Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jul. 17, 2017

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $52.9855 (-0.65%) ($52.9658 - $53.3887) on Mon. Jul. 17, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.82% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $52.9855(-0.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(83%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(56%)    XAR(55%)    XLF(55%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -0.91% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    UUP(-12%)    VIXM(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.91% (StdDev 1.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $52.58(0.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.87(2.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.13(5.7%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   28.3%
Market Cap   $26.946b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 4.07% (three month std-dev: 1.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 30 Average positive next day return: 0.89%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.01%(60%) Sample size 30 Average positive next three day return: 4.54%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -2.46%(57%) Sample size 30 Average positive next weekly return: 5.27%(37%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.16%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170817

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_17_2017	45.48	50.13	51.87	52.58	52.86	53.09	52.99(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	48	50	17	141	3.73	57%	0.18	55	1.82%	0	1.4	79	INF
2	Jul_14_2017	45.4	49.87	51.53	52.35	52.38	52.93	53.33(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	50	80	18	146	4.54	57%	0.18	50.6	1.83%	0	1.8	82	INF
3	Jul_13_2017	45.32	49.61	51.08	52.11	52.09	52.63	52.93(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	62	70	33	150	5.35	57%	0.18	46	1.84%	0	1.8	77	INF
4	Jul_12_2017	45.24	49.38	50.64	51.77	51.85	51.82	52.92(4.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	54	0	24	142	8.35	57%	0.15	41.3	1.85%	0	2.2	79	INF
5	Jul_11_2017	45.17	49.15	50.11	51.27	51.44	51.56	50.76(-1.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	33	30	2	125	4.55	57%	0.13	37	1.79%	0	1.1	75	INF

6	Jul_10_2017	45.11	49.03	49.85	51.03	51.13	51.87	51.8(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	57	110	34	124	4.6	60%	0.11	33.2	1.82%	0	2	66	INF
7	Jul_7_2017	45.06	48.9	49.45	50.57	50.63	51.31	52.16(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	67	100	51	115	6.6	60%	0.16	29.6	1.81%	0	2.7	72	INF
8	Jul_6_2017	44.99	48.79	49.02	49.9	49.98	50.39	51.2(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	47	60	34	84	7.02	58%	0.09	27	1.8%	0	2.3	66	INF
9	Jul_5_2017	44.95	48.71	48.65	49.34	49.42	49.95	50.42(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	37	80	30	57	5.16	58%	0.09	25.4	1.8%	0	1.9	60	INF
10	Jul_3_2017	44.91	48.63	48.33	48.8	49.01	49.57	49.56(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	90	33	28	2.91	53%	0.09	19.8	1.85%	0	1.1	55	INF

11	Jun_30_2017	44.87	48.59	48.24	48.48	48.54	48.9	49.49(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	22	60	24	14	6.62	53%	0.09	15.3	1.84%	0	1.1	54	INF
12	Jun_29_2017	44.83	48.54	48.07	48.15	48.27	48.45	48.81(0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	7	30	13	-12	6.17	53%	0.11	12.6	1.84%	0	0.4	43	INF
13	Jun_28_2017	44.78	48.51	48.07	48.02	48.13	48.17	48.44(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	10	4	-34	4.26	55%	0.09	20.2	1.85%	0	-0.1	34	INF
14	Jun_27_2017	44.74	48.48	48.01	47.86	48.26	48.08	47.7(-0.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-10	-0	3	-49	4.26	55%	0.07	23.1	1.86%	0	-0.9	34	INF
15	Jun_26_2017	44.71	48.46	48.1	47.77	48.16	48.09	47.98(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-25	10	-12	-62	3.99	55%	0.11	30.1	1.85%	0	-0.6	45	INF

16	Jun_23_2017	44.66	48.47	48.17	47.94	48.08	48.44	47.83(-0.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-12	60	2	-53	12.68	58%	0.11	54.9	1.85%	0	-0.8	44	INF
17	Jun_22_2017	44.61	48.45	48.32	47.98	48.21	48.24	48.17(1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	20	16	-42	9.79	58%	0.11	70.9	1.87%	0	-0.3	48	INF
18	Jun_21_2017	44.56	48.35	48.55	48	48.03	47.72	47.63(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-40	-19	-42	3.47	54%	0.09	71.1	1.87%	0	-0.7	48	INF
19	Jun_20_2017	44.52	48.28	48.78	48.19	48.17	48.19	47.24(-3.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	0	-13	-19	6.04	54%	0.09	67.6	1.92%	0	-0.9	51	INF
20	Jun_19_2017	44.48	48.21	48.97	48.47	48.36	48.33	48.84(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	-10	5	8	4.1	58%	0.07	65.8	1.86%	0	0.5	65	INF

21	Jun_16_2017	44.45	48.01	48.98	48.44	48.39	48.16	47.99(-0.65%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-10	-40	-15	5	6.62	58%	-0.02	54.5	1.86%	0	-0	53	INF
22	Jun_15_2017	44.46	47.83	49.07	48.73	48.52	48.4	48.3(-0.57%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-13	-30	-24	21	4.58	59%	0.02	47.8	1.86%	0	0.3	60	INF
23	Jun_14_2017	44.45	47.64	49.08	49.18	49.02	48.62	48.58(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-70	-14	57	4.03	57%	0.07	45.6	1.87%	0	0.5	69	INF
24	Jun_13_2017	44.42	47.52	49	49.47	49.44	48.65	48.64(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-110	-24	74	5.15	53%	0.05	50.5	1.91%	0	0.6	70	INF
25	Jun_12_2017	44.4	47.38	48.88	49.53	49.58	49.42	48.67(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-20	-23	87	8.6	53%		56.1	1.96%	0	0.7	72	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.