Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Sat. Nov. 11, 2017

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $45.2579 (0.33%) ($45.0011 - $45.5543) on Sat. Nov. 11, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2% (three month average)
RSI   24
Latest Price   $45.2579(0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1% (StdDev 2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $36.85(-18.58%)
Resistance Level   $48.09
5 Day Moving Average   $45.74(-1.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.17(-1.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.09(-5.89%)
To recent high   -13.4%
To recent low   7%
Market Cap   $N/A

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 5.03% (three month std-dev: 2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 30 Average positive next day return: 1.31%(27%) Average negative next day return: -1.29%(73%) Sample size 30 Average positive next three day return: 2.1%(37%) Average negative next three day return: -2.96%(63%) Sample size 30 Average positive next weekly return: 3.12%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -4%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171211

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_10_2017	48.09	48.09	46.17	45.74	45.61	45.2	45.26(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-43	-70	-19	-116	2.43	53%	-0.06	-59.6	2%	0	-1.2	24	0
2	Nov_9_2017	48.12	48.42	46.33	46.04	46.03	45.45	45.11(-1.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-53	-90	-26	-133	3.56	53%	-0.04	-54.6	2.01%	0	-1.4	21	0
3	Nov_8_2017	48.14	48.76	46.61	46.35	46.39	46.02	45.7(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-54	-50	-25	-139	3.2	53%	-0.04	-49	2.01%	0	-1.3	26	0
4	Nov_7_2017	48.16	49.08	47.05	46.64	46.67	46.6	45.79(-2.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-39	-10	-9	-130	3.76	53%	-0.06	-43	2.01%	0	-1.4	24	0
5	Nov_6_2017	48.19	49.41	47.56	46.71	46.89	46.76	46.82(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-29	-10	3	-126	4.25	55%	-0.02	-40.5	2%	0	-1.2	27	0

6	Nov_3_2017	48.2	49.58	47.89	46.66	46.77	46.74	46.77(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-40	0	-7	-140	4.04	55%	-0.04	-37.4	2%	0	-1.3	26	0
7	Nov_2_2017	48.22	49.78	48.31	46.68	46.78	47.01	46.68(-1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-37	40	-2	-143	2.41	55%	-0.04	-31.3	2%	0	-1.5	24	0
8	Nov_1_2017	48.24	49.96	48.72	46.93	46.9	46.8	47.15(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-50	-20	-17	-148	4.35	55%	-0.02	-23.3	2%	0	-1.5	25	0
9	Oct_31_2017	48.25	50.11	49.13	47.56	47.56	46.55	46.14(-0.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-73	-150	-48	-147	4.6	53%	-0.06	-5.6	1.99%	0	-2.2	17	0
10	Oct_30_2017	48.28	50.32	49.66	48.57	48.6	47.01	46.57(-0.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-85	-230	-70	-131	5.4	53%	-0.04	18.5	1.98%	0	-2.2	17	0

11	Oct_27_2017	48.3	50.39	50.18	49.3	49.59	48.58	46.87(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-78	-120	-70	-100	8.59	51%	-0.08	31.7	1.99%	0	-2.1	40	0
12	Oct_26_2017	48.34	50.42	50.71	50.16	50.43	50.18	47.91(-4.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-33	-20	-27	-49	12.08	53%	-0.04	47.7	1.98%	0	-1.5	40	0
13	Oct_25_2017	48.36	50.4	51.13	50.74	50.74	50.61	50.28(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	-20	-5	-11	4.66	59%	0.02	56.8	1.9%	0	-0.1	55	0
14	Oct_24_2017	48.35	50.22	51.31	50.93	50.7	50.68	51.2(1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-5	-20	-9	6	3.65	59%	0.04	60.1	1.89%	0	0.5	59	0
15	Oct_23_2017	48.33	50.01	51.41	50.96	50.88	50.88	50.24(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-0	-5	22	3.46	57%	0.04	65.8	1.88%	0	0.1	56	0

16	Oct_20_2017	48.31	49.86	51.4	51.21	51.11	50.73	51.18(0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	5	-60	-9	47	3.64	57%	0.06	71.7	1.87%	0	0.6	76	0
17	Oct_19_2017	48.28	49.63	51.35	51.36	51.24	50.88	50.77(-1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-60	-27	68	7.57	57%	0.06	72.9	1.87%	0	0.5	76	0
18	Oct_18_2017	48.25	49.39	51.28	51.59	51.61	51.49	51.28(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-20	-8	105	2.54	57%	0.08	71.5	1.87%	0	0.8	80	0
19	Oct_17_2017	48.21	49.07	51.17	51.75	51.74	51.6	51.32(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-20	-10	135	3.65	57%	0.06	65.8	1.88%	0	0.9	82	0
20	Oct_16_2017	48.18	48.71	51.02	51.94	51.89	51.73	51.52(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	44	-20	2	169	3.26	57%	0.08	63.9	1.88%	0	1	76	0

21	Oct_13_2017	48.14	48.37	50.61	51.61	51.95	51.87	51.94(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	47	10	8	164	2.96	57%	0.1	60.5	1.88%	0	1.3	77	0
22	Oct_12_2017	48.09	48.03	50.11	51.33	51.53	52.06	51.89(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	53	80	16	164	2.94	61%	0.12	64.6	1.88%	0	1.5	79	0
23	Oct_11_2017	48.03	47.7	49.61	50.92	51.14	52.02	52.07(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	75	130	44	167	5.4	59%	0.13	69.2	1.95%	0	1.8	82	0
24	Oct_10_2017	47.97	47.4	49.03	50.5	50.56	51	52.27(4.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	66	60	35	160	9.39	59%	0.15	76.2	1.97%	0	2.2	85	0
25	Oct_9_2017	47.9	47.04	48.47	50.01	50.14	50.26	49.87(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	59	20	23	168	3.69	54%		86	1.87%	0	1.5	84	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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