Trading Signals: AAPL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 23, 2021

Trading Signals: AAPL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Apr. 26, 2024)

(Apple Inc)
AAPL latest price $148.4700 (1.22%) ($148.4700 - $148.4700) on Fri. Jul. 23, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $148.4700(1.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAPL advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAPL advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAPL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(71%)    XLK(71%)    IVW(70%)    VUG(70%)    QQQ(67%)
Factors Impacting AAPL price   AAPL will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-41%)    UUP(-25%)    VXX(-16%)    TBT(-1%)    TLT(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 1.2 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $145.73(1.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $146.25(1.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $143.02(3.81%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   21%
Market Cap   $2544.146b

Apple, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and other variety of related services. It operates through the following geographical segments: Americas, Europe, Greater China, Japan, and Rest of Asia Pacific. The Americas segment includes North and South America. The Europe segment consists of European countries, as well as India, the Middle East, and Africa. The Greater China segment comprises of China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The Rest of Asia Pacific segment includes Australia and Asian countries. Its products and services include iPhone, Mac, iPad, AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, Apple Care, iCloud, digital content stores, streaming, and licensing services. The company was founded by Steven Paul Jobs, Ronald Gerald Wayne, and Stephen G. Wozniak on April 1, 1976 and is headquartered in Cupertino, CA.

$. AAPL price fluctuates within 3.29% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.88%(46%) Average negative next day return: -2.28%(54%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 2.55%(48%) Average negative next three day return: -3.41%(52%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 3.59%(54%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.41%(46%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210823

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_23_2021	130.46	143.02	146.25	145.73	146.67	147.58	148.47(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	94	60	99	78	64.16	62%	0.22	68.4	1.4%	1.2	1.2	65	-0.2
2	Jul_22_2021	130.17	142.28	145.91	145.29	145.04	145.9	146.68(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	40	4	54	69.12	62%	0.19	65	1.41%	0.6	0.9	68	-0
3	Jul_21_2021	129.92	141.65	145.56	145.63	144.94	145.76	145.12(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	46	30	31	89	60.8	62%	0.15	68.5	1.41%	0.4	0.7	66	0.7
4	Jul_20_2021	129.72	141.11	145.51	146.43	145.76	144.18	146.39(3.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	19	-90	-11	110	78.62	62%	0.15	75.5	1.41%	0.7	1	70	-0.5
5	Jul_19_2021	129.53	140.41	145.08	146.25	146.44	144.13	141.97(-2.95%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-86	-110	-142	82	103.18	58%	0.15	74.7	1.36%	-1.5	0.3	68	-2.8

6	Jul_16_2021	129.33	139.87	144.97	146.75	147.32	147.34	146.29(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	10	-41	162	80.15	64%	0.19	75.9	1.31%	-2.7	1.1	81	0.3
7	Jul_15_2021	129.08	139.15	144.11	146.52	146.86	148.76	148.4(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	123	100	87	229	95.27	67%	0.19	80	1.29%	0.2	1.6	86	1
8	Jul_14_2021	128.84	138.23	143	145.44	146.05	147.3	149.12(2.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	161	70	134	240	111.54	67%	0.19	79.8	1.31%	1.5	1.9	87	1.6
9	Jul_13_2021	128.6	137.23	141.7	144.52	144.52	144.97	145.47(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	62	20	19	191	92.05	66%	0.15	83.5	1.3%	0.5	1.5	83	1.2
10	Jul_12_2021	128.41	136.46	140.65	143.8	144.28	144.81	144.47(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	89	40	52	199	65.29	66%	0.12	88	1.33%	0.3	1.6	84	1.2

11	Jul_9_2021	128.26	135.6	139.54	142.89	143.64	144.07	145.16(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	93	40	58	197	87.43	69%	0.12	85.4	1.34%	1.2	1.9	88	1.1
12	Jul_8_2021	128.1	134.64	138.35	141.3	142.33	143.76	142.99(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	93	90	65	178	95.28	69%	0.09	82	1.35%	0.1	1.7	80	-0.1
13	Jul_7_2021	127.98	133.83	137.4	140.12	140.88	143.2	144.52(1.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	158	130	143	201	92.41	69%	0.09	80.9	1.36%	1.4	2.2	87	1
14	Jul_6_2021	127.86	132.92	136.29	138.47	139.04	140.9	141.88(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	146	110	133	183	96.77	67%	0.05	83.1	1.35%	1.3	2.1	85	0.9
15	Jul_2_2021	127.79	132.1	135.29	137.06	137.64	138.56	139.91(1.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	107	60	93	149	67.99	68%	0.04	79.2	1.36%	1.8	1.9	79	1.5

16	Jul_1_2021	127.74	131.39	134.33	135.7	136.37	137.18	137.19(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	66	60	48	118	44.96	66%	0.02	72.8	1.35%	1.1	1.5	81	1.7
17	Jun_30_2021	127.72	130.71	133.77	134.93	135.33	136.73	137.1(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	87	80	72	132	48.42	69%	0.01	65.8	1.36%	1.4	1.7	82	1.5
18	Jun_29_2021	127.71	130.09	133.08	134.25	134.36	135.56	136.29(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	93	60	79	133	53.78	69%	-0.01	61.3	1.38%	1.4	1.7	76	1.4
19	Jun_28_2021	127.72	129.48	132.4	133.78	133.69	133.93	134.83(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	59	10	38	120	52.96	69%	-0.01	57.9	1.38%	1.2	1.5	75	1.7
20	Jun_25_2021	127.73	128.96	131.95	133.26	133.48	133.17	133.12(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	-10	1	112	41.04	69%	-0.03	54.9	1.37%	-1.9	1.2	74	2

21	Jun_24_2021	127.77	128.57	131.39	132.72	133.26	133.44	133.3(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	20	7	111	56.05	69%	-0.01	49	1.37%	-0.5	1.4	75	1.7
22	Jun_23_2021	127.78	128.22	130.7	132.41	132.53	133.78	133.7(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	67	70	46	131	60.06	69%	-0.02	53.3	1.38%	0.9	1.7	80	1.7
23	Jun_22_2021	127.8	127.85	130.04	131.71	131.94	133.09	133.98(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	108	70	95	146	59.56	71%	0	55.8	1.39%	2	2.1	73	1.4
24	Jun_21_2021	127.8	127.48	129.31	130.83	131	131.28	132.19(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	54	20	34	114	61.41	71%	-0.01	57.4	1.41%	1.1	1.9	73	0.6
25	Jun_18_2021	127.81	127.12	128.67	130.48	130.36	130.8	130.41(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	34	20	10	105	106.95	65%		55.6	1.4%	-0.1	1.5	68	-0.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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