Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 26, 2017

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $47.9791 (0.31%) ($47.7381 - $48.9626) on Mon. Jun. 26, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.85% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $47.9791(0.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(83%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(56%)    XAR(55%)    XLF(55%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -0.925% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    UUP(-12%)    VIXM(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.925% (StdDev 1.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $48.46
5 Day Moving Average   $47.77(0.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.1(-0.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.46(-0.99%)
To recent high   -5.2%
To recent low   19.5%
Market Cap   $24.4b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 1.73% (three month std-dev: 1.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.08%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.23%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.39%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.41%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0.83%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.43%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170726

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_26_2017	44.71	48.46	48.1	47.77	48.16	48.09	47.98(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-25	10	-12	-62	3.99	55%	0.11	30.1	1.85%	0	-0.6	45	0
2	Jun_23_2017	44.66	48.47	48.17	47.94	48.08	48.44	47.83(-0.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-12	60	2	-53	12.68	58%	0.11	54.9	1.85%	0	-0.8	44	0
3	Jun_22_2017	44.61	48.45	48.32	47.98	48.21	48.24	48.17(1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	20	16	-42	9.79	58%	0.11	70.9	1.87%	0	-0.3	48	0
4	Jun_21_2017	44.56	48.35	48.55	48	48.03	47.72	47.63(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-40	-19	-42	3.47	54%	0.09	71.1	1.87%	0	-0.7	48	0
5	Jun_20_2017	44.52	48.28	48.78	48.19	48.17	48.19	47.24(-3.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	0	-13	-19	6.04	54%	0.09	67.6	1.92%	0	-0.9	51	0

6	Jun_19_2017	44.48	48.21	48.97	48.47	48.36	48.33	48.84(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	-10	5	8	4.1	58%	0.07	65.8	1.86%	0	0.5	65	0
7	Jun_16_2017	44.45	48.01	48.98	48.44	48.39	48.16	47.99(-0.65%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-10	-40	-15	5	6.62	58%	-0.02	54.5	1.86%	0	-0	53	0
8	Jun_15_2017	44.46	47.83	49.07	48.73	48.52	48.4	48.3(-0.57%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-13	-30	-24	21	4.58	59%	0.02	47.8	1.86%	0	0.3	60	0
9	Jun_14_2017	44.45	47.64	49.08	49.18	49.02	48.62	48.58(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-70	-14	57	4.03	57%	0.07	45.6	1.87%	0	0.5	69	0
10	Jun_13_2017	44.42	47.52	49	49.47	49.44	48.65	48.64(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-110	-24	74	5.15	53%	0.05	50.5	1.91%	0	0.6	70	0

11	Jun_12_2017	44.4	47.38	48.88	49.53	49.58	49.42	48.67(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-20	-23	87	8.6	53%	0.05	56.1	1.96%	0	0.7	72	0
12	Jun_9_2017	44.38	47.21	48.81	49.58	49.63	50.24	49.44(-2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	49	90	21	131	7.2	50%	0.07	59.9	1.95%	0	1.1	81	0
13	Jun_8_2017	44.35	47.01	48.6	49.43	49.29	49.74	50.59(1.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	63	60	33	151	6.54	52%	0.09	66.8	1.98%	0	1.9	91	0
14	Jun_7_2017	44.31	46.79	48.14	48.96	48.94	49.01	50.02(2.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	50	10	19	144	7.08	52%	0.11	76.6	1.98%	0	1.9	87	0
15	Jun_6_2017	44.26	46.58	47.73	48.48	48.65	48.84	48.92(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	41	40	12	126	4.47	48%	0.09	87.3	1.97%	0	1.6	64	0

16	Jun_5_2017	44.22	46.34	47.39	48.13	48.28	48.88	48.92(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	100	20	114	5.47	48%	0.07	91.5	2.01%	0	1.7	65	0
17	Jun_2_2017	44.19	46.07	46.95	47.94	47.91	48.46	48.71(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	51	80	31	110	7.71	47%	0.02	96.2	2.03%	0	1.8	68	0
18	Jun_1_2017	44.18	45.79	46.48	47.64	47.55	47.68	48.24(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	10	21	85	4.42	47%	0.02	92	2.07%	0	1.7	62	0
19	May_31_2017	44.17	45.53	46.07	47.19	47.23	47.37	47.62(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	20	10	54	4.49	50%	0	76.4	2.05%	0	1.5	54	0
20	May_30_2017	44.17	45.31	45.91	46.85	46.92	47.42	47.17(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	80	21	46	5.51	47%	0	61.4	2.07%	0	1.3	54	0

21	May_26_2017	44.17	45.02	45.76	46.5	46.49	47.09	47.94(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	43	90	40	53	5.98	47%	0.07	34.9	2.06%	0	1.7	67	0
22	May_25_2017	44.14	44.72	45.46	45.81	45.87	46.42	47.23(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	90	36	35	5.44	47%	0.05	18.2	2.06%	0	1.6	67	0
23	May_24_2017	44.12	44.5	45.28	45.15	45.27	45.88	46(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	100	29	24	3.89	45%	0	3.3	2.05%	0	1	66	0
24	May_23_2017	44.12	44.47	45.3	44.78	44.73	45.33	45.89(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	90	18	26	3.01	45%	0.05	2.4	2.05%	0	1	66	0
25	May_22_2017	44.1	44.44	45.31	44.84	44.55	44.66	45.45(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-0	9	44	4.43	45%		12	2.05%	0	0.7	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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