Trading Signals: ABBV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 20, 2014

Trading Signals: ABBV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(AbbVie Inc.)
ABBV latest price $45.0934 (-1.05%) ($44.8997 - $45.4219) on Tue. May. 20, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.91% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $45.0934(-1.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ABBV advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ABBV advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ABBV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(61%)    SPY(47%)    VT(44%)    XBI(41%)    QQQ(40%)
Factors Impacting ABBV price   ABBV will decline at least -0.955% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-7%)    GLD(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.955% (StdDev 1.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.83(0.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.49(1.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.68(3.24%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   15.2%
Market Cap   $79.558b

AbbVie, Inc. is a research-based biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development and sale of pharmaceutical products. It focuses on treating conditions such as chronic autoimmune diseases in rheumatology, gastroenterology and dermatology; oncology, including blood cancers; virology, including hepatitis C virus (HCV) and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV); neurological disorders, such as as well as Parkinson's disease; metabolic diseases, comprising thyroid disease and complications associated with cystic fibrosis; pain associated with endometriosis; and other serious health conditions. The company was founded on October 19, 2011 and is headquartered in North Chicago, IL.

$. ABBV price fluctuates within 2.5% (three month std-dev: 1.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 0.69%(46%) Average negative next day return: -0.69%(54%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 1.53%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -1.57%(54%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 2.11%(54%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.78%(46%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140620

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_20_2014	42.98	43.68	44.49	44.83	44.78	45.11	45.09(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	50	19	63	5.02	49%	0.12	86.4	1.91%	0	1.3	59	0
2	May_19_2014	42.93	43.53	44.27	44.6	44.54	44.73	45.57(2.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	30	18	52	6.01	49%	0.14	91.7	1.92%	0	1.9	67	0
3	May_16_2014	42.87	43.33	44.03	44.31	44.29	44.44	44.58(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	20	6	39	5.83	46%	0.09	104.7	1.91%	0	1.2	66	0
4	May_15_2014	42.83	43.16	43.89	44.2	44.21	44.36	44.38(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	20	11	48	6.96	46%	0.09	100.8	1.94%	0	1.1	73	0
5	May_14_2014	42.79	42.97	43.8	44.11	44.03	44.14	44.53(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	10	2	54	4.88	46%	0.09	85.1	1.96%	0	1.3	73	0

6	May_13_2014	42.75	42.76	43.72	44.09	44.02	44.07	43.96(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	0	8	67	4.15	46%	0.07	78.4	1.97%	0	1	63	0
7	May_12_2014	42.72	42.55	43.65	43.88	44.03	43.93	44.11(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10	7	66	3.63	46%	0.09	56.8	2%	0	1.1	64	0
8	May_9_2014	42.68	42.3	43.53	43.71	43.75	43.97	44.02(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	40	3	67	5.01	46%	0.07	36.2	2.02%	0	1.1	67	0
9	May_8_2014	42.65	42.08	43.28	43.53	43.56	44.13	43.92(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	90	20	70	4.09	46%	0.09	17.2	2.05%	0	1.2	70	0
10	May_7_2014	42.61	41.99	43.05	43.43	43.32	43.54	44.46(3.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	32	30	18	74	7.02	46%	0.12	9.4	2.07%	0	1.6	76	0

11	May_6_2014	42.56	41.8	42.82	43.31	43.2	42.98	42.88(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-40	-7	76	3.35	39%	0.02	0	2%	0	0.8	72	0
12	May_5_2014	42.55	41.8	42.75	43.39	43.32	43.1	43.26(0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-40	-6	98	2.58	39%	0.05	-0.6	2.03%	0	1.1	79	0
13	May_2_2014	42.53	41.76	42.59	43.31	43.35	43.41	43.11(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	10	8	118	3.34	39%	0.02	0.9	2.06%	0	1	80	0
14	May_1_2014	42.52	41.82	42.37	42.97	43.12	43.55	43.47(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	46	80	21	120	4.28	39%	0.07	-1.1	2.08%	0	1.1	78	0
15	Apr_30_2014	42.49	41.84	42.08	42.58	42.71	43.29	43.86(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	45	100	28	97	7.43	39%	0.12	-3.4	2.11%	0	1.3	56	0

16	Apr_29_2014	42.44	41.81	41.72	42.25	42.29	42.68	43.27(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	70	22	80	5.6	39%	0.07	-8.5	2.13%	0	0.9	60	0
17	Apr_28_2014	42.41	41.77	41.34	42.02	42.04	42.12	42.84(3.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	10	12	50	7.93	39%	0.02	-12.7	2.16%	0	0.7	51	0
18	Apr_25_2014	42.4	41.75	40.98	41.78	41.96	41.89	41.39(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	5	0	3	11	7.29	32%	-0.09	-23.3	2.09%	0	-0.2	39	0
19	Apr_24_2014	42.44	41.83	40.8	41.68	41.77	41.96	41.54(-1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-0	40	7	-23	6.63	32%	-0.07	-29.6	2.13%	0	-0.2	36	0
20	Apr_23_2014	42.47	41.9	40.85	41.48	41.48	42.03	42.23(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	9	90	24	-38	6.58	32%	-0.02	-36.9	2.15%	0	0.2	39	0

21	Apr_22_2014	42.48	41.94	40.7	41.1	41.12	41.59	42.12(1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	10	80	34	-63	6.61	32%	-0.02	-46.5	2.19%	0	0.1	44	0
22	Apr_21_2014	42.49	41.97	40.68	40.56	40.64	40.93	41.63(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-5	60	23	-90	4.44	32%	-0.09	-57	2.22%	0	-0.2	45	0
23	Apr_17_2014	42.53	42.11	40.84	40.06	40.21	40.65	40.89(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	90	18	-105	6.2	32%	-0.16	0	2.23%	0	-0.7	44	0
24	Apr_16_2014	42.6	42.3	41.18	39.79	39.83	40.35	40.53(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-24	90	5	-111	7.15	32%	-0.21	0	2.26%	0	-1	40	0
25	Apr_15_2014	42.69	42.49	41.55	40.13	39.84	39.77	40.31(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-22	-30	1	-92	9.53	32%		0	2.31%	0	-1.2	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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