Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 17, 2017

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $40.9468 (-0.97%) ($40.8290 - $41.4316) on Fri. Mar. 17, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.85% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $40.9468(-0.97%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -5.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(83%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(55%)    XAR(55%)    XLF(55%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -0.925% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    UUP(-12%)    VIXM(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.925% (StdDev 1.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $33.57(-18.02%)
Resistance Level   $43.89
5 Day Moving Average   $41.13(-0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.3(-3.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.89(-6.71%)
To recent high   -15.7%
To recent low   1.2%
Market Cap   $20.824b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 4.35% (three month std-dev: 1.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.61%(33%) Average negative next day return: -3.49%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.76%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.14%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 3.58%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2017	44.83	43.89	42.3	41.13	40.91	41.18	40.95(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-48	30	-8	-167	10.19	46%	0.04	-66.2	1.85%	0	-1.5	31	INF
2	Mar_16_2017	44.81	44.15	42.78	41.56	41.21	40.87	41.35(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-80	-6	-148	7.06	46%	0.07	-62.6	1.86%	0	-1.5	32	INF
3	Mar_15_2017	44.78	44.42	43.13	41.79	41.59	40.63	41.31(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-77	-180	-49	-159	13.99	46%	0.07	-55.5	1.87%	0	-1.8	33	INF
4	Mar_14_2017	44.75	44.65	43.62	42.34	42.26	41.55	40.45(-2.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-79	-120	-58	-140	10.21	43%	0.02	-47.9	1.85%	0	-2.6	27	INF
5	Mar_13_2017	44.74	44.97	44.15	43.05	43.08	42.54	41.58(-3.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-53	-90	-34	-108	8.88	46%	0.07	-37.2	1.82%	0	-2.5	28	INF

6	Mar_10_2017	44.71	45.19	44.55	43.63	43.52	42.97	43.09(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-53	-100	-40	-92	6.84	45%	0.09	-22.6	1.83%	0	-1.9	33	INF
7	Mar_9_2017	44.67	45.32	44.8	44.2	44.04	43.62	42.53(-3.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-44	-80	-34	-72	9.33	48%	0.07	1.9	1.83%	0	-2.9	28	INF
8	Mar_8_2017	44.64	45.42	45.09	44.67	44.64	44.07	44.06(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-90	-26	-60	5.52	51%	0.11	25.7	1.84%	0	-1.8	31	INF
9	Mar_7_2017	44.59	45.44	45.24	45.1	44.96	44.46	44.01(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-40	-90	-37	-50	4.57	55%	0.16	47.9	1.84%	0	-1.9	41	INF
10	Mar_6_2017	44.52	45.48	45.44	45.4	45.51	45.21	44.47(-3.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-18	-40	-13	-31	11.34	55%	0.16	65.2	1.94%	0	-1.4	38	INF

11	Mar_3_2017	44.45	45.43	45.44	45.6	45.68	45.45	45.95(2.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-10	-30	-6	-20	7.26	59%	0.18	48.6	1.89%	0	0.6	53	INF
12	Mar_2_2017	44.37	45.3	45.61	45.49	45.6	45.82	44.87(-2.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-8	40	-4	-19	7.59	57%	0.2	14	1.88%	0	-0.4	48	INF
13	Mar_1_2017	44.28	45.23	45.79	45.57	45.57	45.9	46.22(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	50	20	9	8.28	60%	0.2	-1.3	1.85%	0	0.9	67	INF
14	Feb_28_2017	44.19	45.09	45.74	45.42	45.57	45.39	45.5(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-0	2	5	4.94	60%	0.18	-17.9	1.83%	0	0.4	63	INF
15	Feb_27_2017	44.11	45.01	45.83	45.51	45.38	45.23	45.46(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-3	-30	-10	18	4.13	60%	0.2	-23.5	1.83%	0	0.4	61	INF

16	Feb_24_2017	44.02	45.03	45.85	45.62	45.57	45.38	45.42(0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-30	-11	38	4.49	60%	0.18	-24.7	1.83%	0	0.3	68	INF
17	Feb_23_2017	43.94	45.17	45.87	45.76	45.76	45.53	45.25(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-40	-16	58	5.25	60%	0.21	-10.7	1.85%	0	0.1	68	INF
18	Feb_22_2017	43.85	45.24	45.78	46.04	45.95	45.77	45.46(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-30	-12	80	5.8	60%	0.21	-4.1	1.85%	0	0.2	70	INF
19	Feb_21_2017	43.76	45.29	45.68	46.09	46.24	46	45.94(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-30	-6	93	4.67	60%	0.39	-0.9	1.84%	0	0.4	71	INF
20	Feb_17_2017	43.59	45.28	45.53	46.21	46.23	46.14	46.04(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-10	-8	103	4.58	62%	0.28	-0.9	1.83%	0	0.5	64	INF

21	Feb_16_2017	43.47	45.28	45.27	46.12	46.29	46.48	46.1(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	30	40	10	89	5.68	62%	0.25	-2.7	1.87%	0	0.5	49	INF
22	Feb_15_2017	43.36	45.31	44.98	45.99	46.12	46.33	46.66(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	40	25	55	8.39	65%	0.28	-9.4	1.87%	0	0.9	39	INF
23	Feb_14_2017	43.24	45.31	44.62	45.48	45.68	46.11	45.71(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	80	20	9	6.27	63%	0.28	-21.4	1.89%	0	0.3	44	INF
24	Feb_13_2017	43.12	45.3	44.38	45.18	45.2	45.91	46.53(2.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	21	110	34	-18	6.16	63%	0.28	-27.6	1.88%	0	0.8	48	INF
25	Feb_10_2017	43	45.29	44.1	44.75	44.79	45.25	45.59(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	16	70	37	-48	4.04	62%		-31.5	1.87%	0	0.2	48	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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