Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 26, 2017

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $47.9397 (1.5%) ($46.9457 - $48.0184) on Fri. May. 26, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.06% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $47.9397(1.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(83%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(56%)    XAR(55%)    XLF(55%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.03% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    UUP(-12%)    VIXM(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.03% (StdDev 2.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.5(3.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.76(4.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.02(6.49%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   21.1%
Market Cap   $24.38b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 3.75% (three month std-dev: 2.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 25 Average positive next day return: 2.65%(56%) Average negative next day return: -1.56%(44%) Sample size 25 Average positive next three day return: 3.1%(48%) Average negative next three day return: -1.78%(52%) Sample size 25 Average positive next weekly return: 3.54%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.55%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170626

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_26_2017	44.17	45.02	45.76	46.5	46.49	47.09	47.94(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	43	90	40	53	5.98	47%	0.07	34.9	2.06%	0	1.7	67	0
2	May_25_2017	44.14	44.72	45.46	45.81	45.87	46.42	47.23(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	90	36	35	5.44	47%	0.05	18.2	2.06%	0	1.6	67	0
3	May_24_2017	44.12	44.5	45.28	45.15	45.27	45.88	46(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	100	29	24	3.89	45%	0	3.3	2.05%	0	1	66	0
4	May_23_2017	44.12	44.47	45.3	44.78	44.73	45.33	45.89(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	90	18	26	3.01	45%	0.05	2.4	2.05%	0	1	66	0
5	May_22_2017	44.1	44.47	45.31	44.84	44.55	44.66	45.45(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-0	9	44	4.43	45%	0	12	2.05%	0	0.7	65	0

6	May_19_2017	44.1	44.44	45.19	44.93	44.7	44.13	44.48(1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-100	-15	56	6.74	43%	-0.05	21.1	2.02%	0	0	69	0
7	May_18_2017	44.12	44.43	45.14	45.05	45.01	44.44	43.92(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-8	-90	-33	67	6.63	43%	-0.07	29.2	2.03%	0	-0.4	64	0
8	May_17_2017	44.15	44.46	45.09	45.4	45.34	45.27	44.18(-4.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	7	-10	-20	86	6.91	43%	-0.07	40.1	2.05%	0	-0.2	56	0
9	May_16_2017	44.18	44.43	45.01	45.85	45.56	45.57	46.17(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-20	1	103	4.63	47%	0.05	50.2	1.97%	0	1.2	51	0
10	May_15_2017	44.16	44.27	44.7	45.86	45.73	45.41	45.91(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	26	-60	5	90	5.53	48%	-0.05	57.3	1.98%	0	1.2	49	0

11	May_12_2017	44.18	44.14	44.26	45.5	45.71	45.55	45.08(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-10	-1	48	3.89	50%	-0.07	59.3	1.98%	0	0.7	47	0
12	May_11_2017	44.21	44.02	43.95	45.22	45.37	46.06	45.68(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	120	26	34	6.09	50%	-0.05	58.2	1.99%	0	1.2	55	0
13	May_10_2017	44.23	43.88	43.68	44.7	44.76	45.86	46.42(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	48	180	57	19	7.38	50%	-0.05	58.9	1.99%	0	1.8	58	0
14	May_9_2017	44.25	43.71	43.54	44.04	43.96	44.67	46.21(4.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	37	110	49	2	11.12	52%	-0.05	61.1	1.99%	0	2	60	0
15	May_8_2017	44.27	43.47	43.44	43.41	43.35	43.66	44.11(0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	20	50	31	-14	6.19	49%	-0.05	49.3	1.93%	0	0.5	56	0

16	May_5_2017	44.29	43.33	43.56	42.85	42.91	43.24	43.69(1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	60	21	-27	5.46	51%	-0.09	32	1.92%	0	0.3	52	0
17	May_4_2017	44.33	43.2	43.61	42.48	42.48	43.04	43.1(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	90	14	-34	4.48	51%	-0.09	19.8	1.93%	0	-0.1	55	0
18	May_3_2017	44.37	43.09	43.74	42.49	42.33	42.58	43.11(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	30	6	-29	5.14	51%	-0.09	17.1	1.95%	0	0	51	0
19	May_2_2017	44.41	42.95	43.8	42.98	42.29	41.92	43.06(4.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-28	-110	-30	-22	9.4	51%	-0.09	19.6	1.95%	0	0.1	51	0
20	May_1_2017	44.45	42.89	43.81	43.52	43.16	42.09	41.3(-1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-40	-200	-53	0	8.59	47%	-0.16	30.7	1.87%	0	-1	53	0

21	Apr_28_2017	44.52	42.91	44.06	44.37	44.23	42.67	41.83(-3.09%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.5	-35	-260	-62	47	13.36	44%	-0.13	47.8	1.92%	0	-0.7	58	0
22	Apr_27_2017	44.58	42.92	44.17	44.87	44.88	44.23	43.16(-5.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-19	-100	-53	85	18.99	42%	-0.09	60.4	1.9%	0	0.1	66	0
23	Apr_26_2017	44.62	42.83	44.19	45.11	45.28	45.79	45.54(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	53	90	22	146	6.03	49%	0	68.1	1.9%	0	1.6	84	0
24	Apr_25_2017	44.62	42.63	43.94	44.72	44.9	45.52	45.75(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	70	110	41	157	5.96	49%	0.02	73.1	1.96%	0	2	86	0
25	Apr_24_2017	44.61	42.38	43.52	44.17	44.29	44.78	45.58(2.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	56	90	30	133	6.34	49%		70.4	1.96%	0	2.3	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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