Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Sat. Mar. 25, 2017

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $40.9566 (0.77%) ($40.6523 - $41.2854) on Sat. Mar. 25, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.88% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $40.9566(0.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -0.94% in a week (0% probabilities).
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Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.94% (StdDev 1.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $31.28(-23.63%)
Resistance Level   $42.55
5 Day Moving Average   $40.36(1.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.72(0.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.55(-3.74%)
To recent high   -15.7%
To recent low   3.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 5.12% (three month std-dev: 1.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 2.39%(55%) Average negative next day return: -0.99%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 3.1%(73%) Average negative next three day return: -1.25%(27%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 4.22%(91%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.1%(9%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170425

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_24_2017	44.9	42.55	40.72		40.23	40.65	40.96(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	60	22	-110	6.6	44%	0.04	-59.4	1.88%	0	-0.7	30	0
2	Mar_23_2017	44.88	42.77	40.91	40.36	40.28	39.79	40.64(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-41	-90	-7	-142	9.52	44%	0.04	-60.9	1.89%	0	-1	24	0
3	Mar_22_2017	44.86	43	41.09	40.5	40.47	39.81	39.6(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-75	-120	-43	-170	9.94	41%	0.02	-62.7	1.86%	0	-1.6	26	0
4	Mar_21_2017	44.85	43.3	41.52	40.84	40.98	40.78	39.67(-3.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-51	-20	-14	-160	7.94	41%	0	-62.3	1.86%	0	-1.7	23	0
5	Mar_20_2017	44.85	43.63	41.96	41	41	41.13	40.93(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-43	20	-3	-164	6.23	44%	0.04	-66.6	1.83%	0	-1.4	30	0

6	Mar_17_2017	44.83	43.89	42.3	41.13	40.91	41.18	40.95(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-48	30	-8	-167	10.19	46%	0.04	-66.2	1.85%	0	-1.5	31	0
7	Mar_16_2017	44.81	44.15	42.78	41.56	41.21	40.87	41.35(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-80	-6	-148	7.06	46%	0.07	-62.6	1.86%	0	-1.5	32	0
8	Mar_15_2017	44.78	44.42	43.13	41.79	41.59	40.63	41.31(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-77	-180	-49	-159	13.99	46%	0.07	-55.5	1.87%	0	-1.8	33	0
9	Mar_14_2017	44.75	44.65	43.62	42.34	42.26	41.55	40.45(-2.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-79	-120	-58	-140	10.21	43%	0.02	-47.9	1.85%	0	-2.6	27	0
10	Mar_13_2017	44.74	44.97	44.15	43.05	43.08	42.54	41.58(-3.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-53	-90	-34	-108	8.88	46%	0.07	-37.2	1.82%	0	-2.5	28	0

11	Mar_10_2017	44.71	45.19	44.55	43.63	43.52	42.97	43.09(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-53	-100	-40	-92	6.84	45%	0.09	-22.6	1.83%	0	-1.9	33	0
12	Mar_9_2017	44.67	45.32	44.8	44.2	44.04	43.62	42.53(-3.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-44	-80	-34	-72	9.33	48%	0.07	1.9	1.83%	0	-2.9	28	0
13	Mar_8_2017	44.64	45.42	45.09	44.67	44.64	44.07	44.06(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-90	-26	-60	5.52	51%	0.11	25.7	1.84%	0	-1.8	31	0
14	Mar_7_2017	44.59	45.44	45.24	45.1	44.96	44.46	44.01(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-40	-90	-37	-50	4.57	55%	0.16	47.9	1.84%	0	-1.9	41	0
15	Mar_6_2017	44.52	45.48	45.44	45.4	45.51	45.21	44.47(-3.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-18	-40	-13	-31	11.34	55%	0.16	65.2	1.94%	0	-1.4	38	0

16	Mar_3_2017	44.45	45.43	45.44	45.6	45.68	45.45	45.95(2.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-10	-30	-6	-20	7.26	59%	0.18	48.6	1.89%	0	0.6	53	0
17	Mar_2_2017	44.37	45.3	45.61	45.49	45.6	45.82	44.87(-2.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-8	40	-4	-19	7.59	57%	0.2	14	1.88%	0	-0.4	48	0
18	Mar_1_2017	44.28	45.23	45.79	45.57	45.57	45.9	46.22(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	50	20	9	8.28	60%	0.2	-1.3	1.85%	0	0.9	67	0
19	Feb_28_2017	44.19	45.09	45.74	45.42	45.57	45.39	45.5(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-0	2	5	4.94	60%	0.18	-17.9	1.83%	0	0.4	63	0
20	Feb_27_2017	44.11	45.01	45.83	45.51	45.38	45.23	45.46(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-3	-30	-10	18	4.13	60%	0.2	-23.5	1.83%	0	0.4	61	0

21	Feb_24_2017	44.02	45.03	45.85	45.62	45.57	45.38	45.42(0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-30	-11	38	4.49	60%	0.18	-24.7	1.83%	0	0.3	68	0
22	Feb_23_2017	43.94	45.17	45.87	45.76	45.76	45.53	45.25(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-40	-16	58	5.25	60%	0.21	-10.7	1.85%	0	0.1	68	0
23	Feb_22_2017	43.85	45.24	45.78	46.04	45.95	45.77	45.46(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-30	-12	80	5.8	60%	0.21	-4.1	1.85%	0	0.2	70	0
24	Feb_21_2017	43.76	45.29	45.68	46.09	46.24	46	45.94(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-30	-6	93	4.67	60%	0.39	-0.9	1.84%	0	0.4	71	0
25	Feb_17_2017	43.59	45.28	45.53	46.21	46.23	46.14	46.04(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-10	-8	103	4.58	62%		-0.9	1.83%	0	0.5	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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