Trading Signals: AAPL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 7, 2017

Trading Signals: AAPL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Tue. Jun. 18, 2024)

(Apple Inc)
AAPL latest price $39.7000 (1.53%) ($39.1700 - $39.7300) on Mon. Aug. 7, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $39.7000(1.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAPL advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAPL advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAPL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(82%)    IWF(79%)    QQQ(78%)    VUG(78%)    IVW(77%)
Factors Impacting AAPL price   AAPL will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-14%)    UUP(-12%)    IPO(-6%)    XHB(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.9(2.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.36(3.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.85(4.89%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.6%
Market Cap   $680.29b

Apple, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and other variety of related services. It operates through the following geographical segments: Americas, Europe, Greater China, Japan, and Rest of Asia Pacific. The Americas segment includes North and South America. The Europe segment consists of European countries, as well as India, the Middle East, and Africa. The Greater China segment comprises of China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The Rest of Asia Pacific segment includes Australia and Asian countries. Its products and services include iPhone, Mac, iPad, AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, Apple Care, iCloud, digital content stores, streaming, and licensing services. The company was founded by Steven Paul Jobs, Ronald Gerald Wayne, and Stephen G. Wozniak on April 1, 1976 and is headquartered in Cupertino, CA.

$. AAPL price fluctuates within 2.4% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 42 Average positive next day return: 0.75%(52%) Average negative next day return: -1.32%(48%) Sample size 42 Average positive next three day return: 1.45%(48%) Average negative next three day return: -1.68%(52%) Sample size 42 Average positive next weekly return: 1.17%(52%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.8%(48%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170907

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_7_2017	36.94	37.85	38.36	38.9	39.28	39.28	39.7(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	54	30	40	94	87.48	55%	0.14	82.1	1.3%	0	2	68	INF
2	Aug_4_2017	36.89	37.68	38.18	38.39	38.76	39.08	39.1(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	90	16	59	82.24	55%	0.11	72.4	1.3%	0	1.7	66	INF
3	Aug_3_2017	36.85	37.52	38.02	38.05	38.31	39.29	38.89(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	53	200	52	54	108.39	55%	0.08	60.4	1.3%	0	1.6	66	INF
4	Aug_2_2017	36.82	37.36	37.88	37.8	37.91	38.44	39.28(4.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	56	110	59	48	279.75	55%	0.14	50.4	1.3%	0	2.2	73	INF
5	Aug_1_2017	36.77	37.2	37.71	37.62	37.49	37.34	37.51(0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-5	-40	-14	24	141.47	51%	0.08	52	1.16%	0	0.4	67	INF

6	Jul_31_2017	36.74	37.12	37.72	37.75	37.74	37.37	37.18(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-8	-70	-25	45	79.38	51%	0.05	51.6	1.17%	0	0.1	65	INF
7	Jul_28_2017	36.72	37.07	37.72	37.92	37.95	37.64	37.38(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	0	-50	-24	73	68.85	51%	0.08	52.2	1.19%	0	0.4	70	INF
8	Jul_27_2017	36.69	37	37.75	37.96	38.04	38.11	37.64(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	23	20	-3	101	129.91	51%	0.08	49.6	1.19%	0	0.7	77	INF
9	Jul_26_2017	36.66	36.94	37.69	37.95	37.95	38.25	38.37(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	49	60	21	132	63.12	54%	0.11	50.4	1.16%	0	1.7	94	INF
10	Jul_25_2017	36.62	36.81	37.5	37.83	37.79	37.98	38.19(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	50	30	23	131	75.42	54%	0.08	47.9	1.16%	0	1.7	83	INF

11	Jul_24_2017	36.59	36.72	37.32	37.69	37.68	37.65	38.02(1.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	39	-10	10	125	85.97	54%	0.08	46.7	1.16%	0	1.8	83	INF
12	Jul_21_2017	36.56	36.64	37.14	37.57	37.57	37.61	37.57(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	10	-0	117	105.01	53%	0.08	53.9	1.16%	0	1.4	76	INF
13	Jul_20_2017	36.53	36.58	37	37.5	37.54	37.71	37.59(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	30	18	125	68.97	54%	0.08	57	1.16%	0	1.6	78	INF
14	Jul_19_2017	36.5	36.51	36.81	37.37	37.38	37.53	37.76(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	30	25	108	83.69	54%	0.08	57.2	1.17%	0	2.2	66	INF
15	Jul_18_2017	36.47	36.43	36.63	37.11	37.14	37.37	37.52(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	39	50	22	90	71.48	54%	0.11	48.9	1.17%	0	2.2	70	INF

16	Jul_17_2017	36.43	36.38	36.46	36.88	36.9	37.24	37.39(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	42	70	32	70	95.17	54%	0.08	44.9	1.17%	0	2.3	59	INF
17	Jul_14_2017	36.4	36.29	36.32	36.66	36.63	36.9	37.26(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	36	50	32	46	80.53	54%	0.08	13.6	1.17%	0	2.4	56	INF
18	Jul_13_2017	36.37	36.22	36.18	36.42	36.39	36.56	36.94(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	24	30	26	19	100.8	54%	0.08	-39.6	1.18%	0	2.2	55	INF
19	Jul_12_2017	36.34	36.18	36.12	36.16	36.2	36.35	36.44(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	9	30	14	-6	99.54	52%	0.06	-108.8	1.17%	0	0.9	49	INF
20	Jul_11_2017	36.32	36.18	36.12	36.08	36.02	36.22	36.38(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	7	30	15	-17	79.13	51%	0	-142.2	1.17%	0	0.6	52	INF

21	Jul_10_2017	36.32	36.19	36.06	35.98	35.94	36.04	36.27(0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	20	12	-28	84.36	51%	0.08	-184.3	1.17%	0	0.3	45	INF
22	Jul_7_2017	36.29	36.23	36.09	35.93	35.92	35.83	36.05(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-6	-20	0	-25	76.81	51%	0.06	-169.5	1.17%	0	-0.5	57	INF
23	Jul_6_2017	36.27	36.35	36.12	35.9	35.95	35.84	35.68(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-20	-16	-30	96.52	51%	0.06	-96.7	1.17%	0	-1	47	INF
24	Jul_5_2017	36.25	36.5	36.2	36.06	36.02	36	36.02(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-6	-10	-4	-11	86.28	51%	0.14	-69.6	1.16%	0	-0.6	48	INF
25	Jul_3_2017	36.2	36.62	36.23	36.04	36.09	36.07	35.88(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	0	-5	-18	57.11	51%		-58.5	1.15%	0	-0.7	42	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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