Trading Signals: AAPL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: AAPL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(Apple Inc)
AAPL latest price $22.5900 (-2.33%) ($22.3700 - $23.2000) on Thu. May. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.53% (three month average)
RSI   11
Latest Price   $22.5900(-2.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAPL declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAPL declines -4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAPL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(81%)    IWF(78%)    QQQ(77%)    VUG(77%)    IVW(76%)
Factors Impacting AAPL price   AAPL will decline at least -0.765% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-13%)    UUP(-10%)    IPO(-8%)    IGOV(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.765% (StdDev 1.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $10.06(-55.47%)
Resistance Level   $24.62
5 Day Moving Average   $23.09(-2.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.28(-2.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.62(-8.25%)
To recent high   -19.4%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $387.097b

Apple, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and other variety of related services. It operates through the following geographical segments: Americas, Europe, Greater China, Japan, and Rest of Asia Pacific. The Americas segment includes North and South America. The Europe segment consists of European countries, as well as India, the Middle East, and Africa. The Greater China segment comprises of China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The Rest of Asia Pacific segment includes Australia and Asian countries. Its products and services include iPhone, Mac, iPad, AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, Apple Care, iCloud, digital content stores, streaming, and licensing services. The company was founded by Steven Paul Jobs, Ronald Gerald Wayne, and Stephen G. Wozniak on April 1, 1976 and is headquartered in Cupertino, CA.

$. AAPL price fluctuates within 7.07% (three month std-dev: 1.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 25 Average positive next day return: 2.39%(52%) Average negative next day return: -2.64%(48%) Sample size 25 Average positive next three day return: 4.4%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -6.46%(44%) Sample size 25 Average positive next weekly return: 5.39%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.36%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2016	25.25	24.62	23.28	23.09	23.16	23.04	22.59(-2.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-59	-30	-18	-183	305.26	39%	-0.2	-62.1	1.53%	0	-1.2	11	INF
2	May_11_2016	25.3	24.88	23.4	23.24	23.25	23.04	23.13(-0.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-56	10	-5	-210	114.88	42%	-0.12	-57.2	1.51%	0	-1	12	INF
3	May_10_2016	25.33	25.12	23.53	23.32	23.28	23.27	23.36(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-65	-10	-6	-240	134.75	42%	-0.16	-55.4	1.5%	0	-1	12	INF
4	May_9_2016	25.37	25.33	23.78	23.41	23.39	23.24	23.2(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-66	-50	-6	-244	131.75	42%	-0.12	-54.6	1.5%	0	-1.2	10	INF
5	May_6_2016	25.4	25.54	24.07	23.45	23.49	23.29	23.18(-0.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-72	-50	-12	-252	174.8	42%	-0.2	-57.4	1.5%	0	-1.4	10	INF

6	May_5_2016	25.45	25.74	24.38	23.5	23.53	23.54	23.31(-1.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-73	10	-10	-261	143.56	38%	-0.16	-60.4	1.51%	0	-1.5	9	INF
7	May_4_2016	25.49	25.94	24.69	23.58	23.55	23.69	23.55(-1.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-72	40	-6	-270	164.1	38%	-0.2	-62.7	1.54%	0	-1.5	8	INF
8	May_3_2016	25.54	26.16	25.01	23.76	23.63	23.53	23.8(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-89	-50	-24	-282	227.33	42%	-0.16	-62.7	1.53%	0	-1.6	9	INF
9	May_2_2016	25.58	26.35	25.3	24.22	23.78	23.41	23.41(-0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-108	-160	-54	-271	192.64	37%	-0.2	-57.1	1.54%	0	-2	10	INF
10	Apr_29_2016	25.63	26.58	25.65	24.79	24.46	23.74	23.44(-1.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-101	-250	-57	-234	274.13	42%	-0.23	-48.1	1.55%	0	-2.5	17	INF

11	Apr_28_2016	25.69	26.8	26.07	25.39	25.17	24.15	23.71(-3.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-99	-310	-70	-186	328.97	42%	-0.23	-39.1	1.61%	0	-2.9	19	INF
12	Apr_27_2016	25.75	26.99	26.51	25.95	25.75	25.18	24.46(-6.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.9	-84	-180	-66	-137	458.41	39%	-0.19	-30	1.56%	0	-3.2	23	INF
13	Apr_26_2016	25.8	27.15	26.88	26.41	26.33	26.18	26.09(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-50	-13	-77	224.06	46%	-0.12	-14.6	1.58%	0	-2	28	INF
14	Apr_25_2016	25.83	27.2	27.03	26.54	26.49	26.31	26.27(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-50	-13	-66	112.13	43%	-0.15	-4.7	1.58%	0	-1.8	36	INF
15	Apr_22_2016	25.87	27.21	27.14	26.66	26.63	26.47	26.42(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-50	-19	-66	134.73	50%	-0.12	0	1.6%	0	-1.6	33	INF

16	Apr_21_2016	25.9	27.22	27.22	26.87	26.79	26.66	26.49(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-29	-40	-21	-53	126.21	50%	-0.08	11.4	1.73%	0	-1.5	39	INF
17	Apr_20_2016	25.92	27.22	27.3	27.17	27.08	26.78	26.78(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-90	-20	-33	122.44	50%	-0.12	30	1.72%	0	-0.9	46	INF
18	Apr_19_2016	25.95	27.23	27.39	27.42	27.39	26.92	26.73(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-22	-120	-25	-14	129.54	50%	-0.12	48.4	1.72%	0	-1	44	INF
19	Apr_18_2016	25.98	27.22	27.47	27.6	27.65	27.38	26.87(-2.15%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.4	-13	-60	-19	7	243.29	50%	-0.12	65.8	1.72%	0	-0.7	52	INF
20	Apr_15_2016	26.01	27.21	27.57	27.67	27.76	27.86	27.46(-2.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	11	30	2	38	187.76	50%	0.08	75.9	1.71%	0	0.5	66	INF

21	Apr_14_2016	25.99	27.16	27.58	27.62	27.66	27.92	28.03(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	70	19	54	101.9	55%	-0.08	80.8	1.72%	0	1.6	71	INF
22	Apr_13_2016	26.01	27.08	27.49	27.44	27.47	27.66	28.01(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	22	50	13	48	133.03	52%	-0.04	85.7	1.74%	0	1.8	68	INF
23	Apr_12_2016	26.02	26.99	27.43	27.38	27.33	27.39	27.61(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	10	4	49	108.93	52%	-0.08	95.2	1.76%	0	1.2	63	INF
24	Apr_11_2016	26.04	26.89	27.36	27.35	27.37	27.28	27.26(0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-20	-5	50	117.63	52%	-0.12	85.8	1.77%	0	0.6	62	INF
25	Apr_8_2016	26.07	26.81	27.28	27.46	27.4	27.27	27.17(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	-40	-10	54	94.33	52%		83.5	1.78%	0	0.6	61	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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