Trading Signals: AAPL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 26, 2016

Trading Signals: AAPL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. May. 31, 2024)

(Apple Inc)
AAPL latest price $25.1000 (0.76%) ($24.6600 - $25.1800) on Thu. May. 26, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.53% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $25.1000(0.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAPL advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAPL advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAPL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(81%)    IWF(78%)    QQQ(77%)    VUG(77%)    IVW(76%)
Factors Impacting AAPL price   AAPL will decline at least -0.765% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-13%)    UUP(-11%)    IPO(-8%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.765% (StdDev 1.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.48(2.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.95(4.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.63(6.22%)
To recent high   -10.5%
To recent low   11.1%
Market Cap   $430.107b

Apple, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and other variety of related services. It operates through the following geographical segments: Americas, Europe, Greater China, Japan, and Rest of Asia Pacific. The Americas segment includes North and South America. The Europe segment consists of European countries, as well as India, the Middle East, and Africa. The Greater China segment comprises of China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The Rest of Asia Pacific segment includes Australia and Asian countries. Its products and services include iPhone, Mac, iPad, AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, Apple Care, iCloud, digital content stores, streaming, and licensing services. The company was founded by Steven Paul Jobs, Ronald Gerald Wayne, and Stephen G. Wozniak on April 1, 1976 and is headquartered in Cupertino, CA.

$. AAPL price fluctuates within 2.58% (three month std-dev: 1.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.61%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.71%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.36%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160626

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_26_2016	25.02	23.63	23.95	24.48	24.55	24.86	25.1(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	58	100	32	136	225.32	49%	0	-25.2	1.53%	0	2.4	73	INF
2	May_25_2016	25.02	23.55	23.7	24.17	24.24	24.57	24.91(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	48	100	31	98	154.57	49%	-0.04	-65.8	1.53%	0	2.5	69	INF
3	May_24_2016	25.03	23.51	23.51	23.92	23.94	24.23	24.48(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	37	90	27	68	140.56	46%	-0.04	-74.2	1.52%	0	1.3	60	INF
4	May_23_2016	25.04	23.57	23.39	23.7	23.75	23.91	24.11(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	50	19	38	152.07	40%	-0.04	-69.6	1.52%	0	0.6	52	INF
5	May_20_2016	25.05	23.66	23.29	23.57	23.6	23.65	23.81(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	20	18	23	128.1	40%	-0.12	-64.8	1.53%	0	0.1	55	INF

6	May_19_2016	25.08	23.78	23.22	23.33	23.48	23.59	23.55(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	12	50	17	-4	121.77	40%	-0.12	-66.6	1.53%	0	-0.2	51	INF
7	May_18_2016	25.11	23.91	23.19	23.14	23.25	23.55	23.64(1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	100	15	-29	168.25	40%	-0.16	-69.5	1.53%	0	-0.2	48	INF
8	May_17_2016	25.15	24.06	23.17	23.14	23.06	23.38	23.37(-0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	100	15	-52	187.67	40%	-0.12	-70.1	1.54%	0	-0.5	35	INF
9	May_16_2016	25.18	24.22	23.21	23.04	23.06	22.95	23.47(3.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	-20	10	-89	245.04	45%	-0.08	-69.2	1.55%	0	-0.5	25	INF
10	May_13_2016	25.2	24.38	23.2	22.98	23	22.74	22.63(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-52	-80	-19	-150	177.57	39%	-0.2	-67.1	1.52%	0	-1.1	13	INF

11	May_12_2016	25.25	24.62	23.28	23.09	23.16	23.04	22.59(-2.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-59	-30	-18	-183	305.26	39%	-0.2	-62.1	1.53%	0	-1.2	11	INF
12	May_11_2016	25.3	24.88	23.4	23.24	23.25	23.04	23.13(-0.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-56	10	-5	-210	114.88	42%	-0.12	-57.2	1.51%	0	-1	12	INF
13	May_10_2016	25.33	25.12	23.53	23.32	23.28	23.27	23.36(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-65	-10	-6	-240	134.75	42%	-0.16	-55.4	1.5%	0	-1	12	INF
14	May_9_2016	25.37	25.33	23.78	23.41	23.39	23.24	23.2(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-66	-50	-6	-244	131.75	42%	-0.12	-54.6	1.5%	0	-1.2	10	INF
15	May_6_2016	25.4	25.54	24.07	23.45	23.49	23.29	23.18(-0.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-72	-50	-12	-252	174.8	42%	-0.2	-57.4	1.5%	0	-1.4	10	INF

16	May_5_2016	25.45	25.74	24.38	23.5	23.53	23.54	23.31(-1.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-73	10	-10	-261	143.56	38%	-0.16	-60.4	1.51%	0	-1.5	9	INF
17	May_4_2016	25.49	25.94	24.69	23.58	23.55	23.69	23.55(-1.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-72	40	-6	-270	164.1	38%	-0.2	-62.7	1.54%	0	-1.5	8	INF
18	May_3_2016	25.54	26.16	25.01	23.76	23.63	23.53	23.8(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-89	-50	-24	-282	227.33	42%	-0.16	-62.7	1.53%	0	-1.6	9	INF
19	May_2_2016	25.58	26.35	25.3	24.22	23.78	23.41	23.41(-0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-108	-160	-54	-271	192.64	37%	-0.2	-57.1	1.54%	0	-2	10	INF
20	Apr_29_2016	25.63	26.58	25.65	24.79	24.46	23.74	23.44(-1.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-101	-250	-57	-234	274.13	42%	-0.23	-48.1	1.55%	0	-2.5	17	INF

21	Apr_28_2016	25.69	26.8	26.07	25.39	25.17	24.15	23.71(-3.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-99	-310	-70	-186	328.97	42%	-0.23	-39.1	1.61%	0	-2.9	19	INF
22	Apr_27_2016	25.75	26.99	26.51	25.95	25.75	25.18	24.46(-6.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.9	-84	-180	-66	-137	458.41	39%	-0.19	-30	1.56%	0	-3.2	23	INF
23	Apr_26_2016	25.8	27.15	26.88	26.41	26.33	26.18	26.09(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-50	-13	-77	224.06	46%	-0.12	-14.6	1.58%	0	-2	28	INF
24	Apr_25_2016	25.83	27.2	27.03	26.54	26.49	26.31	26.27(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-50	-13	-66	112.13	43%	-0.15	-4.7	1.58%	0	-1.8	36	INF
25	Apr_22_2016	25.87	27.21	27.14	26.66	26.63	26.47	26.42(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-50	-19	-66	134.73	50%		0	1.6%	0	-1.6	33	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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