Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 2, 2017

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $46.6768 (-1%) ($46.4107 - $47.2377) on Thu. Nov. 2, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2% (three month average)
RSI   24
Latest Price   $46.6768(-1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -4.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(83%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(56%)    XLI(56%)    XAR(55%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    UUP(-13%)    VIXM(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1% (StdDev 2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $39.91(-14.5%)
Resistance Level   $49.78
5 Day Moving Average   $46.68(-0.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.31(-3.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.78(-6.23%)
To recent high   -10.7%
To recent low   10.3%
Market Cap   $23.738b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 4.06% (three month std-dev: 2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.14%(50%) Average negative next day return: -6.06%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.52%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -4.48%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.06%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.49%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171202

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_2_2017	48.22	49.78	48.31	46.68	46.78	47.01	46.68(-1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-37	40	-2	-143	2.41	55%	-0.04	-31.3	2%	0	-1.5	24	INF
2	Nov_1_2017	48.24	49.96	48.72	46.93	46.9	46.8	47.15(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-50	-20	-17	-148	4.35	55%	-0.02	-23.3	2%	0	-1.5	25	INF
3	Oct_31_2017	48.25	50.11	49.13	47.56	47.56	46.55	46.14(-0.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-73	-150	-48	-147	4.6	53%	-0.06	-5.6	1.99%	0	-2.2	17	INF
4	Oct_30_2017	48.28	50.32	49.66	48.57	48.6	47.01	46.57(-0.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-85	-230	-70	-131	5.4	53%	-0.04	18.5	1.98%	0	-2.2	17	INF
5	Oct_27_2017	48.3	50.39	50.18	49.3	49.59	48.58	46.87(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-78	-120	-70	-100	8.59	51%	-0.08	31.7	1.99%	0	-2.1	40	INF

6	Oct_26_2017	48.34	50.42	50.71	50.16	50.43	50.18	47.91(-4.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-33	-20	-27	-49	12.08	53%	-0.04	47.7	1.98%	0	-1.5	40	INF
7	Oct_25_2017	48.36	50.4	51.13	50.74	50.74	50.61	50.28(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	-20	-5	-11	4.66	59%	0.02	56.8	1.9%	0	-0.1	55	INF
8	Oct_24_2017	48.35	50.22	51.31	50.93	50.7	50.68	51.2(1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-5	-20	-9	6	3.65	59%	0.04	60.1	1.89%	0	0.5	59	INF
9	Oct_23_2017	48.33	50.01	51.41	50.96	50.88	50.88	50.24(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-0	-5	22	3.46	57%	0.04	65.8	1.88%	0	0.1	56	INF
10	Oct_20_2017	48.31	49.86	51.4	51.21	51.11	50.73	51.18(0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	5	-60	-9	47	3.64	57%	0.06	71.7	1.87%	0	0.6	76	INF

11	Oct_19_2017	48.28	49.63	51.35	51.36	51.24	50.88	50.77(-1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-60	-27	68	7.57	57%	0.06	72.9	1.87%	0	0.5	76	INF
12	Oct_18_2017	48.25	49.39	51.28	51.59	51.61	51.49	51.28(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-20	-8	105	2.54	57%	0.08	71.5	1.87%	0	0.8	80	INF
13	Oct_17_2017	48.21	49.07	51.17	51.75	51.74	51.6	51.32(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-20	-10	135	3.65	57%	0.06	65.8	1.88%	0	0.9	82	INF
14	Oct_16_2017	48.18	48.71	51.02	51.94	51.89	51.73	51.52(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	44	-20	2	169	3.26	57%	0.08	63.9	1.88%	0	1	76	INF
15	Oct_13_2017	48.14	48.37	50.61	51.61	51.95	51.87	51.94(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	47	10	8	164	2.96	57%	0.1	60.5	1.88%	0	1.3	77	INF

16	Oct_12_2017	48.09	48.03	50.11	51.33	51.53	52.06	51.89(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	53	80	16	164	2.94	61%	0.12	64.6	1.88%	0	1.5	79	INF
17	Oct_11_2017	48.03	47.7	49.61	50.92	51.14	52.02	52.07(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	75	130	44	167	5.4	59%	0.13	69.2	1.95%	0	1.8	82	INF
18	Oct_10_2017	47.97	47.4	49.03	50.5	50.56	51	52.27(4.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	66	60	35	160	9.39	59%	0.15	76.2	1.97%	0	2.2	85	INF
19	Oct_9_2017	47.9	47.04	48.47	50.01	50.14	50.26	49.87(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	59	20	23	168	3.69	54%	0.13	86	1.87%	0	1.5	84	INF
20	Oct_6_2017	47.84	46.8	48.18	49.44	49.69	50.13	50.56(1.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	67	80	33	169	4.24	56%	0.13	78	1.88%	0	1.9	79	INF

21	Oct_5_2017	47.78	46.42	47.75	48.69	48.84	50.02	49.83(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	73	180	46	155	4.21	56%	0.13	68.5	1.88%	0	1.8	71	INF
22	Oct_4_2017	47.72	46.08	47.32	48.09	48.06	49.25	50(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	91	170	73	145	7.45	56%	0.08	62.4	1.89%	0	2.2	71	INF
23	Oct_3_2017	47.68	45.76	46.79	47.32	47.22	47.65	49.78(5.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	54	60	40	94	10.26	56%	0.08	55.4	1.91%	0	2.5	64	INF
24	Oct_2_2017	47.64	45.42	46.18	47.32	46.77	46.87	47.04(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	20	2	51	4.91	50%	0.04	51.2	1.76%	0	1.2	58	INF
25	Sep_29_2017	47.62	45.3	45.94	46.74	46.8	46.78	46.81(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	17	0	6	50	4.9	50%		53.7	1.77%	0	1.2	59	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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