Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 25, 2017

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $46.9177 (0.78%) ($46.6239 - $47.2115) on Wed. Jan. 25, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.64% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $46.9177(0.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(83%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(55%)    XAR(55%)    XLF(55%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -0.82% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    UUP(-12%)    VIXM(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.82% (StdDev 1.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.55(0.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.64(0.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.39(1.14%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   22.2%
Market Cap   $23.86b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 1.57% (three month std-dev: 1.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.37%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 3.92%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -0.33%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 5.36%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.1%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170225

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_25_2017	41.92	46.39	46.64	46.55	46.6	46.62	46.92(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	10	11	27	5.14	69%	0.26	-40.1	1.64%	0	0.7	57	0
2	Jan_24_2017	41.81	46.41	46.69	46.49	46.5	46.38	46.56(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	-20	-3	35	4.93	69%	0.12	-35.5	1.64%	0	0.2	58	0
3	Jan_23_2017	41.76	46.46	46.65	46.34	46.51	46.59	45.97(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	20	-4	31	4.28	69%	0.26	-38.2	1.64%	0	-0.6	53	0
4	Jan_20_2017	41.65	46.58	46.6	46.48	46.46	46.62	47.01(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	20	4	34	5.61	73%	0.29	-24.2	1.63%	0	0.5	54	0
5	Jan_19_2017	41.53	46.63	46.41	46.5	46.51	46.44	46.28(-0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-10	-6	19	3.73	76%	0.27	-16	1.62%	0	-0.4	47	0

6	Jan_18_2017	41.42	46.63	46.36	46.77	46.68	46.3	46.65(1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-12	-60	-20	13	5.18	77%	0.27	-2.4	1.66%	0	-0	43	0
7	Jan_17_2017	41.31	46.69	46.36	46.93	47.07	46.58	45.78(-1.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-12	-60	-18	6	5.35	76%	0.41	-6.3	1.66%	0	-0.9	39	0
8	Jan_13_2017	41.14	46.77	46.24	47	47.21	47.05	46.66(-0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-10	-2	1	3.54	82%	0.27	-3.7	1.64%	0	-0.1	42	0
9	Jan_12_2017	41.03	46.78	46.19	46.71	46.87	47.56	47.1(-1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	16	110	26	-14	5.45	78%	0.27	-14.2	1.73%	0	0.3	39	0
10	Jan_11_2017	40.92	46.77	46.14	46.28	46.35	47.36	47.63(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	34	160	55	-30	6.93	78%	0.32	-20.2	1.75%	0	0.8	44	0

11	Jan_10_2017	40.79	46.71	46.1	45.9	45.68	46.17	47.48(2.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	15	60	38	-53	7.48	79%	0.32	-23.4	1.77%	0	0.8	48	0
12	Jan_9_2017	40.66	46.75	46.07	45.47	45.45	45.35	46.1(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-16	-20	5	-79	4.74	78%	0.25	-20.5	1.77%	0	-0.7	47	0
13	Jan_6_2017	40.56	46.8	46.21	45.4	45.5	45.19	45.25(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-37	-40	-19	-91	7.26	77%	0.25	-11.5	1.77%	0	-1.5	37	0
14	Jan_5_2017	40.46	46.93	46.52	45.6	45.74	45.54	44.94(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-35	-20	-21	-75	6.83	77%	0.25	3.3	1.77%	0	-2	39	0
15	Jan_4_2017	40.36	46.97	46.85	45.95	46.05	45.8	45.73(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-30	-19	-54	5.86	77%	0.25	12.3	1.75%	0	-1.4	44	0

16	Jan_3_2017	40.26	46.94	47.04	46.32	46.4	45.94	45.34(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-30	-60	-28	-37	6.74	78%	0.4	20.1	1.75%	0	-1.8	43	0
17	Dec_30_2016	40.1	46.95	47.2	46.75	46.83	46.3	45.72(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-32	-70	-31	-34	4.5	78%	0.3	26.5	1.78%	0	-1.2	33	0
18	Dec_29_2016	39.98	46.93	47.37	47.14	47.19	46.87	46.27(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-40	-30	-16	3.71	78%	0.33	32.9	1.78%	0	-0.6	48	0
19	Dec_28_2016	39.85	46.9	47.46	47.58	47.55	47.35	46.68(-1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-12	-30	-17	2	4.15	78%	0.35	44.4	1.77%	0	-0.2	46	0
20	Dec_27_2016	39.71	46.86	47.49	47.58	47.87	47.52	47.6(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-50	-9	27	2.8	83%	0.51	55.1	1.75%	0	0.6	62	0

21	Dec_23_2016	39.51	46.76	47.4	47.88	47.97	47.76	47.48(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-30	-7	39	2.92	83%	0.38	56	1.79%	0	0.6	64	0
22	Dec_22_2016	39.36	46.68	47.5	47.71	47.89	48.22	47.68(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	20	60	6	61	3.62	83%	0.38	55.8	1.78%	0	0.9	63	0
23	Dec_21_2016	39.21	46.57	47.44	47.63	47.7	48.19	48.45(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	42	80	28	84	3.83	83%	0.41	61.7	1.77%	0	1.6	68	0
24	Dec_20_2016	39.05	46.4	47.34	47.33	47.49	47.56	48.2(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	20	20	83	4.81	83%	0.36	63.1	1.79%	0	1.6	62	0
25	Dec_19_2016	38.91	46.24	47.08	47.06	47.28	47.21	47.57(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	0	0	63	4.73	83%		71	1.79%	0	1.2	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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