Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 10, 2017

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $52.2651 (4.8%) ($51.2302 - $52.4819) on Tue. Oct. 10, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.97% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $52.2651(4.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 4.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(83%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(56%)    XLI(56%)    XAR(55%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -0.985% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    UUP(-13%)    VIXM(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.985% (StdDev 1.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.5(3.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.03(6.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.4(10.26%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   23.6%
Market Cap   $26.58b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 4.7% (three month std-dev: 1.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 30 Average positive next day return: 2.48%(53%) Average negative next day return: -2.09%(47%) Sample size 30 Average positive next three day return: 3.81%(47%) Average negative next three day return: -2.3%(53%) Sample size 30 Average positive next weekly return: 3.15%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.44%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171110

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_10_2017	47.97	47.4	49.03	50.5	50.56	51	52.27(4.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	66	60	35	160	9.39	59%	0.15	76.2	1.97%	0	2.2	85	INF
2	Oct_9_2017	47.9	47.04	48.47	50.01	50.14	50.26	49.87(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	59	20	23	168	3.69	54%	0.13	86	1.87%	0	1.5	84	INF
3	Oct_6_2017	47.84	46.8	48.18	49.44	49.69	50.13	50.56(1.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	67	80	33	169	4.24	56%	0.13	78	1.88%	0	1.9	79	INF
4	Oct_5_2017	47.78	46.42	47.75	48.69	48.84	50.02	49.83(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	73	180	46	155	4.21	56%	0.13	68.5	1.88%	0	1.8	71	INF
5	Oct_4_2017	47.72	46.08	47.32	48.09	48.06	49.25	50(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	91	170	73	145	7.45	56%	0.08	62.4	1.89%	0	2.2	71	INF

6	Oct_3_2017	47.68	45.76	46.79	47.32	47.22	47.65	49.78(5.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	54	60	40	94	10.26	56%	0.08	55.4	1.91%	0	2.5	64	INF
7	Oct_2_2017	47.64	45.42	46.18	47.32	46.77	46.87	47.04(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	20	2	51	4.91	50%	0.04	51.2	1.76%	0	1.2	58	INF
8	Sep_29_2017	47.62	45.3	45.94	46.74	46.8	46.78	46.81(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	17	0	6	50	4.9	50%	0.02	53.7	1.77%	0	1.2	59	INF
9	Sep_28_2017	47.61	45.16	45.79	46.65	46.77	46.67	46.81(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10	4	63	8.37	50%	0.02	60.6	1.77%	0	1.3	69	INF
10	Sep_27_2017	47.6	45	45.79	46.42	46.63	46.82	46.17(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	40	12	73	6.18	50%	-0.02	58.2	1.78%	0	1	66	INF

11	Sep_26_2017	47.61	44.88	45.65	46.13	46.27	46.87	46.89(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	52	100	39	92	4.71	50%	0.06	49.6	1.77%	0	1.6	66	INF
12	Sep_25_2017	47.58	44.74	45.51	45.5	45.62	46.44	47.01(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	54	130	44	84	6.36	50%	0.08	35.6	1.77%	0	2	68	INF
13	Sep_22_2017	47.54	44.61	45.31	45.03	45	45.68	46.38(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	43	100	35	66	5.34	50%	0.06	25.7	1.76%	0	1.8	57	INF
14	Sep_21_2017	47.51	44.41	44.98	44.82	44.72	44.8	45.62(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	10	15	43	5.86	50%	0.06	6.1	1.76%	0	1.2	57	INF
15	Sep_20_2017	47.48	44.41	44.75	44.8	44.67	44.32	44.76(2.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-11	-60	-23	25	4.71	44%	0.02	-14.2	1.74%	0	0.5	56	INF

16	Sep_19_2017	47.47	44.29	44.65	45.12	45.02	44.63	43.74(-2.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-12	-70	-28	36	6.88	41%	0.06	-19	1.76%	0	-0.5	51	INF
17	Sep_18_2017	47.44	44.35	44.65	45.49	45.49	45.02	44.66(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-70	-15	51	4.6	43%	0.06	-22.7	1.76%	0	0.3	52	INF
18	Sep_15_2017	47.41	44.36	44.63	45.6	45.58	45.41	45.34(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-30	-1	63	14.85	43%	0.04	-32	1.75%	0	1	54	INF
19	Sep_14_2017	47.39	44.35	44.5	45.13	45.42	45.96	45.52(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	100	30	69	5.36	43%	0	-55.7	1.75%	0	1.2	66	INF
20	Sep_13_2017	47.39	44.43	44.31	44.66	44.74	45.75	46.32(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	53	160	50	61	7.29	43%	0.02	-59.9	1.74%	0	1.5	63	INF

21	Sep_12_2017	47.38	44.48	44.05	44.13	44.07	44.88	45.62(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	51	120	56	35	6.33	43%	0	-68.7	1.73%	0	0.8	52	INF
22	Sep_11_2017	47.38	44.58	43.89	43.67	43.48	43.73	45.2(5.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	12	30	18	-6	7.92	43%	0	-73.3	1.73%	0	0.4	50	INF
23	Sep_8_2017	47.38	44.68	43.81	43.56	43.35	43.27	42.97(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-30	-11	-27	4.68	32%	-0.02	-76.1	1.62%	0	-1	41	INF
24	Sep_7_2017	47.39	44.92	43.77	43.78	43.67	43.23	43.21(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-80	-12	-40	5.1	36%	0	-74.9	1.63%	0	-1	39	INF
25	Sep_6_2017	47.39	45.18	43.79	43.88	43.82	43.43	43.67(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-70	-26	-73	8.8	36%		-72.4	1.65%	0	-0.8	32	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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