Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 19, 2023

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $16.3650 (-2.01%) ($16.3650 - $16.3650) on Thu. Jan. 19, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.73% (three month average)
RSI   89
Latest Price   $16.3650(-2.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 14.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BOTZ(54%)    ARKK(52%)    ARKG(48%)    ACES(47%)    BLOK(45%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    SHY(-23%)    GLD(-16%)    TIP(-11%)    SLV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.365% (StdDev 2.73%)
Hourly BBV -0.9 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $16.8(-2.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15.79(3.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $14.31(14.36%)
To recent high   -4.1%
To recent low   33%
Market Cap   $8.323b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 11.95% (three month std-dev: 2.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 24 Average positive next day return: 2.77%(38%) Average negative next day return: -2.41%(63%) Sample size 24 Average positive next three day return: 6.97%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.56%(50%) Sample size 24 Average positive next weekly return: 9.39%(42%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.31%(58%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_19_2023	13.66	14.31	15.79	16.8	16.79	16.53	16.37(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	80	-110	2	314	28.96	56%	0.29	69	2.73%	-0.9	1.2	89	-1.2
2	Jan_18_2023	13.62	14.12	15.52	16.59	16.91	16.88	16.7(-2.14%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.1	93	50	14	328	38.31	57%	0.22	68.9	2.72%	-1.3	1.6	94	-1.1
3	Jan_17_2023	13.59	13.91	15.13	16.29	16.57	17.05	17.07(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	103	250	30	321	26.3	57%	0.22	67.4	2.73%	1	2.1	99	-1.6
4	Jan_13_2023	13.56	13.67	14.7	15.8	16.1	16.94	17.04(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	113	420	51	300	43.18	57%	0.22	64.7	2.71%	1.2	2.5	99	-1.9
5	Jan_12_2023	13.53	13.45	14.25	15.22	15.49	16.09	16.83(9.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	102	320	51	254	91	59%	0.22	61	2.72%	1.7	3	99	-1.6

6	Jan_11_2023	13.5	13.22	13.82	14.65	14.82	15.26	15.33(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	79	240	31	221	24.9	54%	0.07	55.6	2.51%	1.2	2.5	99	-1.9
7	Jan_10_2023	13.49	13.07	13.54	14.29	14.48	14.9	15.19(3.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	82	240	44	195	28.32	54%	0.15	40.8	2.52%	1.6	2.9	90	-2.1
8	Jan_9_2023	13.47	12.94	13.27	13.8	14.07	14.37	14.62(3.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	62	210	35	143	28.52	52%	0	20.5	2.48%	1.2	2.7	81	-2
9	Jan_6_2023	13.47	12.85	13.05	13.42	13.59	14.05	14.13(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	47	270	28	102	24.36	47%	-0.07	-1.2	2.51%	1.2	2.4	80	-1.8
10	Jan_5_2023	13.48	12.8	12.89	13.13	13.24	13.76	13.98(3.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	43	300	35	68	24.18	47%	-0.07	-19.4	2.52%	1.4	2.4	63	-1

11	Jan_4_2023	13.49	12.76	12.71	12.87	12.72	13.13	13.54(6.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	24	190	21	31	29.69	51%	-0.15	-44.8	2.49%	1.8	1.7	65	-0.9
12	Jan_3_2023	13.51	12.78	12.71	12.68	12.62	12.73	12.72(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	50	4	5	19.04	46%	-0.3	-48.9	2.59%	0.3	-0.1	56	-0.1
13	Dec_30_2022	13.55	12.82	12.6	12.66	12.6	12.6	12.74(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-10	3	0	17.31	46%	-0.15	-48.1	2.6%	0.9	-0.1	47	1
14	Dec_29_2022	13.57	12.86	12.58	12.66	12.6	12.6	12.7(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-10	6	-9	19.71	44%	0	-51.2	2.61%	0.9	-0.3	45	-57.9
15	Dec_29_2022	13.57	12.9	12.6	12.66	12.6	12.6	12.64(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	-10	6	-16	15.4	44%	0	-58.6	2.61%	0.9	-0.4	38	-57.9

16	Dec_29_2022	13.57	12.97	12.59	12.66	12.6	12.6	12.6(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-5	-10	6	-38	14.17	44%	0	-60.9	2.61%	0.9	-0.6	35	-57.9
17	Dec_29_2022	13.57	13.05	12.58	12.66	12.6	12.6	12.6(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-12	-10	6	-67	12.68	44%	0	-60.4	2.61%	0.9	-0.7	27	-57.9
18	Dec_29_2022	13.57	13.11	12.6	12.66	12.6	12.6	12.56(-0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-15	-10	6	-77	11.8	44%	0	-63.8	2.61%	0.9	-0.9	39	-57.9
19	Dec_29_2022	13.57	13.18	12.64	12.62	12.58	12.58	12.57(2.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-18	-10	6	-88	11.43	44%	-0.51	-67.9	2.61%	0.9	-1	39	-57.9
20	Dec_28_2022	13.64	13.27	12.7	12.61	12.52	12.41	12.3(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-80	-9	-87	18.59	47%	-0.22	-57.2	2.75%	-1.9	-1.4	35	1.3

21	Dec_27_2022	13.67	13.36	12.82	12.67	12.69	12.61	12.53(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-40	0	-91	17.25	47%	-0.22	-55.6	2.8%	-0.2	-1.3	30	1.2
22	Dec_23_2022	13.7	13.43	12.97	12.66	12.7	12.62	12.7(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-30	-4	-92	16.05	45%	-0.15	-58.1	2.82%	-0.2	-1.1	35	1.3
23	Dec_22_2022	13.72	13.52	13.05	12.69	12.65	12.77	12.54(-3.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	60	-6	-96	23.29	43%	-0.22	-55.2	2.87%	-0.6	-1.6	35	1.8
24	Dec_21_2022	13.75	13.62	13.16	12.77	12.73	12.79	13.01(3.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-22	20	2	-93	27.04	42%	-0.07	-51	2.87%	1.2	-1	39	1.6
25	Dec_20_2022	13.76	13.67	13.21	12.82	12.71	12.52	12.57(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-130	-14	-106	18.2	40%		-55.1	2.91%	-0.6	-1.8	28	1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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