Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 10, 2017

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $47.4759 (2.97%) ($45.9972 - $47.5053) on Tue. Jan. 10, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.77% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $47.4759(2.97%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(83%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(55%)    XAR(55%)    XLF(55%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -0.885% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    UUP(-12%)    VIXM(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.885% (StdDev 1.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.9(3.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.1(2.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.71(1.64%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   30%
Market Cap   $24.144b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 2.14% (three month std-dev: 1.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.08%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.53%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.84%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170210

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_10_2017	40.79	46.71	46.1	45.9	45.68	46.17	47.48(2.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	15	60	38	-53	7.48	79%	0.32	-23.4	1.77%	0	0.8	48	INF
2	Jan_9_2017	40.66	46.75	46.07	45.47	45.45	45.35	46.1(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-16	-20	5	-79	4.74	78%	0.25	-20.5	1.77%	0	-0.7	47	INF
3	Jan_6_2017	40.56	46.8	46.21	45.4	45.5	45.19	45.25(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-37	-40	-19	-91	7.26	77%	0.25	-11.5	1.77%	0	-1.5	37	INF
4	Jan_5_2017	40.46	46.93	46.52	45.6	45.74	45.54	44.94(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-35	-20	-21	-75	6.83	77%	0.25	3.3	1.77%	0	-2	39	INF
5	Jan_4_2017	40.36	46.97	46.85	45.95	46.05	45.8	45.73(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-30	-19	-54	5.86	77%	0.25	12.3	1.75%	0	-1.4	44	INF

6	Jan_3_2017	40.26	46.94	47.04	46.32	46.4	45.94	45.34(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-30	-60	-28	-37	6.74	78%	0.4	20.1	1.75%	0	-1.8	43	INF
7	Dec_30_2016	40.1	46.95	47.2	46.75	46.83	46.3	45.72(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-32	-70	-31	-34	4.5	78%	0.3	26.5	1.78%	0	-1.2	33	INF
8	Dec_29_2016	39.98	46.93	47.37	47.14	47.19	46.87	46.27(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-40	-30	-16	3.71	78%	0.33	32.9	1.78%	0	-0.6	48	INF
9	Dec_28_2016	39.85	46.9	47.46	47.58	47.55	47.35	46.68(-1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-12	-30	-17	2	4.15	78%	0.35	44.4	1.77%	0	-0.2	46	INF
10	Dec_27_2016	39.71	46.86	47.49	47.58	47.87	47.52	47.6(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-50	-9	27	2.8	83%	0.51	55.1	1.75%	0	0.6	62	INF

11	Dec_23_2016	39.51	46.76	47.4	47.88	47.97	47.76	47.48(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-30	-7	39	2.92	83%	0.38	56	1.79%	0	0.6	64	INF
12	Dec_22_2016	39.36	46.68	47.5	47.71	47.89	48.22	47.68(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	20	60	6	61	3.62	83%	0.38	55.8	1.78%	0	0.9	63	INF
13	Dec_21_2016	39.21	46.57	47.44	47.63	47.7	48.19	48.45(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	42	80	28	84	3.83	83%	0.41	61.7	1.77%	0	1.6	68	INF
14	Dec_20_2016	39.05	46.4	47.34	47.33	47.49	47.56	48.2(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	20	20	83	4.81	83%	0.36	63.1	1.79%	0	1.6	62	INF
15	Dec_19_2016	38.91	46.24	47.08	47.06	47.28	47.21	47.57(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	0	0	63	4.73	83%	0.34	71	1.79%	0	1.2	58	INF

16	Dec_16_2016	38.78	46.12	46.81	46.86	47.23	47.41	46.64(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	50	-8	49	9.3	82%	0.28	82.7	1.78%	0	0.5	56	INF
17	Dec_15_2016	38.67	46.04	46.68	47.26	47.27	47.34	47.3(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	21	10	6	67	7.53	82%	0.31	108.3	1.81%	0	1.2	57	INF
18	Dec_14_2016	38.55	45.85	46.44	47.21	47.5	47.04	46.93(0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-50	-8	57	5.29	82%	0.31	108.4	1.81%	0	0.9	58	INF
19	Dec_13_2016	38.43	45.7	46.3	47.35	47.54	47.19	46.85(0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-40	-13	64	6.15	82%	0.31	121.2	1.85%	0	1	59	INF
20	Dec_12_2016	38.31	45.5	46.2	47.08	47.46	47.96	46.6(-4.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	31	100	18	70	8.64	82%	0.29	109.9	1.88%	0	0.8	58	INF

21	Dec_9_2016	38.2	45.28	46.1	46.71	46.95	47.89	48.61(3.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	62	160	57	76	9.85	90%	0.39	102.1	1.8%	0	2.2	68	INF
22	Dec_8_2016	38.05	44.92	45.79	46.02	46.09	46.96	47.05(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	47	140	46	51	6.24	89%	0.32	97.9	1.79%	0	1.4	65	INF
23	Dec_7_2016	37.93	44.65	45.61	45.57	45.6	46	47.64(4.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	40	60	39	43	10.21	91%	0.34	94.3	1.79%	0	1.9	76	INF
24	Dec_6_2016	37.8	44.31	45.34	45.13	45.23	45.21	45.47(1.55%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3	0	-2	18	5.33	89%	0.27	91.7	1.79%	0	0.7	65	INF
25	Dec_5_2016	37.7	44.08	45.31	45.22	45.22	45.2	44.77(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-0	-8	38	5.26	89%		88.9	1.78%	0	0.4	70	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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