Trading Signals: ABUS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 6, 2014

Trading Signals: ABUS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 15, 2010 - Thu. Jul. 23, 2020)

(Arbutus Biopharma Corp. )
ABUS latest price $24.0000 (-18.73%) ($23.6500 - $27.1800) on Mon. Oct. 6, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.98% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $24.0000(-18.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ABUS advances 2.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ABUS advances 9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ABUS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(10%)    GDXJ(6%)    TIP(6%)    XLV(6%)    GDX(5%)
Factors Impacting ABUS price   ABUS will decline at least -4.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
BNDX(-10%)    XRT(-5%)    USO(-4%)    UNG(-4%)    XLY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.49% (StdDev 8.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -11.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.03(-4.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.77(0.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.11(8.55%)
To recent high   -18.7%
To recent low   167.3%
Market Cap   $1.71b

Arbutus Biopharma Corp. engages in discovering, developing and commercializing a cure for patients suffering from chronic Hepatitis B virus infection. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Warminster, PA.

$. ABUS price fluctuates within 12.08% (three month std-dev: 8.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.81%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.13%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3.72%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141106

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_6_2014	15.7	22.11	23.77	25.03	26.09	26.75	24(-18.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	25	300	11	65	14.17	70%	0.83	61.9	8.98%	0	0.7	63	0
2	Oct_3_2014	15.57	21.85	23.72	24.36	25	26.57	29.53(15.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	40	520	28	76	17.56	71%	1.17	48.8	8.69%	0	2.8	76	0
3	Oct_2_2014	15.39	21.27	22.75	22.8	23.24	25.42	25.47(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	28	710	21	47	14.47	69%	0.92	35.8	8.76%	0	2	67	0
4	Oct_1_2014	15.25	20.93	22.29	22.11	22.42	23.42	24.99(18.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	26	350	21	39	28.56	69%	0.86	27.4	8.77%	0	2.2	67	0
5	Sep_30_2014	15.12	20.62	21.88	21.72	21.57	21.05	21.14(2.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-190	-11	27	4.95	67%	0.6	25.1	8.52%	0	0.3	61	0

6	Sep_29_2014	15.03	20.57	21.8	22.35	22.23	21.42	20.68(-4.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	2	-270	-13	45	1.43	67%	0.6	42	8.54%	0	0.1	63	0
7	Sep_26_2014	14.94	20.6	21.69	22.94	23.17	22.08	21.71(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	14	-300	-3	65	1.61	67%	0.74	63.5	8.51%	0	0.7	66	0
8	Sep_25_2014	14.83	20.55	21.54	22.63	23.37	23.04	22.05(-4.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-0	-3	66	2.85	67%	0.61	66.4	8.51%	0	0.9	68	0
9	Sep_24_2014	14.74	20.43	21.33	22.42	22.9	24.26	23.01(-5.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	480	9	72	4.38	67%	0.75	70.6	8.49%	0	1.6	69	0
10	Sep_23_2014	14.63	20.22	20.94	22.04	22.3	23.7	24.3(2.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	38	470	26	73	8.54	67%	0.76	69.4	8.46%	0	2.7	73	0

11	Sep_22_2014	14.52	19.9	20.34	21.2	21.3	21.55	23.61(17.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	25	100	17	48	13.67	67%	0.69	58.9	8.46%	0	2.9	64	0
12	Sep_19_2014	14.42	19.59	19.82	21.2	20.61	20.9	20.16(-4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	140	-0	15	1.63	63%	0.42	46.5	8.22%	0	0.6	42	0
13	Sep_18_2014	14.36	19.51	19.67	20.3	20.43	21.04	21(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	230	8	11	2.75	63%	0.56	54	8.2%	0	1.4	50	0
14	Sep_17_2014	14.28	19.34	19.44	20.07	20.14	20.31	21.12(5.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	70	9	3	3.68	63%	0.56	44.2	8.2%	0	1.7	57	0
15	Sep_16_2014	14.2	19.22	19.24	19.67	19.85	19.81	20.09(4.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	10	4	-7	1.97	63%	0.5	37.3	8.19%	0	0.9	56	0

16	Sep_15_2014	14.13	19.18	19.22	19.35	19.59	19.97	19.15(-4.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	1	170	3	-7	1.58	63%	0.36	7.6	8.18%	0	-0	59	0
17	Sep_12_2014	14.08	19.13	19.42	19.24	19.37	19.9	20.12(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	210	10	6	2.04	60%	0.36	-7.7	8.28%	0	1	66	0
18	Sep_11_2014	14.03	18.96	19.47	18.93	18.95	19.21	19.85(3.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	5	100	5	5	3.1	60%	0.36	-5.7	8.28%	0	0.8	60	0
19	Sep_10_2014	13.98	18.89	19.45	18.73	18.75	18.85	19.13(3.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	2	40	0	6	1.04	60%	0.29	10.8	8.28%	0	0.2	61	0
20	Sep_9_2014	13.94	18.87	19.46	18.75	18.81	18.69	18.48(-0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-40	-5	6	1.77	60%	0.29	31.9	8.27%	0	-0.4	50	0

21	Sep_8_2014	13.9	19.11	19.44	19.08	18.99	18.64	18.63(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-7	-140	-11	6	2.52	60%	0.36	62.4	8.29%	0	-0.3	47	0
22	Sep_5_2014	13.85	19.21	19.44	19.64	19.51	18.94	18.56(-1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-220	-9	18	0.98	61%	0.44	94.2	8.33%	0	-0.4	55	0
23	Sep_4_2014	13.79	19.02	19.38	20.08	20.02	19.33	18.87(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-250	-8	35	1.66	61%	0.36	89.9	8.33%	0	-0.1	63	0
24	Sep_3_2014	13.74	18.78	19.29	20.25	20.54	20.07	19.23(-4.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-120	-3	39	2.45	61%	0.51	80.8	8.34%	0	0.2	54	0
25	Sep_2_2014	13.67	18.53	19.25	20.23	20.51	20.71	20.12(-5.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	15	110	5	44	2.23	61%		80.1	8.33%	0	0.6	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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