Trading Signals: ABUS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 13, 2014

Trading Signals: ABUS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 15, 2010 - Thu. Jul. 23, 2020)

(Arbutus Biopharma Corp. )
ABUS latest price $28.0200 (-6.48%) ($26.7700 - $31.4800) on Thu. Mar. 13, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.36% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $28.0200(-6.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ABUS advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ABUS advances 18.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ABUS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(16%)    IWM(7%)    XAR(7%)    EWG(5%)    GDX(5%)
Factors Impacting ABUS price   ABUS will decline at least -3.18% in a week (0% probabilities).
BNDX(-8%)    XLI(-6%)    XLV(-5%)    XLB(-4%)    XRT(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.18% (StdDev 6.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -10%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.42(-4.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.95(7.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.09(21.35%)
To recent high   -9.4%
To recent low   283.3%
Market Cap   $1.997b

Arbutus Biopharma Corp. engages in discovering, developing and commercializing a cure for patients suffering from chronic Hepatitis B virus infection. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Warminster, PA.

$. ABUS price fluctuates within 19.23% (three month std-dev: 6.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.19%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.99%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 7.23%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140413

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_13_2014	12.38	23.09	25.95	29.42	29.68	29.77	28.02(-6.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	47	50	3	179	2.41	79%	1.64	97.7	6.36%	0	1.1	72	NAN
2	Mar_12_2014	12.18	22.48	25.35	29.07	29.26	30.14	29.96(-3.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	64	230	20	195	0.56	82%	1.84	95.7	6.27%	0	1.7	71	NAN
3	Mar_11_2014	11.96	21.76	24.51	28.06	28.4	29.6	30.94(4.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	87	330	48	203	0.76	82%	1.96	92.6	6.23%	0	2.1	75	NAN
4	Mar_10_2014	11.73	20.94	23.66	25.71	26.48	28.38	29.74(4.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	79	590	50	165	0.55	82%	1.91	80.7	6.3%	0	2.2	75	NAN
5	Mar_7_2014	11.51	20.16	22.8	23.56	24.02	27.2	28.43(8.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	72	990	53	129	0.81	82%	1.86	69.9	6.32%	0	2.3	75	NAN

6	Mar_6_2014	11.3	19.44	21.83	22	21.94	24.58	26.26(5.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	62	830	49	102	1.08	81%	1.62	64.6	6.32%	0	2.1	75	NAN
7	Mar_5_2014	11.12	18.85	21.21	21.13	20.63	20.83	24.92(29.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	40	-0	22	93	1.2	81%	1.46	66.9	6.31%	0	2	76	NAN
8	Mar_4_2014	10.96	18.35	20.59	20.52	20.47	19.31	19.21(1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-400	-29	92	0.32	78%	0.92	73.6	5.2%	0	0.3	68	NAN
9	Mar_3_2014	10.86	18.12	20.54	21.31	21.24	20.42	18.98(-8.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	17	-280	-27	148	0.76	78%	0.84	86.8	5.23%	0	0.3	70	NAN
10	Feb_28_2014	10.77	17.89	20.47	21.84	22.32	21.63	20.65(-5.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	56	-150	2	216	0.45	82%	1.13	94.6	5.05%	0	0.9	78	NAN

11	Feb_27_2014	10.65	17.51	20.09	21.54	22.21	22.07	21.9(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	56	50	-2	229	0.28	85%	1.33	91.1	5%	0	1.4	84	NAN
12	Feb_26_2014	10.51	17.02	19.5	21.25	21.84	23.01	21.86(-5.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	78	460	22	247	0.63	85%	1.15	87.8	5.01%	0	1.6	79	NAN
13	Feb_25_2014	10.39	16.53	18.89	20.66	21.18	22.35	23.15(7.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	96	460	45	249	0.91	88%	1.27	83.1	4.92%	0	2.2	81	NAN
14	Feb_24_2014	10.26	15.94	18.04	19.69	19.92	20.68	21.63(12.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	74	300	27	214	0.71	87%	1.28	77.9	4.9%	0	2.1	81	NAN
15	Feb_21_2014	10.13	15.45	17.33	18.94	19.34	20.01	19.15(-6.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	70	310	26	203	1.06	86%	1.2	76.4	4.68%	0	1.5	79	NAN

16	Feb_20_2014	10.01	15.11	16.86	18.41	18.59	19.17	20.46(8.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	77	250	35	204	0.41	90%	1.32	74.6	4.58%	0	2.2	89	NAN
17	Feb_19_2014	9.88	14.69	16.27	17.47	17.71	18.68	18.92(3.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	69	420	29	189	0.39	90%	1.33	73.9	4.5%	0	2	89	NAN
18	Feb_18_2014	9.75	14.35	15.88	16.83	16.96	18.01	18.3(2.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	78	460	39	194	0.67	90%	1.46	73	4.51%	0	2.1	89	NAN
19	Feb_14_2014	9.61	14.05	15.47	16.14	16.11	16.74	17.85(8.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	70	270	32	185	0.6	90%	1.05	78.9	4.5%	0	2.2	89	NAN
20	Feb_13_2014	9.51	13.75	15.07	15.5	15.52	15.91	16.52(4.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	58	180	21	170	0.89	90%	1.06	86.7	4.45%	0	1.9	81	NAN

21	Feb_12_2014	9.41	13.49	14.72	15.06	15.07	15.47	15.75(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	47	190	11	154	0.24	89%	0.97	93.8	4.45%	0	1.6	76	NAN
22	Feb_11_2014	9.32	13.27	14.36	14.88	14.83	15.13	15.74(6.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	130	8	143	0.39	90%	1.08	107.2	4.5%	0	1.8	75	NAN
23	Feb_10_2014	9.22	13.08	14	14.79	14.79	14.68	14.84(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	39	-50	5	139	0.37	89%	0.99	134.9	4.5%	0	1.4	72	NAN
24	Feb_7_2014	9.13	12.84	13.7	14.7	14.75	14.53	14.64(2.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	32	-90	0	127	0.17	84%	0.88	133.6	4.5%	0	1.3	66	NAN
25	Feb_6_2014	9.05	12.58	13.45	14.56	14.72	14.9	14.35(-3.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	120	9	125	0.16	80%		127.5	4.6%	0	1.2	70	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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