Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jun. 1, 2022

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $17.2700 (-3.57%) ($16.9800 - $17.2700) on Wed. Jun. 1, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.35% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $17.2700(-3.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(53%)    PEJ(51%)    DRIV(45%)    IVW(45%)    IWF(45%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -2.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    UUP(-21%)    TBT(-6%)    VXX(-3%)    USO(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.175% (StdDev 4.35%)
Hourly BBV -1.2 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $17.34(-0.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.9(2.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.98(1.71%)
To recent high   -14.8%
To recent low   34.7%
Market Cap   $8.783b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 6.01% (three month std-dev: 4.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.29%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.37%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -14.09%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 6.82%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -13.33%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220701

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_1_2022	17.22	16.98	16.9	17.34	17.63	17.55	17.27(-3.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	20	6	41	32.56	53%	-0.12	-34.3	4.35%	-1.2	0.3	58	1.5
2	May_31_2022	17.24	17.07	16.94	16.98	17.36	18.01	17.91(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	330	14	37	27.45	56%	-0.17	-38.6	4.4%	0.6	0.8	57	1.4
3	May_27_2022	17.27	17.09	16.79	16.74	16.75	17.7	18.11(4.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	26	400	24	32	25.22	53%	0	-47.5	4.38%	1.2	0.9	59	1.8
4	May_26_2022	17.27	17.1	16.63	16.36	16.4	16.7	17.29(7.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	140	15	2	31.76	52%	-0.12	-57.5	4.38%	1.5	0.2	47	1.8
5	May_25_2022	17.29	17.2	16.45	16.26	16.13	15.8	16.12(4.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-170	-9	-35	29.03	49%	-0.17	-60.6	4.32%	0.2	-0.8	39	1.7

6	May_24_2022	17.32	17.34	16.44	16.41	16.29	16.09	15.48(-7.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-30	-110	-20	-60	35.76	49%	-0.17	-59.5	4.3%	-1.7	-1.4	31	2.1
7	May_23_2022	17.35	17.51	16.56	16.87	16.64	16.47	16.7(2.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-110	-1	-52	22.36	50%	-0.06	-53.1	4.21%	0.3	-0.6	38	2.2
8	May_20_2022	17.36	17.67	16.52	16.84	16.91	16.49	16.23(-3.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-160	-6	-73	30.71	50%	-0.12	-46.6	4.21%	-1.7	-1	39	2
9	May_19_2022	17.38	17.86	16.68	16.91	16.99	16.81	16.76(-0.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-17	-60	2	-73	26.46	50%	-0.06	-41.1	4.22%	-0.9	-0.7	40	1.7
10	May_18_2022	17.39	18.03	16.83	16.65	16.95	17.34	16.87(-5.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-15	220	10	-88	27.11	50%	-0.11	-42.6	4.25%	-0.7	-0.8	38	2

11	May_17_2022	17.41	18.16	17.07	16.47	16.59	17.17	17.8(7.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-10	270	17	-90	26.29	52%	-0.06	-39.3	4.21%	1.8	-0.2	44	1.8
12	May_16_2022	17.42	18.25	17.18	16.23	16.13	16.57	16.54(-0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-20	170	8	-105	22.8	49%	0	-36.6	4.12%	0.8	-1.2	38	2.4
13	May_13_2022	17.42	18.36	17.38	16.19	16.15	16.02	16.61(7.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-32	-60	-3	-120	29.66	53%	-0.11	-32.5	4.17%	1.1	-1.2	33	1.6
14	May_12_2022	17.44	18.49	17.59	16.43	16.07	15.69	15.43(-3.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-55	-230	-29	-133	37.47	49%	-0.17	-23.2	4.09%	-1.6	-2.2	23	1.6
15	May_11_2022	17.47	18.68	18.01	17.04	16.67	16.28	15.98(-3.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-48	-230	-26	-113	34.42	47%	-0.11	-7.4	4.1%	-2	-2.3	25	1.8

16	May_10_2022	17.49	18.76	18.32	17.76	17.3	16.44	16.6(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-42	-430	-27	-87	33.33	47%	-0.06	7.9	4.14%	-0.7	-2	34	2.4
17	May_9_2022	17.5	18.8	18.56	18.28	18.05	17.07	16.32(-8.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-41	-420	-30	-74	37.69	47%	-0.06	16.6	4.13%	-1.7	-2.4	32	2
18	May_6_2022	17.51	18.84	18.94	18.73	18.77	18.16	17.84(-3.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-23	-220	-17	-42	32.6	55%	0.11	22.6	4.05%	-1.6	-1	49	1.4
19	May_5_2022	17.49	18.81	19.18	18.92	18.95	19.04	18.47(-5.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	40	-10	-24	29.52	55%	0.06	20.9	4.05%	-1.8	-0.3	49	1.7
20	May_4_2022	17.48	18.77	19.36	19.11	19.03	19.38	19.6(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	120	10	1	28.51	58%	0.17	22.7	4.01%	1.9	0.7	56	1

21	May_3_2022	17.45	18.68	19.34	18.99	18.98	18.87	19.16(3.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	-40	5	10	27.18	58%	0.11	18.4	4.01%	1	0.4	67	-0.9
22	May_2_2022	17.43	18.63	19.39	18.91	18.94	18.67	18.58(-1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-100	-13	19	30.27	58%	0.06	20.7	4.01%	-1.1	-0	65	-0.1
23	Apr_29_2022	17.42	18.61	19.4	19.19	18.99	19.09	18.77(-3.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	10	-11	48	23.84	60%	0	33.5	4%	-0.6	0.1	69	0.2
24	Apr_28_2022	17.42	18.59	19.44	19.48	19.3	19.22	19.43(2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	19	-60	-2	82	25.6	60%	0.11	48.1	4%	1.8	0.8	69	0.8
25	Apr_27_2022	17.4	18.52	19.4	19.65	19.5	18.88	19(1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	17	-250	-11	101	29.02	60%		61.8	4%	-0.7	0.4	63	0.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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