Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 2, 2023

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $16.9950 (2.26%) ($16.9950 - $16.9950) on Thu. Feb. 2, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.68% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $16.9950(2.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BOTZ(55%)    ARKK(53%)    ACES(47%)    ARKG(47%)    BLOK(43%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.34% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-26%)    VIXM(-25%)    GLD(-20%)    TIP(-13%)    SLV(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.34% (StdDev 2.68%)
Hourly BBV 1.2 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $16.42(3.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.37(3.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.08(5.69%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   38.2%
Market Cap   $8.643b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 5.6% (three month std-dev: 2.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 5.05%(75%) Average negative next day return: -6.94%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 5.08%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -11.73%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 9.68%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -24.8%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_2_2023	13.92	16.08	16.37	16.42	16.41	16.81	17(2.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	6	170	14	-17	26.31	58%	0.22	97.9	2.68%	1.2	1	51	-1.4
2	Feb_1_2023	13.89	15.91	16.37	16.34	16.41	16.35	16.62(3.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	20	9	-13	22.19	58%	0.22	88.9	2.72%	3	0.7	66	-1.5
3	Jan_31_2023	13.86	15.73	16.3	16.28	16.27	16.01	16.08(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4	-110	-4	-4	16.12	56%	0.14	74.9	2.7%	-1.1	0.3	64	-1.8
4	Jan_30_2023	13.84	15.57	16.39	16.27	16.33	16.2	15.95(-3.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-0	-40	-8	23	23.45	56%	0.07	74.5	2.7%	-1.8	0.3	69	-1.8
5	Jan_27_2023	13.83	15.42	16.5	16.31	16.35	16.53	16.46(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	80	3	69	22.82	58%	0.22	68.7	2.67%	1.3	0.7	78	-1.7

6	Jan_26_2023	13.8	15.24	16.53	16.3	16.27	16.46	16.61(1.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	34	80	9	110	41.95	58%	0.15	57.1	2.66%	2.3	0.8	81	-1.6
7	Jan_25_2023	13.78	15.05	16.42	16.25	16.22	16.16	16.31(1.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	30	-30	-3	129	29.01	58%	0.22	56.5	2.67%	1	0.7	82	-1.6
8	Jan_24_2023	13.75	14.86	16.32	16.33	16.23	16.09	16.02(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	31	-80	-15	170	18.74	58%	0.22	58	2.67%	-2.1	0.7	85	-1.5
9	Jan_23_2023	13.72	14.7	16.2	16.54	16.4	16.27	16.17(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	47	-80	-12	224	23.34	58%	0.22	62.7	2.68%	-0.5	0.8	86	-1.6
10	Jan_20_2023	13.69	14.52	16.01	16.71	16.63	16.38	16.39(0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	62	-120	-9	273	19.06	56%	0.22	66.1	2.68%	-0.2	1.1	89	-1.3

11	Jan_19_2023	13.66	14.31	15.79	16.8	16.79	16.53	16.37(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	80	-110	2	314	28.96	56%	0.29	69	2.73%	-0.9	1.2	89	-1.2
12	Jan_18_2023	13.62	14.12	15.52	16.59	16.91	16.88	16.7(-2.14%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.1	93	50	14	328	38.31	57%	0.22	68.9	2.72%	-1.3	1.6	94	-1.1
13	Jan_17_2023	13.59	13.91	15.13	16.29	16.57	17.05	17.07(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	103	250	30	321	26.3	57%	0.22	67.4	2.73%	1	2.1	99	-1.6
14	Jan_13_2023	13.56	13.67	14.7	15.8	16.1	16.94	17.04(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	113	420	51	300	43.18	57%	0.22	64.7	2.71%	1.2	2.5	99	-1.9
15	Jan_12_2023	13.53	13.45	14.25	15.22	15.49	16.09	16.83(9.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	102	320	51	254	91	59%	0.22	61	2.72%	1.7	3	99	-1.6

16	Jan_11_2023	13.5	13.22	13.82	14.65	14.82	15.26	15.33(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	79	240	31	221	24.9	54%	0.07	55.6	2.51%	1.2	2.5	99	-1.9
17	Jan_10_2023	13.49	13.07	13.54	14.29	14.48	14.9	15.19(3.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	82	240	44	195	28.32	54%	0.15	40.8	2.52%	1.6	2.9	90	-2.1
18	Jan_9_2023	13.47	12.94	13.27	13.8	14.07	14.37	14.62(3.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	62	210	35	143	28.52	52%	0	20.5	2.48%	1.2	2.7	81	-2
19	Jan_6_2023	13.47	12.85	13.05	13.42	13.59	14.05	14.13(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	47	270	28	102	24.36	47%	-0.07	-1.2	2.51%	1.2	2.4	80	-1.8
20	Jan_5_2023	13.48	12.8	12.89	13.13	13.24	13.76	13.98(3.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	43	300	35	68	24.18	47%	-0.07	-19.4	2.52%	1.4	2.4	63	-1

21	Jan_4_2023	13.49	12.76	12.71	12.87	12.72	13.13	13.54(6.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	24	190	21	31	29.69	51%	-0.15	-44.8	2.49%	1.8	1.7	65	-0.9
22	Jan_3_2023	13.51	12.78	12.71	12.68	12.62	12.73	12.72(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	50	4	5	19.04	46%	-0.3	-48.9	2.59%	0.3	-0.1	56	-0.1
23	Dec_30_2022	13.55	12.82	12.6	12.66	12.6	12.6	12.74(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-10	3	0	17.31	46%	-0.15	-48.1	2.6%	0.9	-0.1	47	1
24	Dec_29_2022	13.57	12.86	12.58	12.66	12.6	12.6	12.7(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-10	6	-9	19.71	44%	0	-51.2	2.61%	0.9	-0.3	45	-57.9
25	Dec_29_2022	13.57	12.9	12.6	12.62	12.58	12.58	12.64(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	-10	6	-16	15.4	44%		-58.6	2.61%	0.9	-0.4	38	-57.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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