Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 24, 2016

Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Adobe)
ADBE latest price $99.6300 (3.12%) ($96.9700 - $99.7000) on Tue. May. 24, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.31% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $99.6300(3.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADBE advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADBE advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADBE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(74%)    VUG(74%)    XLK(74%)    IVW(73%)    QQQ(73%)
Factors Impacting ADBE price   ADBE will decline at least -0.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-16%)    TLT(-8%)    IPO(-6%)    IBUY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.655% (StdDev 1.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $97.14(2.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $96.73(3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $95.62(4.19%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   19.4%
Market Cap   $47.822b

Adobe, Inc. engages in the provision of digital marketing and media solutions. It operates through the following segments: Digital Media, Digital Experience, and Publishing. The Digital Media segment offers creative cloud services, which allow members to download and install the latest versions of products, such as Adobe Photoshop, Adobe Illustrator, Adobe Premiere Pro, Adobe Photoshop Light room and Adobe InDesign, as well as utilize other tools, such as Adobe Acrobat. The Digital Experience segment provides solutions, including analytics, social marketing, targeting, media optimization, digital experience management, and cross-channel campaign management, as well as premium video delivery and monetization. The Publishing segment includes legacy products and services for eLearning solutions, technical document publishing, web application development, and high-end printing. The company was founded by Charles M. Geschke and John E. Warnock in December 1982 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. ADBE price fluctuates within 1.59% (three month std-dev: 1.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.74%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.74%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.12%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.35%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.58%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.52%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160624

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_24_2016	89.97	95.62	96.73	97.14	96.95	97.59	99.63(3.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	67	40	59	89	3.01	83%	0.09	25.2	1.31%	0	2.6	77	INF
2	May_23_2016	89.89	95.42	96.39	96.4	96.44	96.65	96.62(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	20	13	67	1.1	80%	0.08	13.2	1.26%	0	1	65	INF
3	May_20_2016	89.82	95.37	96.2	96.52	96.36	96.31	96.88(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10	4	64	2.22	83%	0.03	13.5	1.32%	0	1.3	58	INF
4	May_19_2016	89.79	95.26	95.95	96.34	96.41	96.24	95.88(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-10	-6	56	1.99	83%	0.01	8.1	1.33%	0	0.5	58	INF
5	May_18_2016	89.78	95.27	95.74	96.36	96.39	96.41	96.7(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	13	0	-3	59	2.01	83%	0.01	16	1.32%	0	1.2	64	INF

6	May_17_2016	89.77	95.24	95.38	96.24	96.31	96.58	95.93(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	20	6	49	3.28	86%	0.02	20.2	1.34%	0	0.6	50	INF
7	May_16_2016	89.75	95.26	95.16	96.36	96.3	96.37	97.23(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	0	25	48	1.92	92%	0.09	34.1	1.39%	0	1.6	52	INF
8	May_13_2016	89.67	95.2	94.9	95.83	96.04	96.04	95.97(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	10	7	24	2.22	92%	0.02	38.1	1.42%	0	0.7	49	INF
9	May_12_2016	89.65	95.16	94.72	95.5	95.64	96.23	95.96(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	50	27	22	1.2	93%	0.01	34.7	1.43%	0	0.7	55	INF
10	May_11_2016	89.64	95.08	94.48	95.01	95.03	96.04	96.1(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	47	80	59	12	1.57	93%	0.02	25.4	1.45%	0	0.9	47	INF

11	May_10_2016	89.62	95	94.4	94.37	94.28	95.04	96.52(2.02%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.9	41	50	57	-7	1.81	93%	0.06	6.7	1.46%	0	1.3	49	INF
12	May_9_2016	89.57	94.85	94.32	93.8	93.63	94.01	94.61(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	20	19	-38	1.41	93%	0.04	-9.8	1.46%	0	-0.2	40	INF
13	May_6_2016	89.53	94.78	94.43	93.86	93.48	93.52	94.3(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	-10	4	-42	1.47	78%	0	-14.6	1.64%	0	-0.4	38	INF
14	May_5_2016	89.53	94.77	94.47	93.84	93.7	93.25	93.5(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-40	-6	-48	1.89	63%	-0.02	-19	1.65%	0	-1.1	44	INF
15	May_4_2016	89.55	94.8	94.75	93.87	93.72	93.43	92.94(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-33	-30	-29	-44	1.71	60%	-0.01	-18.9	1.97%	0	-1.6	46	INF

16	May_3_2016	89.56	94.93	95.1	94.41	94.03	94.15	93.66(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-0	-8	-22	1.81	60%	0	0	1.98%	0	-1.2	48	INF
17	May_2_2016	89.56	94.96	95.39	94.91	94.45	94	94.9(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-5	-50	-5	-3	2.33	58%	0.04	16.8	1.97%	0	-0.1	60	INF
18	Apr_29_2016	89.52	94.95	95.55	95.09	94.8	93.92	94.22(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-24	-70	-32	-0	3.16	62%	0.06	31	1.97%	0	-0.7	60	INF
19	Apr_28_2016	89.47	95	95.67	95.2	95.2	94.9	93.64(-2.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-20	-20	-28	6	3.5	62%	0.04	44.7	2.08%	0	-1.3	50	INF
20	Apr_27_2016	89.43	95.02	95.78	95.75	95.43	95.69	95.64(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	10	-0	29	2.08	62%	0.06	66.7	2.06%	0	0.6	62	INF

21	Apr_26_2016	89.38	94.93	95.69	95.89	95.66	95.51	96.15(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-20	5	31	1.42	62%	0.07	73.7	2.09%	0	1.1	53	INF
22	Apr_25_2016	89.32	94.78	95.43	95.96	95.81	95.17	95.8(1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-12	-50	-22	20	2.05	58%	0.04	73.8	2.09%	0	0.9	58	INF
23	Apr_22_2016	89.28	94.62	95.17	96.11	96.18	95.81	94.79(-1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-8	-20	-17	21	3.8	60%	0.06	74.6	2.12%	0	0.1	52	INF
24	Apr_21_2016	89.23	94.52	95.11	96.19	96.27	96.45	96.37(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	20	7	29	2.07	60%	0.04	82.1	2.12%	0	1.5	55	INF
25	Apr_20_2016	89.19	94.31	94.84	95.8	95.88	96.55	96.33(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	50	22	29	2.71	60%		87.5	2.12%	0	1.6	61	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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