Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Nov. 3, 2022

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $13.7300 (1.29%) ($13.7300 - $13.7300) on Thu. Nov. 3, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.86% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $13.7300(1.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DRIV(23%)    FIVG(23%)    IWF(23%)    IVW(22%)    SPY(22%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-14%)    VIXM(-7%)    SLV(-6%)    EDOC(-5%)    TBT(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.43% (StdDev 2.86%)
Hourly BBV -0.6 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $13.92(-1.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $13.97(-1.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $13.51(1.63%)
To recent high   -11.4%
To recent low   15.8%
Market Cap   $6.982b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 5.03% (three month std-dev: 2.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 1.58%(44%) Average negative next day return: -1.76%(56%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 2.49%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -4.38%(56%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 2.81%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.09%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20221203

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_3_2022	13.71	13.51	13.97	13.92	13.89	13.64	13.73(1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-130	-7	27	22.22	38%	0.07	52.9	2.86%	-0.6	0.3	61	0.5
2	Nov_2_2022	13.7	13.46	13.95	13.97	13.97	13.83	13.56(-3.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-70	-11	34	34.21	38%	0	58.1	2.9%	-2	0.1	60	0.5
3	Nov_1_2022	13.7	13.43	13.99	14.06	14.07	14.14	14.12(-0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	16	40	-1	65	25.51	40%	0.07	63.2	2.87%	0.2	1	73	1.2
4	Oct_31_2022	13.69	13.37	13.95	14.1	14.05	14.11	14.18(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	24	20	2	91	23.7	40%	0	66	2.91%	0.9	1.1	79	2.2
5	Oct_28_2022	13.69	13.26	13.86	14.08	14.08	14	14.05(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	30	-40	3	110	23.23	40%	-0.15	64.6	2.91%	-0.9	1	79	1.4

6	Oct_27_2022	13.71	13.16	13.77	14.02	14.09	13.98	13.97(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-40	2	120	25.11	40%	-0.15	62.5	2.92%	-1.7	1.1	76	1.8
7	Oct_26_2022	13.73	13.07	13.69	13.92	14.03	14.16	14(-2.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	90	1	118	28.16	40%	-0.22	57.2	2.96%	-0.5	1.3	65	1.3
8	Oct_25_2022	13.76	13.01	13.57	13.91	13.9	14.21	14.32(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	150	12	123	24.59	40%	-0.15	56.2	2.97%	1.6	1.8	66	1.4
9	Oct_24_2022	13.78	12.9	13.37	13.78	13.81	13.91	14.1(2.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	60	15	107	29.94	40%	-0.14	41.6	2.96%	1.9	1.8	63	1.1
10	Oct_21_2022	13.8	12.79	13.17	13.61	13.7	13.59	13.73(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-40	5	93	34.06	36%	-0.29	20.3	2.97%	-0.3	1.5	71	0.9

11	Oct_20_2022	13.84	12.71	13.02	13.49	13.58	13.71	13.46(-3.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	90	2	82	58.06	36%	-0.29	3.9	3.12%	-1.3	1.3	67	1.4
12	Oct_19_2022	13.88	12.67	12.94	13.42	13.49	13.82	13.97(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	38	190	20	92	51.03	41%	-0.29	-11.1	3.09%	1	2.3	69	0.3
13	Oct_18_2022	13.92	12.67	12.82	13.18	13.27	13.46	13.68(3.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	34	120	21	74	34.08	41%	0	-28.5	3.13%	1.3	1.8	58	0.6
14	Oct_17_2022	13.92	12.62	12.74	12.89	13.04	13.16	13.24(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	100	15	58	37.81	39%	-0.36	-36.7	3.1%	0.5	1	61	0.5
15	Oct_14_2022	13.97	12.66	12.6	12.66	12.79	13.08	13.13(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	190	15	40	34.76	39%	-0.29	-46.4	3.11%	0.9	0.7	64	0.8

16	Oct_13_2022	14.01	12.68	12.49	12.47	12.54	12.92	13.09(2.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	230	12	21	50.48	39%	-0.21	-51.9	3.11%	1.5	0.6	59	0.2
17	Oct_12_2022	14.04	12.73	12.49	12.4	12.32	12.5	12.76(4.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	80	4	4	37.18	46%	-0.21	-49.9	3.11%	1.8	0	50	0.8
18	Oct_11_2022	14.07	12.79	12.49	12.43	12.31	12.16	12.25(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-110	-7	-4	61.48	43%	-0.35	-47.7	3.33%	0.9	-0.7	41	0.6
19	Oct_10_2022	14.12	12.86	12.4	12.56	12.48	12.13	12.08(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-8	-220	-5	-15	27.65	43%	-0.28	-38.9	3.35%	-0.7	-0.9	34	0.6
20	Oct_7_2022	14.16	12.98	12.4	12.53	12.69	12.46	12.19(-4.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-90	-3	-48	32.85	43%	-0.35	-32.5	3.35%	-1.3	-0.9	34	0.6

21	Oct_6_2022	14.21	13.08	12.4	12.5	12.61	12.82	12.73(-1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	140	5	-67	28.9	46%	-0.28	-27.4	3.32%	-0.1	-0.4	41	1.1
22	Oct_5_2022	14.25	13.13	12.39	12.4	12.44	12.92	12.89(-0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-16	280	10	-92	25.8	49%	-0.35	-25.5	3.32%	0.9	-0.3	39	1.7
23	Oct_4_2022	14.3	13.18	12.41	12.38	12.27	12.41	12.94(8.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-15	50	14	-101	44.41	49%	-0.28	-23.5	3.39%	1.4	-0.3	41	1.9
24	Oct_3_2022	14.34	13.2	12.49	12.38	12.24	11.96	11.88(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-34	-160	-4	-122	36.99	43%	-0.35	-29.1	3.23%	-1.5	-1.5	36	0.6
25	Sep_30_2022	14.39	13.26	12.72	12.23	12.32	12.14	12.04(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-80	-7	-125	29.94	43%		-35.3	3.26%	-1	-1.5	32	-0.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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