Trading Signals: AAPL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 8, 2015

Trading Signals: AAPL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Tue. Jun. 25, 2024)

(Apple Inc)
AAPL latest price $29.5600 (-0.03%) ($29.2200 - $29.6500) on Tue. Dec. 8, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.53% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $29.5600(-0.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAPL advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAPL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(81%)    IWF(77%)    VUG(77%)    QQQ(76%)    IVW(75%)
Factors Impacting AAPL price   AAPL will decline at least -0.765% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-14%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-3%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.765% (StdDev 1.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.35(0.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.43(0.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.26(1.03%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   8.4%
Market Cap   $506.533b

Apple, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and other variety of related services. It operates through the following geographical segments: Americas, Europe, Greater China, Japan, and Rest of Asia Pacific. The Americas segment includes North and South America. The Europe segment consists of European countries, as well as India, the Middle East, and Africa. The Greater China segment comprises of China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The Rest of Asia Pacific segment includes Australia and Asian countries. Its products and services include iPhone, Mac, iPad, AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, Apple Care, iCloud, digital content stores, streaming, and licensing services. The company was founded by Steven Paul Jobs, Ronald Gerald Wayne, and Stephen G. Wozniak on April 1, 1976 and is headquartered in Cupertino, CA.

$. AAPL price fluctuates within 1.61% (three month std-dev: 1.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.93%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.66%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.13%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_8_2015	28.73	29.26	29.43	29.35	29.34	29.57	29.56(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	5	50	6	2	137.24	59%	0.07	-46.6	1.53%	0	0.6	65	0
2	Dec_7_2015	28.71	29.28	29.42	29.35	29.28	29.49	29.57(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	50	13	12	128.34	59%	0.03	-48.5	1.57%	0	0.6	63	0
3	Dec_4_2015	28.7	29.31	29.44	29.31	29.23	29.11	29.76(3.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	9	-40	2	28	231.11	59%	0.03	-41.5	1.58%	0	0.8	69	0
4	Dec_3_2015	28.69	29.32	29.43	29.25	29.31	29.07	28.8(-0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-7	-50	-18	27	166.28	54%	0.03	-41.9	1.53%	0	-0.9	50	0
5	Dec_2_2015	28.68	29.41	29.49	29.39	29.45	29.35	29.07(-0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	0	-20	-14	43	133.55	54%	0	-29	1.54%	0	-0.6	51	0

6	Dec_1_2015	28.68	29.48	29.44	29.52	29.56	29.54	29.34(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-0	-1	47	139.41	47%	0.03	-8	1.63%	0	-0.2	52	0
7	Nov_30_2015	28.67	29.52	29.37	29.54	29.57	29.55	29.58(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-0	-3	29	156.72	47%	0.07	2.6	1.72%	0	0.1	43	0
8	Nov_27_2015	28.65	29.54	29.23	29.59	29.58	29.58	29.45(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-0	-4	9	52.19	47%	0.03	5.1	1.73%	0	-0.1	41	0
9	Nov_25_2015	28.64	29.57	29.18	29.64	29.66	29.6	29.51(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	2	-10	2	0	85.55	47%	0.03	15.5	1.75%	0	-0.1	42	0
10	Nov_24_2015	28.63	29.58	29.13	29.6	29.64	29.59	29.72(0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	-10	8	-15	171.21	47%	0.07	22.5	1.76%	0	0.2	41	0

11	Nov_23_2015	28.61	29.53	29.07	29.34	29.54	29.73	29.44(-1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	70	12	-46	129.93	47%	0.07	13.4	1.77%	0	-0.1	37	0
12	Nov_20_2015	28.59	29.51	29.12	29.16	29.27	29.7	29.83(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	10	110	31	-52	137.15	47%	0.07	12.1	1.78%	0	0.4	44	0
13	Nov_19_2015	28.57	29.5	29.14	28.81	28.86	29.34	29.7(1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	-0	120	24	-73	173.18	47%	0.07	11.2	1.79%	0	0.3	48	0
14	Nov_18_2015	28.55	29.46	29.18	28.66	28.58	28.84	29.32(3.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-10	60	16	-86	186.7	47%	0.04	10.7	1.8%	0	-0.2	42	0
15	Nov_17_2015	28.54	29.42	29.28	28.6	28.56	28.37	28.42(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-50	-7	-95	110.47	41%	0	13.2	1.77%	0	-1.3	36	0

16	Nov_16_2015	28.54	29.44	29.5	28.76	28.68	28.32	28.54(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-41	-100	-29	-76	152.43	41%	0	20.7	1.78%	0	-1.1	53	0
17	Nov_13_2015	28.54	29.44	29.69	29.08	28.95	28.75	28.09(-2.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-35	-60	-32	-43	183.25	41%	-0.04	30	1.79%	0	-1.5	48	0
18	Nov_12_2015	28.55	29.42	29.88	29.51	29.39	29.05	28.93(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-90	-18	-10	130.1	45%	0.04	43.2	1.76%	0	-0.6	44	0
19	Nov_11_2015	28.54	29.38	30.01	29.77	29.7	29.16	29.03(-0.55%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-21	-130	-33	14	180.87	45%	0.04	50.6	1.77%	0	-0.4	54	0
20	Nov_10_2015	28.53	29.32	30.11	30.07	30.02	29.73	29.19(-3.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-11	-70	-31	48	236.51	45%	0.04	57	1.79%	0	-0.1	59	0

21	Nov_9_2015	28.52	29.26	30.08	30.36	30.38	30.25	30.14(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-30	-4	83	135.49	52%	0.11	64.5	1.75%	0	0.8	67	0
22	Nov_6_2015	28.49	29.15	29.96	30.39	30.44	30.32	30.27(0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	-20	-2	98	132.17	52%	0.14	66.4	1.76%	0	1.1	71	0
23	Nov_5_2015	28.45	29.04	29.9	30.31	30.4	30.51	30.23(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	30	0	116	158.21	52%	0.14	66.3	1.78%	0	1.1	72	0
24	Nov_4_2015	28.41	28.9	29.77	30.29	30.33	30.57	30.5(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	60	16	134	179.54	52%	0.14	66.9	1.79%	0	1.5	72	0
25	Nov_3_2015	28.37	28.75	29.57	30.15	30.14	30.3	30.64(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	53	40	24	140	182.08	52%		68.6	1.81%	0	1.9	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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