Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 2, 2014

Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Adobe)
ADBE latest price $72.1000 (0.28%) ($71.8400 - $72.5900) on Tue. Sep. 2, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.41% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $72.1000(0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADBE advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADBE advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADBE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(73%)    QQQ(72%)    SPY(66%)    VT(64%)    XLY(63%)
Factors Impacting ADBE price   ADBE will decline at least -0.705% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-11%)    TLT(-10%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.705% (StdDev 1.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $71.69(0.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $71.71(0.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $70.55(2.2%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   12.5%
Market Cap   $34.608b

Adobe, Inc. engages in the provision of digital marketing and media solutions. It operates through the following segments: Digital Media, Digital Experience, and Publishing. The Digital Media segment offers creative cloud services, which allow members to download and install the latest versions of products, such as Adobe Photoshop, Adobe Illustrator, Adobe Premiere Pro, Adobe Photoshop Light room and Adobe InDesign, as well as utilize other tools, such as Adobe Acrobat. The Digital Experience segment provides solutions, including analytics, social marketing, targeting, media optimization, digital experience management, and cross-channel campaign management, as well as premium video delivery and monetization. The Publishing segment includes legacy products and services for eLearning solutions, technical document publishing, web application development, and high-end printing. The company was founded by Charles M. Geschke and John E. Warnock in December 1982 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. ADBE price fluctuates within 2.04% (three month std-dev: 1.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.4%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.1%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.42%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.28%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.93%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141002

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_2_2014	67.78	70.55	71.71	71.69	71.72	71.97	72.1(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	29	30	19	57	2.16	73%	0.28	28.9	1.41%	0	1.1	76	INF
2	Aug_29_2014	67.59	70.38	71.61	71.63	71.62	71.54	71.9(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10	0	60	1.66	73%	0.15	15.8	1.41%	0	1.1	73	INF
3	Aug_28_2014	67.49	70.23	71.44	71.66	71.7	71.47	71.37(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-20	-13	66	1.06	73%	0.12	5.1	1.41%	0	0.8	74	INF
4	Aug_27_2014	67.41	70.23	71.32	71.73	71.86	71.7	71.55(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	-10	-5	86	1.71	73%	0.15	-4.9	1.41%	0	1	78	INF
5	Aug_26_2014	67.31	70.12	71.16	71.63	71.8	71.94	71.53(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	21	20	-3	93	1.85	73%	0.18	-7.7	1.42%	0	1	73	INF

6	Aug_25_2014	67.19	70.14	70.9	71.73	71.71	72.03	71.82(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	30	19	107	1.71	73%	0.15	-5.5	1.43%	0	1.1	67	INF
7	Aug_22_2014	67.09	70.14	70.62	71.58	71.57	71.66	72.04(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	10	23	106	1.44	75%	0.15	-5.8	1.44%	0	1.2	70	INF
8	Aug_21_2014	66.99	70.16	70.26	71.19	71.27	71.39	71.73(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	20	9	86	1.89	75%	0.09	-12.5	1.45%	0	1	67	INF
9	Aug_20_2014	66.93	70.19	69.88	70.85	71.02	71.48	71.02(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	50	24	75	3.4	75%	0.09	-14.5	1.45%	0	0.5	61	INF
10	Aug_19_2014	66.87	70.23	69.6	70.6	70.64	71.16	72.05(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	49	50	46	57	2	75%	0.09	-19.1	1.44%	0	1.1	47	INF

11	Aug_18_2014	66.81	70.22	69.27	69.95	70.08	70.55	71.06(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	50	34	13	1.71	75%	0.09	-30.1	1.44%	0	0.5	39	INF
12	Aug_15_2014	66.75	70.25	69.02	69.53	69.55	70.13	70.07(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	19	60	33	-23	4.31	77%	0.09	-38.3	1.45%	0	-0.1	31	INF
13	Aug_14_2014	66.69	70.36	68.89	69.2	69.15	69.61	70.05(0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	17	40	39	-51	1.32	77%	0.09	-43	1.46%	0	-0.2	31	INF
14	Aug_13_2014	66.63	70.43	68.8	68.75	68.73	68.98	69.79(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	20	22	-93	1.88	77%	0.06	-50.4	1.46%	0	-0.4	28	INF
15	Aug_12_2014	66.59	70.55	68.96	68.44	68.46	68.69	68.79(-0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-23	20	7	-112	1.92	78%	0.06	-52.7	1.45%	0	-1	29	INF

16	Aug_11_2014	66.55	70.73	69.28	68.48	68.44	68.47	68.97(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	0	9	-110	2.2	78%	0.03	-49.8	1.47%	0	-1	28	INF
17	Aug_8_2014	66.53	70.92	69.63	68.44	68.45	68.23	68.39(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-38	-20	-11	-118	1.57	78%	0	-51.4	1.47%	0	-1.4	27	INF
18	Aug_7_2014	66.53	71.13	70.04	68.55	68.6	68.4	67.83(-0.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-44	-20	-19	-119	2.29	78%	0	-56.8	1.47%	0	-2	19	INF
19	Aug_6_2014	66.53	71.34	70.53	68.83	68.79	68.67	68.23(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-47	-10	-27	-107	2.46	69%	0	-62.4	1.48%	0	-2.1	34	INF
20	Aug_5_2014	66.53	71.52	70.93	69.56	69.22	68.8	68.97(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-47	-60	-33	-88	3.46	69%	0.02	-61.1	1.53%	0	-1.9	32	INF

21	Aug_4_2014	66.52	71.65	71.27	70.22	70.06	68.92	68.77(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-63	-120	-57	-79	3.04	69%	0.02	-56.8	1.53%	0	-2.4	31	INF
22	Aug_1_2014	66.51	71.85	71.62	71.01	71.01	69.64	68.94(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-78	-140	-81	-70	2.11	69%	0.05	-43.4	1.55%	0	-2.8	29	INF
23	Jul_31_2014	66.48	72.09	72	71.75	71.88	71.21	69.25(-3.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.9	-56	-60	-61	-39	3.82	69%	0.05	-25.2	1.56%	0	-3.3	36	INF
24	Jul_30_2014	66.45	72.28	72.26	72.46	72.47	72.38	71.89(-0.53%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-6	-10	-8	2	2.67	79%	0.08	-1.3	1.49%	0	-0.7	53	INF
25	Jul_29_2014	66.4	72.34	72.31	72.49	72.57	72.55	72.27(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	4	0	2	11	1.92	79%		5.1	1.49%	0	-0.1	56	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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