Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Dec. 31, 2021

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $17.9650 (-0.72%) ($17.9300 - $17.9650) on Fri. Dec. 31, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.98% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $17.9650(-0.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(68%)    PEJ(60%)    DRIV(55%)    IWF(52%)    IYT(52%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-35%)    UUP(-25%)    USO(-8%)    VXX(-7%)    GLD(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.49% (StdDev 2.98%)
Hourly BBV -1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.16(-1.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.99(-0.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.71(1.44%)
To recent high   -19.2%
To recent low   10.4%
Market Cap   $9.136b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 3.5% (three month std-dev: 2.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.13%(20%) Average negative next day return: -1.97%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.99%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -6.42%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 0.41%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.27%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220131

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_31_2021	19.39	17.71	17.99	18.16	18.16	18.03	17.97(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-50	-4	59	20.37	44%	-0.15	36.3	2.98%	-1	0.4	49	1.3
2	Dec_30_2021	19.42	17.68	17.86	18.23	18.21	18.07	18.1(0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-60	-6	46	26.37	44%	-0.15	24.5	3.07%	-0.8	0.7	49	1.4
3	Dec_29_2021	19.45	17.6	17.76	18.27	18.27	18.3	18.05(-2.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	10	-2	38	20.39	44%	-0.15	2.8	3.08%	-1.3	0.7	47	1.4
4	Dec_28_2021	19.48	17.58	17.64	18.28	18.32	18.36	18.55(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	20	12	36	26.57	44%	-0.1	-9	3.07%	1.5	1.4	56	1.4
5	Dec_27_2021	19.5	17.53	17.5	18.03	18.21	18.24	18.17(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	40	10	11	26.22	44%	-0.2	-31	3.06%	-0.6	1	51	1.3

6	Dec_23_2021	19.54	17.49	17.47	17.79	17.94	18.29	18.31(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	160	18	14	30.04	47%	-0.1	-55.4	3.08%	0	1.3	66	1.4
7	Dec_22_2021	19.56	17.53	17.43	17.43	17.61	18.19	18.28(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	18	260	23	2	27.59	49%	-0.05	-63.2	3.11%	0.8	1	57	1.3
8	Dec_21_2021	19.57	17.58	17.41	17.17	17.17	17.6	18.11(4.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	17	180	21	4	44.41	49%	-0.1	-66.5	3.14%	1.3	0.6	64	0.9
9	Dec_20_2021	19.59	17.64	17.37	16.93	16.89	17.03	17.3(1.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	50	6	-16	44.32	48%	-0.15	-70.2	3.1%	0.9	-0.4	49	0.5
10	Dec_17_2021	19.62	17.73	17.43	16.9	16.84	17.03	16.98(2.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-50	-8	-21	35.51	48%	-0.25	-72	3.11%	0.8	-0.8	47	0.8

11	Dec_16_2021	19.67	17.84	17.4	17.1	16.87	16.74	16.5(-2.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-90	-19	-23	29.38	48%	-0.25	-73.6	3.08%	-1.1	-1.3	46	0.8
12	Dec_15_2021	19.72	18.01	17.5	17.43	17.25	16.93	16.99(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-160	-13	-21	37.66	48%	-0.25	-70.5	3.09%	-0.1	-1	38	1
13	Dec_14_2021	19.77	18.15	17.45	17.68	17.54	17.01	16.88(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-240	-19	-40	27.6	48%	-0.25	-72.4	3.09%	-1	-1.2	37	0.8
14	Dec_13_2021	19.82	18.32	17.53	17.87	17.88	17.57	17.14(-4.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	-120	-16	-46	36.69	48%	-0.2	-72.5	3.08%	-1.1	-1	37	0.8
15	Dec_10_2021	19.86	18.47	17.59	18.03	18.11	18.08	18(-0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-4	0	9	-42	25.73	47%	-0.15	-72.3	3.04%	-0.5	-0.4	43	0.9

16	Dec_9_2021	19.89	18.63	17.54	17.74	18.1	18.19	18.16(-0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	100	10	-75	32.59	50%	-0.15	-68.8	3.13%	-0.1	-0.4	43	0.3
17	Dec_8_2021	19.92	18.79	17.64	17.59	17.74	18.14	18.22(2.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	180	18	-83	43.2	50%	-0.15	-63.3	3.21%	-0.2	-0.4	41	0.6
18	Dec_7_2021	19.95	18.97	17.74	17.2	17.53	18	17.83(-0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	250	16	-110	44.66	50%	-0.05	-57.4	3.2%	0.4	-0.7	38	-0.1
19	Dec_6_2021	19.96	19.18	17.9	17.16	17.09	17.35	17.96(8.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-25	90	7	-122	70.35	50%	-0.1	-49.1	3.2%	1.1	-0.7	37	-1.4
20	Dec_3_2021	19.98	19.37	18.01	17.12	17.02	17.06	16.56(-4.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-0	-6	-148	52.32	45%	-0.2	-42.9	3.04%	-1.2	-1.6	25	-2.2

21	Dec_2_2021	20.02	19.58	18.29	17.31	17.26	16.82	17.36(6.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-54	-190	-18	-162	54.46	48%	-0.15	-39.9	3%	0.5	-1.3	24	-1.7
22	Dec_1_2021	20.05	19.75	18.54	17.72	17.29	16.97	16.27(-7.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-77	-200	-45	-174	81.41	43%	-0.2	-30.9	2.87%	-2.2	-2.2	10	-2.6
23	Nov_30_2021	20.09	19.95	18.91	18.36	18.09	17.7	17.67(-0.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-54	-200	-18	-160	45.13	46%	-0.15	-22.7	2.69%	-0.1	-1.7	11	-2
24	Nov_29_2021	20.12	20.07	19.18	18.74	18.53	17.62	17.73(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-65	-380	-33	-161	40.16	46%	-0.15	-14.4	2.72%	-0.7	-1.9	11	-0.3
25	Nov_26_2021	20.15	20.16	19.45	19.04	18.99	18.47	17.5(-9.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-67	-200	-36	-160	83.37	46%		-8.6	2.72%	0	-2.3	15	-3.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.