13	Nov_2_2016	101.55	108.12	108.01	106.99	107.18	106.74	105.89(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-44	-20	-43	-45	2.14	58%	0.09	-38.7	1.23%	0	-2.2	41	0
14	Nov_1_2016	101.46	108.27	108.28	107.4	107.53	107.44	106.87(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21	-0	-20	-24	1.95	58%	0.1	-35	1.24%	0	-1.6	45	0
15	Oct_31_2016	101.36	108.36	108.45	107.84	107.81	107.61	107.51(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-10	-23	-11	1.68	58%	0.1	-30.7	1.24%	0	-1	53	0

16	Oct_28_2016	101.26	108.41	108.47	108.5	108.35	107.62	107.6(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-29	-50	-36	-7	1.93	58%	0.1	-1.4	1.24%	0	-1	42	0
17	Oct_27_2016	101.16	108.46	108.52	108.78	109.03	108	107.07(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-43	-60	-54	-10	2.39	58%	0.08	13.9	1.24%	0	-1.8	44	0
18	Oct_26_2016	101.08	108.51	108.63	109.17	109.24	109.08	107.97(-0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-31	-10	-42	3	1.62	58%	0.1	29	1.24%	0	-0.7	48	0
19	Oct_25_2016	100.98	108.58	108.65	109.26	109.32	110.05	109.03(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	36	50	36	34	1.71	58%	0.1	41.7	1.23%	0	0.6	51	0
20	Oct_24_2016	100.88	108.6	108.49	109.14	108.99	109.4	110.81(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	49	20	54	34	2.01	62%	0.12	85.5	1.22%	0	2.7	63	0

21	Oct_21_2016	100.76	108.42	108.3	108.47	108.54	108.59	109.03(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	8	10	9	3	1.84	58%	0.09	127	1.22%	0	0.9	54	0
22	Oct_20_2016	100.67	108.35	108.25	108.23	108.34	108.58	109.03(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	6	20	9	-3	1.82	58%	0.09	179	1.25%	0	1	53	0
23	Oct_19_2016	100.58	108.29	108.19	108.03	108.25	108.49	108.39(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	20	23	1	1.28	58%	0.09	232.8	1.25%	0	0.2	55	0
24	Oct_18_2016	100.49	108.26	108.19	107.96	107.97	108.11	108.42(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	10	10	-9	1.32	58%	0.08	110.4	1.25%	0	0.1	42	0
25	Oct_17_2016	100.41	107.91	108.22	107.75	107.85	108.01	107.49(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	10	-0	-24	1.14	58%		80.8	1.25%	0	-0.2	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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